Hope this wasn't directed at me. I was basically trying to tell him the same thing you just said.
2011 MLB Record:
71 - 52 @ 57% for +14.20 Units
Do you think part of the reason greinkes numbers have changed is because he is no longer pitching in pitchers parks in the AL and has now moved to the NL. Yes in KC he was a CY young pitcher but that was awhile ago, he has quickly regressed to non-ace status, also the fact that he is more of a flyball pitcher who has been suspectible to the HR and is pitching in cincy doesn't come into effect here? Also you indicate the guy the reds are starting gives up about 1 HR a game, doesn't that worry you against a team that scores most of it's runs on the HR especially away from miller park. Doesn't it also worry you that for the brewers to win in all of Zachs starts they had to score 4+ runs this year and in road game they have only done that in 9 games this year?
Just trying to understand your thought process on the game.
Bodio, just ignore the kid. He makes zero sense.
You're stating the obvious here. We all get it, random, unpredictable stuff happens in sports. All you can do is gather as much info as you can about a game and work with what you have.
To say write-ups don't work is ridiculous. Anyone who takes the time to make a detailed write-up has a better chance of winning than you betting on your instincts.
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