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Bodio's MLB Thur 09/01

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Posted: #26
 
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Posted: #27
Quote Originally Posted by neverlayoff:



Anyone know? or bodio can you comment?
Thanks
Yes. One unit per play. Never changes. Approx 3% of BR per bet I believe. 
 
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Posted: #28
Quote Originally Posted by HokieFrosty:


Why does it matter how much he bets?  Would you be more convinced by his predictions if he bet more money?


No I checked his total profits and I want to know how much he bets per play and how much a unit is purely to see his system etc
 
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Posted: #29

I'm pretty sure 1 Unit= $1,000 for Bodio.

 
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Posted: #30

Quote Originally Posted by neverlayoff:



No I checked his total profits and I want to know how much he bets per play and how much a unit is purely to see his system etc

Bodio da man flat bets 1 unit every play which is equal to 1k or 2-3% of his BR. to win 1 unit for faves and risk 1 unit for dogs.

 
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Posted: #31
GL
 
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Posted: #32
It's flat 1k adjusted at the start of every season.

Bodie are posting for the early overnight lines coming back for you :) I missed that so started posting my own! Bring it back!!!! 
 
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Posted: #33

BOL Bodio.  Love the way you cap and break down games on here.  Like the Oakland bet today.  What are your thoughts on the over 7.5 in this as well?  I know both offenses can struggle, but while I dont have a ton of data to back it up, I feel like when a couple teams see as many pitches as they did last night and turn around for a day game it benefits the hitters.  Theory being that the hitters have a better idea of how they will be attacked and the pitchers wont have time to adjust.  Have a feeling we may get some early runs.

 
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Posted: #34

Weeks 2B, Pennington SS, Crisp CF, Matsui DH, Allen 1B, Dejesus RF, Sweeney LF, Recker C, Sogard 3B, (Gonzalez P)

NO WILLINGHAM.....NO SUZUKI....NO SEIZMORE     FYI

 
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Posted: #35
Hi Mr BRutha Bodio hope all is well.I think the Red Sox will blowout the Yanks with Burnett pitching.I know you have no opinion but what do you think?
 
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Posted: #36
Carrera CF, Fukudome RF, Cabrera SS, Santana 1B, Duncan DH, Hannahan 3B, Donald 2B, Head LF, Marson C, (Carmona P
 
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Posted: #37
Oakland  Lets get it!!
 
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Posted: #38
gL
 
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Posted: #39
Quote Originally Posted by jwbjwbjwb12:

bodio you are a beast. keep up the great work man! looking forward to seeing your nfl write ups. any initial thoughts on nfl futures or season win totals? looking forward to following in both college and nfl. you have been a savior in baseball and i cant thank you enough. been following you for a while but dont post much. just wanted to chime in and say thanks and let you know that you have been a big helping in teaching others how to cap baseball. your writeups and stats are phenomenal. keep it up!

My NFL preview and divisional breakdowns will be available within a week.  I'll also have some futures picks there.  Unfortunately a lot of the 'value' is gone on those...  Did anyone get Bears UNDER 9.5 wins? 
 
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Posted: #40
 
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Posted: #41
Good Luck BODIO!
 
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Posted: #42
Quote Originally Posted by JB9569:

Yo bodio I really like the jays and I love them even more since ur leaning them ..whats preventing u from making them a play ?

Perez' SIERA rating.  It's very very mediocre.
I didn't get a chance to build that into my 'write-ups template' yet but SIERA rating is part of my model now.  You guys will just have to wait till next year to get that in the breakdowns, as with football coming up I don't have the time right now..
 
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Posted: #43
GL Bodio and thanks for the thorough analyses. Good stuff 
 
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Posted: #44
Quote Originally Posted by mance:

"When at first you don't succeed, try again"...


Insanity: doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results.
Albert Einstein


Fuck the Albert, Gio numbers against Indians are too good to ignore....And, i'm just havin' a yard sale so i can buy that Red Sox juice tonight, waiting for this game since probables are out...
Keep up the good work 

Laying that kind of juice against the 'Bombers' is crazy!  GL
 
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Posted: #45
Quote Originally Posted by jcjcjc24:

Nice run..you have been on fire  ..only thing that scares me about OAK today is this is the last game of a 10 game roadtrip. they have been on the road since 8/23 and had that 16 inning game last night. Not sure how motivated they will be today...hopefully Gio pitches a shutout....GL

That's the beauty of baseball...there's really no 'motivational' angles.  It's mono-a-mono with a hitter's skill going up against a pitcher's skill in each individual at-bat. 

good luck
 
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Posted: #46
Quote Originally Posted by neverlayoff:

When you post a play, how much do you put on it? aka 1 unit a play and how much is a unit for you?

Thanks

1k
 
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Posted: #47
Quote Originally Posted by nyduccie:

Thanks alot again Bodio. Could you give your reasoning for passing on the Jays and Tigers? 

Perez has a horrible SIERA ranking so I'm not comfortable backing him.

Turner is too 'juiced' up for the Tigers.  Not worth a wager in my opinion, plus I don't want to fade my boy Duffy!  :)
 
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Posted: #48
Quote Originally Posted by coldcap:

good day to all you hardworking cappers here especially bodio da man, need some help, anybody here suggest a good online sportsbook for the US? is betus good? any reply is appreciated. thanks

 


5Dimes
 
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Posted: #49
Quote Originally Posted by berghawk:

BOL Bodio.  Love the way you cap and break down games on here.  Like the Oakland bet today.  What are your thoughts on the over 7.5 in this as well?  I know both offenses can struggle, but while I dont have a ton of data to back it up, I feel like when a couple teams see as many pitches as they did last night and turn around for a day game it benefits the hitters.  Theory being that the hitters have a better idea of how they will be attacked and the pitchers wont have time to adjust.  Have a feeling we may get some early runs.


Seems like majority of the sharp bettors disagree with your assessment.  This total dropped by a full run from 8.5 to 7.5 
Seems like Vegas is expecting a low-scoring game
 
 
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Posted: #50
Quote Originally Posted by thecashcow:

Weeks 2B, Pennington SS, Crisp CF, Matsui DH, Allen 1B, Dejesus RF, Sweeney LF, Recker C, Sogard 3B, (Gonzalez P)

NO WILLINGHAM.....NO SUZUKI....NO SEIZMORE     FYI


Yeah, but look how many lefties are in there:  

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