"When
at first you don't succeed, try again". Well, I wasn't successful
backing the A's a couple of nights ago, but I'm going to do it again
here. Yes, this team sucks on the road and yes they suck during day
games at a 23-28 (45%) on the season. But Indians might suck even more
in day games. The tribe is 14-23 (38%) in these situations. And even
though their overall home record is pretty solid, prior to this A's
series, the Indians were on a 10-14 (42%) home streak.
The
difference here is in the starting pitching. I know Carmona pitched
great against the A's earlier this year, but his career ERA of 5.12
against them is more realistic of his expected performance against them.
Further yet, Carmona struggles against left-handed batters with a 4.59
career xFIP, compared to 4.06 against right handers. Here's a
projected A's lineup for this one:
1. Jemile Weeks (S) 2B 2. Cliff Pennington (S) SS 3. Hideki Matsui (L) DH 4. Josh Willingham (R) LF 5. Brandon Allen (L) 1B 6. Ryan Sweeney (L) CF 7. David DeJesus (L) RF 8. Kurt Suzuki (R) C 9. Scott Sizemore (R) 3B
That's 6 of 9 batters that can hit left-handed here. I expect A's offense to be successful here.
On
the other side we have Gio Gonzalez, who is a better pitcher which fact
advanced stats can confirm. Some people will point out how much worse
Gonzalez is on the road than at home this year, but comparing his
career splits, his road xFIP of 3.94 is actually better than his home
xFIP of 4.05 (since he only pitched for the A's in his MLB career, this
is a relevant comparison). I also want to point out that Gonzalez is
pitching much better against left-handers with a 3.05 xFIP this year
(3.78 career) against them, compared to 3.90 (4.06 career) against
right-handers. Here's Cleveland's possible lineup:
1. Ezequiel Carrera (L) CF 2. Kosuke Fukudome (L) RF 3. Asdrubal Cabrera (S) SS 4. Jim Thome (L) DH 5. Carlos Santana (S) 1B 6. Jack Hannahan (L) 3B 7. Jason Donald (R) 2B 8. Jerad Head (R) LF 9. Lou Marson (R) C
4
of the top 6 hitters are left-handers. Gonzalez is 4-0 life-time
against Cleveland (team is 5-0) with a 0.89 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. I love
his chances to grab another win tonight!
Good luck!
_________________ '10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130 '10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600 '10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800 '10 CFB: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400 '10 CFBP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400 '10 CBB: 39-18 @ 68% for +$19,200 '10 CBBP: 16-6 @ 73% for +$9,400 '10 NBA: 151-99 @ 60% for +$42,100 '10 NBAP: 30-26 @ 54% for +$1,400 '10 NHL: 18-9 @ 67% for +$6,175 '10 NHLP: 16-7 @ 70% for +$5,575
----------------------------------- TOTAL: 415-277 @ 60% for +$107,580
"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned"
0
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
2011 MLB Record: 173 - 136 @56%for+20.61 Units
Thur 09/01
#1: Oakland Athletics +101
"When
at first you don't succeed, try again". Well, I wasn't successful
backing the A's a couple of nights ago, but I'm going to do it again
here. Yes, this team sucks on the road and yes they suck during day
games at a 23-28 (45%) on the season. But Indians might suck even more
in day games. The tribe is 14-23 (38%) in these situations. And even
though their overall home record is pretty solid, prior to this A's
series, the Indians were on a 10-14 (42%) home streak.
The
difference here is in the starting pitching. I know Carmona pitched
great against the A's earlier this year, but his career ERA of 5.12
against them is more realistic of his expected performance against them.
Further yet, Carmona struggles against left-handed batters with a 4.59
career xFIP, compared to 4.06 against right handers. Here's a
projected A's lineup for this one:
1. Jemile Weeks (S) 2B 2. Cliff Pennington (S) SS 3. Hideki Matsui (L) DH 4. Josh Willingham (R) LF 5. Brandon Allen (L) 1B 6. Ryan Sweeney (L) CF 7. David DeJesus (L) RF 8. Kurt Suzuki (R) C 9. Scott Sizemore (R) 3B
That's 6 of 9 batters that can hit left-handed here. I expect A's offense to be successful here.
On
the other side we have Gio Gonzalez, who is a better pitcher which fact
advanced stats can confirm. Some people will point out how much worse
Gonzalez is on the road than at home this year, but comparing his
career splits, his road xFIP of 3.94 is actually better than his home
xFIP of 4.05 (since he only pitched for the A's in his MLB career, this
is a relevant comparison). I also want to point out that Gonzalez is
pitching much better against left-handers with a 3.05 xFIP this year
(3.78 career) against them, compared to 3.90 (4.06 career) against
right-handers. Here's Cleveland's possible lineup:
1. Ezequiel Carrera (L) CF 2. Kosuke Fukudome (L) RF 3. Asdrubal Cabrera (S) SS 4. Jim Thome (L) DH 5. Carlos Santana (S) 1B 6. Jack Hannahan (L) 3B 7. Jason Donald (R) 2B 8. Jerad Head (R) LF 9. Lou Marson (R) C
4
of the top 6 hitters are left-handers. Gonzalez is 4-0 life-time
against Cleveland (team is 5-0) with a 0.89 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. I love
his chances to grab another win tonight!
Good luck!
_________________ '10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130 '10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600 '10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800 '10 CFB: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400 '10 CFBP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400 '10 CBB: 39-18 @ 68% for +$19,200 '10 CBBP: 16-6 @ 73% for +$9,400 '10 NBA: 151-99 @ 60% for +$42,100 '10 NBAP: 30-26 @ 54% for +$1,400 '10 NHL: 18-9 @ 67% for +$6,175 '10 NHLP: 16-7 @ 70% for +$5,575
----------------------------------- TOTAL: 415-277 @ 60% for +$107,580
"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned"
Philadelphia Phillies 86-46 (65%) @ Cincinnati Reds 67-69 (49%)
V.
Worley, starting for Philadelphia Phillies, has a FIP of 3.02 (#18 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.66 (#57 in MLB), and tERA of 3.72 (#45 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .261, LOB% of 76%, and E-F of -0.35. He has a K/BB ratio of
2.67, with a WHIP of 1.11, and opponent BA of .212. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 22%, GB%: 40%, FB%: 38% for a 1.05 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 6%.
M. Leake, starting for Cincinnati Reds, has a
FIP of 4.28 (#134 in MLB), xFIP of 3.61 (#49 in MLB), and tERA of 4.97
(#160 in MLB), with a BABIP of .277, LOB% of 76%, and E-F of -0.24. He
has a K/BB ratio of 3.21, with a WHIP of 1.21, and opponent BA of .251.
His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 32% for a 1.46
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 15%.
Philadelphia Phillies have the
#13 bullpen, #10 offense, and are rated #23 in fielding. They have a
road record of 40-24 (63%), ranked #1 in MLB and have Won 3 in a row.
Cincinnati
Reds have the #13 bullpen, #7 offense, and are rated #4 in fielding.
They have a home record of 37-33 (53%), ranked #16 in MLB and have Lost 3
in a row.
St Louis Cardinals 72-64 (53%) @ Milwaukee Brewers 81-56 (59%)
Y.
Gallardo, starting for Milwaukee Brewers, has a FIP of 3.45 (#44 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.39 (#27 in MLB), and tERA of 3.51 (#32 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .295, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of -0.08. He has a K/BB ratio of
3.04, with a WHIP of 1.25, and opponent BA of .245. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 35% for a 1.33 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 10%.
St Louis Cardinals have the #15 bullpen, #4
offense, and are rated #26 in fielding. They have a road record of 37-33
(53%), ranked #7 in MLB and have Won 3 in a row.
Milwaukee
Brewers have the #7 bullpen, #7 offense, and are rated #9 in fielding.
They have a home record of 50-18 (74%), ranked #1 in MLB and have Lost 2
in a row.
Washington Nationals 63-71 (47%) @ Atlanta Braves 80-55 (59%)
C.
Wang, starting for Washington Nationals, has a FIP of 4.65 (#174 in
MLB), xFIP of 4.81 (#204 in MLB), and tERA of 4.72 (#149 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .254, LOB% of 59%, and E-F of -0.83. He has a K/BB ratio of
0.9, with a WHIP of 1.33, and opponent BA of .254. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 16%, GB%: 55%, FB%: 29% for a 1.86 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 8%.
T. Hudson, starting for Atlanta Braves, has a
FIP of 3.44 (#43 in MLB), xFIP of 3.51 (#36 in MLB), and tERA of 3.64
(#38 in MLB), with a BABIP of .262, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of -0.33. He
has a K/BB ratio of 2.8, with a WHIP of 1.11, and opponent BA of .226.
His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 57%, FB%: 26% for a 2.23
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
Washington Nationals have the
#15 bullpen, #23 offense, and are rated #17 in fielding. They have a
road record of 26-43 (38%), ranked #25 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Atlanta
Braves have the #1 bullpen, #21 offense, and are rated #25 in fielding.
They have a home record of 42-26 (62%), ranked #3 in MLB and have Won 1
in a row.
Florida Marlins 60-75 (44%) @ New York Mets 65-69 (49%)
C.
Hensley, starting for Florida Marlins, has a FIP of 5.46 (#219 in MLB),
xFIP of 4.82 (#207 in MLB), and tERA of 5.28 (#178 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .254, LOB% of 64%, and E-F of 0.61. He has a K/BB ratio of
1.56, with a WHIP of 1.38, and opponent BA of .247. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 16%, GB%: 43%, FB%: 41% for a 1.04 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 11%.
M. Batista, starting for New York Mets, has a
FIP of 6.01 (#225 in MLB), xFIP of 6.01 (#238 in MLB), and tERA of
535.77 (#250 in MLB), with a BABIP of ., LOB% of 100%, and E-F of -6.01.
He has a K/BB ratio of 0, with a WHIP of 1, and opponent BA of .. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 23%, GB%: 37%, FB%: 40% for a 0.92
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 5%.
Florida Marlins have the #8
bullpen, #19 offense, and are rated #18 in fielding. They have a road
record of 35-34 (51%), ranked #12 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
New
York Mets have the #19 bullpen, #7 offense, and are rated #29 in
fielding. They have a home record of 29-36 (45%), ranked #26 in MLB and
have Won 1 in a row.
G.
Gonzalez, starting for Oakland Athletics, has a FIP of 3.64 (#63 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.72 (#65 in MLB), and tERA of 3.69 (#43 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .294, LOB% of 75%, and E-F of -0.29. He has a K/BB ratio of
2.11, with a WHIP of 1.35, and opponent BA of .232. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 48%, FB%: 34% for a 1.44 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 9%.
F. Carmona, starting for Cleveland Indians,
has a FIP of 4.64 (#172 in MLB), xFIP of 4.12 (#120 in MLB), and tERA of
4.68 (#142 in MLB), with a BABIP of .276, LOB% of 64%, and E-F of 0.21.
He has a K/BB ratio of 1.91, with a WHIP of 1.33, and opponent BA of
.259. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 17%, GB%: 56%, FB%: 27% for a
2.05 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 14%.
Oakland Athletics have the
#11 bullpen, #25 offense, and are rated #28 in fielding. They have a
road record of 25-46 (35%), ranked #27 in MLB and have Lost 5 in a row.
Cleveland
Indians have the #9 bullpen, #17 offense, and are rated #27 in
fielding. They have a home record of 39-29 (57%), ranked #10 in MLB and
have Won 3 in a row.
Odds: OAK +108 (48%) CLE -115 (53%) O/U = 8.5
Lean: A's =======================================
0
Philadelphia Phillies 86-46 (65%) @ Cincinnati Reds 67-69 (49%)
V.
Worley, starting for Philadelphia Phillies, has a FIP of 3.02 (#18 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.66 (#57 in MLB), and tERA of 3.72 (#45 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .261, LOB% of 76%, and E-F of -0.35. He has a K/BB ratio of
2.67, with a WHIP of 1.11, and opponent BA of .212. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 22%, GB%: 40%, FB%: 38% for a 1.05 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 6%.
M. Leake, starting for Cincinnati Reds, has a
FIP of 4.28 (#134 in MLB), xFIP of 3.61 (#49 in MLB), and tERA of 4.97
(#160 in MLB), with a BABIP of .277, LOB% of 76%, and E-F of -0.24. He
has a K/BB ratio of 3.21, with a WHIP of 1.21, and opponent BA of .251.
His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 32% for a 1.46
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 15%.
Philadelphia Phillies have the
#13 bullpen, #10 offense, and are rated #23 in fielding. They have a
road record of 40-24 (63%), ranked #1 in MLB and have Won 3 in a row.
Cincinnati
Reds have the #13 bullpen, #7 offense, and are rated #4 in fielding.
They have a home record of 37-33 (53%), ranked #16 in MLB and have Lost 3
in a row.
St Louis Cardinals 72-64 (53%) @ Milwaukee Brewers 81-56 (59%)
Y.
Gallardo, starting for Milwaukee Brewers, has a FIP of 3.45 (#44 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.39 (#27 in MLB), and tERA of 3.51 (#32 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .295, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of -0.08. He has a K/BB ratio of
3.04, with a WHIP of 1.25, and opponent BA of .245. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 35% for a 1.33 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 10%.
St Louis Cardinals have the #15 bullpen, #4
offense, and are rated #26 in fielding. They have a road record of 37-33
(53%), ranked #7 in MLB and have Won 3 in a row.
Milwaukee
Brewers have the #7 bullpen, #7 offense, and are rated #9 in fielding.
They have a home record of 50-18 (74%), ranked #1 in MLB and have Lost 2
in a row.
Washington Nationals 63-71 (47%) @ Atlanta Braves 80-55 (59%)
C.
Wang, starting for Washington Nationals, has a FIP of 4.65 (#174 in
MLB), xFIP of 4.81 (#204 in MLB), and tERA of 4.72 (#149 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .254, LOB% of 59%, and E-F of -0.83. He has a K/BB ratio of
0.9, with a WHIP of 1.33, and opponent BA of .254. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 16%, GB%: 55%, FB%: 29% for a 1.86 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 8%.
T. Hudson, starting for Atlanta Braves, has a
FIP of 3.44 (#43 in MLB), xFIP of 3.51 (#36 in MLB), and tERA of 3.64
(#38 in MLB), with a BABIP of .262, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of -0.33. He
has a K/BB ratio of 2.8, with a WHIP of 1.11, and opponent BA of .226.
His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 57%, FB%: 26% for a 2.23
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
Washington Nationals have the
#15 bullpen, #23 offense, and are rated #17 in fielding. They have a
road record of 26-43 (38%), ranked #25 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Atlanta
Braves have the #1 bullpen, #21 offense, and are rated #25 in fielding.
They have a home record of 42-26 (62%), ranked #3 in MLB and have Won 1
in a row.
Florida Marlins 60-75 (44%) @ New York Mets 65-69 (49%)
C.
Hensley, starting for Florida Marlins, has a FIP of 5.46 (#219 in MLB),
xFIP of 4.82 (#207 in MLB), and tERA of 5.28 (#178 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .254, LOB% of 64%, and E-F of 0.61. He has a K/BB ratio of
1.56, with a WHIP of 1.38, and opponent BA of .247. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 16%, GB%: 43%, FB%: 41% for a 1.04 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 11%.
M. Batista, starting for New York Mets, has a
FIP of 6.01 (#225 in MLB), xFIP of 6.01 (#238 in MLB), and tERA of
535.77 (#250 in MLB), with a BABIP of ., LOB% of 100%, and E-F of -6.01.
He has a K/BB ratio of 0, with a WHIP of 1, and opponent BA of .. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 23%, GB%: 37%, FB%: 40% for a 0.92
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 5%.
Florida Marlins have the #8
bullpen, #19 offense, and are rated #18 in fielding. They have a road
record of 35-34 (51%), ranked #12 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
New
York Mets have the #19 bullpen, #7 offense, and are rated #29 in
fielding. They have a home record of 29-36 (45%), ranked #26 in MLB and
have Won 1 in a row.
G.
Gonzalez, starting for Oakland Athletics, has a FIP of 3.64 (#63 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.72 (#65 in MLB), and tERA of 3.69 (#43 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .294, LOB% of 75%, and E-F of -0.29. He has a K/BB ratio of
2.11, with a WHIP of 1.35, and opponent BA of .232. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 48%, FB%: 34% for a 1.44 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 9%.
F. Carmona, starting for Cleveland Indians,
has a FIP of 4.64 (#172 in MLB), xFIP of 4.12 (#120 in MLB), and tERA of
4.68 (#142 in MLB), with a BABIP of .276, LOB% of 64%, and E-F of 0.21.
He has a K/BB ratio of 1.91, with a WHIP of 1.33, and opponent BA of
.259. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 17%, GB%: 56%, FB%: 27% for a
2.05 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 14%.
Oakland Athletics have the
#11 bullpen, #25 offense, and are rated #28 in fielding. They have a
road record of 25-46 (35%), ranked #27 in MLB and have Lost 5 in a row.
Cleveland
Indians have the #9 bullpen, #17 offense, and are rated #27 in
fielding. They have a home record of 39-29 (57%), ranked #10 in MLB and
have Won 3 in a row.
Kansas City Royals 56-81 (41%) @ Detroit Tigers 75-61 (55%)
D.
Duffy, starting for Kansas City Royals, has a FIP of 4.86 (#195 in
MLB), xFIP of 4.43 (#160 in MLB), and tERA of 5.53 (#197 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .337, LOB% of 73%, and E-F of 0.69. He has a K/BB ratio of
1.76, with a WHIP of 1.64, and opponent BA of .291. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 23%, GB%: 38%, FB%: 40% for a 0.96 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 12%.
J. Turner, starting for Detroit Tigers, has a
FIP of 3.01 (#17 in MLB), xFIP of 4.63 (#187 in MLB), and tERA of 2.39
(#2 in MLB), with a BABIP of .231, LOB% of 71%, and E-F of 0.36. He has a
K/BB ratio of 2, with a WHIP of 1.13, and opponent BA of .158. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 8%, GB%: 33%, FB%: 58% for a 0.57
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 0%.
Kansas City Royals have the #24
bullpen, #10 offense, and are rated #15 in fielding. They have a road
record of 23-44 (34%), ranked #29 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.
Detroit
Tigers have the #25 bullpen, #5 offense, and are rated #22 in fielding.
They have a home record of 39-28 (58%), ranked #8 in MLB and have Won 2
in a row.
Toronto Blue Jays 68-68 (50%) @ Baltimore Orioles 54-80 (40%)
L.
Perez, starting for Toronto Blue Jays, has a FIP of 3.19 (#26 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.98 (#100 in MLB), and tERA of 3.32 (#19 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .214, LOB% of 83%, and E-F of -1.56. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.33,
with a WHIP of 1.09, and opponent BA of .167. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 13%, GB%: 66%, FB%: 22% for a 3 GB/FB ratio, and a
HR/FB of 14%.
T. Hunter, starting for Baltimore Orioles, has a
FIP of 4.45 (#150 in MLB), xFIP of 4.36 (#151 in MLB), and tERA of 5.89
(#213 in MLB), with a BABIP of .316, LOB% of 63%, and E-F of 1.42. He
has a K/BB ratio of 10, with a WHIP of 1.34, and opponent BA of .313.
His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 23%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 33% for a 1.35
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
Toronto Blue Jays have the #21
bullpen, #10 offense, and are rated #20 in fielding. They have a road
record of 35-34 (51%), ranked #12 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Baltimore
Orioles have the #28 bullpen, #14 offense, and are rated #30 in
fielding. They have a home record of 32-38 (46%), ranked #23 in MLB and
have Lost 1 in a row.
New York Yankees 81-53 (60%) @ Boston Red Sox 83-52 (62%)
A.
Burnett, starting for New York Yankees, has a FIP of 4.8 (#185 in MLB),
xFIP of 4.02 (#108 in MLB), and tERA of 5.19 (#173 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .288, LOB% of 68%, and E-F of 0.51. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.9,
with a WHIP of 1.44, and opponent BA of .254. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 48%, FB%: 34% for a 1.43 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 15%.
J. Lester, starting for Boston Red Sox, has a
FIP of 3.83 (#89 in MLB), xFIP of 3.55 (#41 in MLB), and tERA of 3.89
(#64 in MLB), with a BABIP of .272, LOB% of 81%, and E-F of -0.74. He
has a K/BB ratio of 2.54, with a WHIP of 1.19, and opponent BA of .224.
His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 16%, GB%: 51%, FB%: 33% for a 1.52
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 12%.
New York Yankees have the #3
bullpen, #1 offense, and are rated #6 in fielding. They have a road
record of 40-27 (60%), ranked #3 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Boston
Red Sox have the #4 bullpen, #2 offense, and are rated #2 in fielding.
They have a home record of 41-26 (61%), ranked #5 in MLB and have Won 1
in a row.
Tampa Bay Rays 74-61 (55%) @ Texas Rangers 77-60 (56%)
J.
Niemann, starting for Tampa Bay Rays, has a FIP of 3.7 (#74 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.65 (#55 in MLB), and tERA of 3.92 (#65 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .274, LOB% of 75%, and E-F of -0.24. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.18,
with a WHIP of 1.18, and opponent BA of .238. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 36% for a 1.21 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 10%.
C. Wilson, starting for Texas Rangers, has a
FIP of 3.35 (#34 in MLB), xFIP of 3.47 (#33 in MLB), and tERA of 3.84
(#61 in MLB), with a BABIP of .291, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of -0.06. He
has a K/BB ratio of 2.66, with a WHIP of 1.23, and opponent BA of .236.
His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 49%, FB%: 32% for a 1.55
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.
Tampa Bay Rays have the #26
bullpen, #13 offense, and are rated #3 in fielding. They have a road
record of 39-30 (57%), ranked #5 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Texas
Rangers have the #30 bullpen, #3 offense, and are rated #8 in fielding.
They have a home record of 43-28 (61%), ranked #7 in MLB and have Lost 1
in a row.
E.
Santana, starting for LAA Angels, has a FIP of 3.71 (#75 in MLB), xFIP
of 3.71 (#64 in MLB), and tERA of 3.87 (#63 in MLB), with a BABIP of
.273, LOB% of 77%, and E-F of -0.47. He has a K/BB ratio of 3, with a
WHIP of 1.16, and opponent BA of .237. His batted-ball peripherals are:
LD%: 18%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 38% for a 1.16 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
C.
Furbush, starting for Seattle Mariners, has a FIP of 5.12 (#204 in
MLB), xFIP of 4.65 (#188 in MLB), and tERA of 5.28 (#178 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .352, LOB% of 54%, and E-F of 1.77. He has a K/BB ratio of
1.83, with a WHIP of 1.72, and opponent BA of .318. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 41%, FB%: 39% for a 1.06 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 13%.
LAA Angels have the #22 bullpen, #17 offense,
and are rated #5 in fielding. They have a road record of 35-35 (50%),
ranked #14 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Seattle Mariners have
the #22 bullpen, #30 offense, and are rated #16 in fielding. They have a
home record of 34-36 (49%), ranked #20 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Kansas City Royals 56-81 (41%) @ Detroit Tigers 75-61 (55%)
D.
Duffy, starting for Kansas City Royals, has a FIP of 4.86 (#195 in
MLB), xFIP of 4.43 (#160 in MLB), and tERA of 5.53 (#197 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .337, LOB% of 73%, and E-F of 0.69. He has a K/BB ratio of
1.76, with a WHIP of 1.64, and opponent BA of .291. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 23%, GB%: 38%, FB%: 40% for a 0.96 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 12%.
J. Turner, starting for Detroit Tigers, has a
FIP of 3.01 (#17 in MLB), xFIP of 4.63 (#187 in MLB), and tERA of 2.39
(#2 in MLB), with a BABIP of .231, LOB% of 71%, and E-F of 0.36. He has a
K/BB ratio of 2, with a WHIP of 1.13, and opponent BA of .158. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 8%, GB%: 33%, FB%: 58% for a 0.57
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 0%.
Kansas City Royals have the #24
bullpen, #10 offense, and are rated #15 in fielding. They have a road
record of 23-44 (34%), ranked #29 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.
Detroit
Tigers have the #25 bullpen, #5 offense, and are rated #22 in fielding.
They have a home record of 39-28 (58%), ranked #8 in MLB and have Won 2
in a row.
Toronto Blue Jays 68-68 (50%) @ Baltimore Orioles 54-80 (40%)
L.
Perez, starting for Toronto Blue Jays, has a FIP of 3.19 (#26 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.98 (#100 in MLB), and tERA of 3.32 (#19 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .214, LOB% of 83%, and E-F of -1.56. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.33,
with a WHIP of 1.09, and opponent BA of .167. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 13%, GB%: 66%, FB%: 22% for a 3 GB/FB ratio, and a
HR/FB of 14%.
T. Hunter, starting for Baltimore Orioles, has a
FIP of 4.45 (#150 in MLB), xFIP of 4.36 (#151 in MLB), and tERA of 5.89
(#213 in MLB), with a BABIP of .316, LOB% of 63%, and E-F of 1.42. He
has a K/BB ratio of 10, with a WHIP of 1.34, and opponent BA of .313.
His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 23%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 33% for a 1.35
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
Toronto Blue Jays have the #21
bullpen, #10 offense, and are rated #20 in fielding. They have a road
record of 35-34 (51%), ranked #12 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Baltimore
Orioles have the #28 bullpen, #14 offense, and are rated #30 in
fielding. They have a home record of 32-38 (46%), ranked #23 in MLB and
have Lost 1 in a row.
New York Yankees 81-53 (60%) @ Boston Red Sox 83-52 (62%)
A.
Burnett, starting for New York Yankees, has a FIP of 4.8 (#185 in MLB),
xFIP of 4.02 (#108 in MLB), and tERA of 5.19 (#173 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .288, LOB% of 68%, and E-F of 0.51. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.9,
with a WHIP of 1.44, and opponent BA of .254. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 48%, FB%: 34% for a 1.43 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 15%.
J. Lester, starting for Boston Red Sox, has a
FIP of 3.83 (#89 in MLB), xFIP of 3.55 (#41 in MLB), and tERA of 3.89
(#64 in MLB), with a BABIP of .272, LOB% of 81%, and E-F of -0.74. He
has a K/BB ratio of 2.54, with a WHIP of 1.19, and opponent BA of .224.
His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 16%, GB%: 51%, FB%: 33% for a 1.52
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 12%.
New York Yankees have the #3
bullpen, #1 offense, and are rated #6 in fielding. They have a road
record of 40-27 (60%), ranked #3 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Boston
Red Sox have the #4 bullpen, #2 offense, and are rated #2 in fielding.
They have a home record of 41-26 (61%), ranked #5 in MLB and have Won 1
in a row.
Tampa Bay Rays 74-61 (55%) @ Texas Rangers 77-60 (56%)
J.
Niemann, starting for Tampa Bay Rays, has a FIP of 3.7 (#74 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.65 (#55 in MLB), and tERA of 3.92 (#65 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .274, LOB% of 75%, and E-F of -0.24. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.18,
with a WHIP of 1.18, and opponent BA of .238. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 36% for a 1.21 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 10%.
C. Wilson, starting for Texas Rangers, has a
FIP of 3.35 (#34 in MLB), xFIP of 3.47 (#33 in MLB), and tERA of 3.84
(#61 in MLB), with a BABIP of .291, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of -0.06. He
has a K/BB ratio of 2.66, with a WHIP of 1.23, and opponent BA of .236.
His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 49%, FB%: 32% for a 1.55
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.
Tampa Bay Rays have the #26
bullpen, #13 offense, and are rated #3 in fielding. They have a road
record of 39-30 (57%), ranked #5 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Texas
Rangers have the #30 bullpen, #3 offense, and are rated #8 in fielding.
They have a home record of 43-28 (61%), ranked #7 in MLB and have Lost 1
in a row.
E.
Santana, starting for LAA Angels, has a FIP of 3.71 (#75 in MLB), xFIP
of 3.71 (#64 in MLB), and tERA of 3.87 (#63 in MLB), with a BABIP of
.273, LOB% of 77%, and E-F of -0.47. He has a K/BB ratio of 3, with a
WHIP of 1.16, and opponent BA of .237. His batted-ball peripherals are:
LD%: 18%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 38% for a 1.16 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
C.
Furbush, starting for Seattle Mariners, has a FIP of 5.12 (#204 in
MLB), xFIP of 4.65 (#188 in MLB), and tERA of 5.28 (#178 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .352, LOB% of 54%, and E-F of 1.77. He has a K/BB ratio of
1.83, with a WHIP of 1.72, and opponent BA of .318. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 41%, FB%: 39% for a 1.06 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 13%.
LAA Angels have the #22 bullpen, #17 offense,
and are rated #5 in fielding. They have a road record of 35-35 (50%),
ranked #14 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Seattle Mariners have
the #22 bullpen, #30 offense, and are rated #16 in fielding. They have a
home record of 34-36 (49%), ranked #20 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
bodio you are a beast. keep up the great work man! looking forward to seeing your nfl write ups. any initial thoughts on nfl futures or season win totals? looking forward to following in both college and nfl. you have been a savior in baseball and i cant thank you enough. been following you for a while but dont post much. just wanted to chime in and say thanks and let you know that you have been a big helping in teaching others how to cap baseball. your writeups and stats are phenomenal. keep it up!
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bodio you are a beast. keep up the great work man! looking forward to seeing your nfl write ups. any initial thoughts on nfl futures or season win totals? looking forward to following in both college and nfl. you have been a savior in baseball and i cant thank you enough. been following you for a while but dont post much. just wanted to chime in and say thanks and let you know that you have been a big helping in teaching others how to cap baseball. your writeups and stats are phenomenal. keep it up!
I like your write up here, but after 16 inning game both teams are gonna be half alseep . I think its gonna end up in a coin toss . I just dont like day games you never know what you gonna get. And the A's have a young team some of them might be still sleeping at the plate .
just my opinion
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I like your write up here, but after 16 inning game both teams are gonna be half alseep . I think its gonna end up in a coin toss . I just dont like day games you never know what you gonna get. And the A's have a young team some of them might be still sleeping at the plate .
Insanity: doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results. Albert Einstein
Fuck the Albert, Gio numbers against Indians are too good to ignore....And, i'm just havin' a yard sale so i can buy that Red Sox juice tonight, waiting for this game since probables are out...
Keep up the good work
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"When at first you don't succeed, try again"...
Insanity: doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results. Albert Einstein
Fuck the Albert, Gio numbers against Indians are too good to ignore....And, i'm just havin' a yard sale so i can buy that Red Sox juice tonight, waiting for this game since probables are out...
Nice run..you have been on fire ..only thing that scares me about OAK today is this is the last game of a 10 game roadtrip. they have been on the road since 8/23 and had that 16 inning game last night. Not sure how motivated they will be today...hopefully Gio pitches a shutout....GL
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Nice run..you have been on fire ..only thing that scares me about OAK today is this is the last game of a 10 game roadtrip. they have been on the road since 8/23 and had that 16 inning game last night. Not sure how motivated they will be today...hopefully Gio pitches a shutout....GL
good day to all you hardworking cappers here especially bodio da man, need some help, anybody here suggest a good online sportsbook for the US? is betus good? any reply is appreciated. thanks
0
good day to all you hardworking cappers here especially bodio da man, need some help, anybody here suggest a good online sportsbook for the US? is betus good? any reply is appreciated. thanks
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..only thing that scares me about OAK today is this is the last game of a 10 game roadtrip. they have been on the road since 8/23 and had that 16 inning game last night. Not sure how motivated they will be today...hopefully Gio pitches a shutout....GL 
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