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Bubba's $$$$ Thread ~ FRIDAY ~ Post Your BEST Play (With Write-up) ~ 05/13/16

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Posted: #26
wow @clutch101 that 6 gamer is only giving me 1.44 now on Bet365! 
 
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Posted: #27
ohhhh.. 3-way.... nvm.... 

Not a money play but I'm riding RED SOX -4.5 since they are on a historic pace. Cashed it in yesterday at like 6.5 to 1 so might as well ride it.
 
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Posted: #28
Ouch! 

Dammit, Czech! Dammit, USA!

I need Newmi!

I should have heeded my own damn advice about Friday, the 13th!



 
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Posted: #29
Heads up. The braves have a 13 game stretch with 10 games in a row on the road. Tonight starts the 10 road games in Kansas city. If you bet against them over the next 10 games you'll probably win 8 or 9 of them. I'm taking them every game on the road in that 10 game stretch. They might get 1 or 2 but that's fine. Let's make some money! Coming from an atlanta fan they really don't care to win. Switching ball parks and all they have already given up. The whole organization just wants it to be 2017 already.
 
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Posted: #30
Quote Originally Posted by Boger23:

Heads up. The braves have a 13 game stretch with 10 games in a row on the road. Tonight starts the 10 road games in Kansas city. If you bet against them over the next 10 games you'll probably win 8 or 9 of them. 


They're a bad team, but they're 2-17 at home and and 6-8 on the road.  Not that they're going to into KC and sweep or anything, but...
 
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Posted: #31
Quote Originally Posted by Mermanmaid:

I don't know if this is a gift from the gambling gods or what.
Chicago White Sox ML -150 $$$$

Chris sale ladies and gentleman.7-0 this year, against luis severino whose 0-5.
Chris sale has been spectacular this year, Batters are batting .165 against him which is the 3rd lowest average in the MLB. Sale is 3-1 against the Yankees with a 1.31 ERA

Lets get this money. Been crazy hot last few days, gone 13-2, looking to continue. Final card will be out tomorrow

I agree, I'm all in for $1500 to win $1000. Sale on fire, Yanks stink.
 
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Posted: #32
$$$ White Sox ML -148 $$$
Sale vs Severino
Let's keep the Sale $$$ train going. Sale has had previous success vs yanks as stated above. add in his best work this season has been on the road posting a 1.53 ERA allowing only 4.5 hits per start. Sox have dropped 2 straight 3 would be very unlikely (12-2) after losing 2 straight. I'll roll with the hot hand until someone shows they can beat the other ace from Chicago.
$$$ white sox ML $$$
 
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Posted: #33
Wayne-

Sorry let me define fade teams (no one can fade a team for 162 games) so I try and find a team about to go through a slump, injuries etc, that ARE still over priced by Vegas.  Both Detroit and OCA are still media/odds darlings because of Trout and Miggy.  But however, Vegas is SMARTER than me so they will catch up once the public does too.

The Braves are awful but I really do not think they are as bad as Milwaukee or Cincy.  ATL has one major issue....POWER....


There are three teams that have 30 or less HOME RUNS...Minny, SD and Philly all have 28-30 Home runs!

The BRAVES HAVE 9  NINE, 9, 9, 9!!!!  That is unreal.  Almost impossible.

So yes, you can fade the Braves all year, but they WILL win 50-60 games this year regardless...so even at a 2-1 ratio, the odds will be so much again you when they lose, I think you might only have a small profit at the end of the year.  Right now you are on a 4-1 ration and would be well ahead of the game.
 
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Posted: #34
Pimpnation!  Love your card bro!  When we going to get a juicy full card with parlay from you !   Good luck today bro, put the hos back into their place!  
 
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Posted: #35
To everyone backing the White Sox.

Yankees are 11-1 SU when playing CWS at home and 10-2 in last 12 vs CWS

Last time Severino pitched vs White Sox he pitched 6 innings with a 0 ERA. 

I haven't been on this thread until recently and may make this my first $$$ post 
 
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Posted: #36
[Quote: Originally Posted by PimpNation]Wayne-Sorry let me define fade teams (no one can fade a team for 162 games) so I try and find a team about to go through a slump, injuries etc, that ARE still over priced by Vegas.  Both Detroit and OCA are still media/odds darlings because of Trout and Miggy.  But however, Vegas is SMARTER than me so they will catch up once the public does too.The Braves are awful but I really do not think they are as bad as Milwaukee or Cincy.
Thank you the explanation. I totally get what you're saying.
 
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Posted: #37
I'm not big on commenting but this stands out... Rich Hill
Career vs Current Rays Roster AVG: 0.040 [1 for 25]
Brad Miller     SS         1     0   
Kevin Kiermaier     CF         2     0         
Steve Pearce     1B         3     0         
Hank Conger     C         2     0                        
Logan Forsythe     2B         3     0     
Tim Beckham     2B         2     0     
Steven Souza Jr.     RF         3     0
Evan Longoria     3B         4     0
only Jennings has a hit off him
Looks like a low scoring game as Odorizzi is OK against the A's
 
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Posted: #38
Full card:
Pens/Bolts over 5 (-125) -- would be a $$$ play if I had anymore this week
Red Sox TT over 4.5 (-120) McCullers won't be pitching deep into this game as its his first game off the DL. Also expect regression from him in his second year. He has a tendency to walk batters, and that'll be trouble against the red hot sox lineup.
Reds +106. Finnegan has great stuff, also has tendency to get wild but I'll take a flier here, hellickson is awful.
 
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Posted: #39
Quote Originally Posted by Mozart:

Ouch! Dammit, Czech! Dammit, USA!I need Newmi!I should have heeded my own damn advice about Friday, the 13th!


Try to stay away from the puck lines or do -1.5 as a max especially as competition gets better. I did the Czech at -1.5 and got it but usually just play ML. 2/2 on the 6 teamer with 4 favorites left to play Tom. GL to anyone that tailed
 
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Posted: #40
I'm liking White Sox and Red Sox like most of the board. Probably play those 2 and may add something else later. Good Luck to everyone on this friday.
 
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Posted: #41

Hey guys,

AHL Hockey Playoffs...great value on the board tonight.   Of the playoff games played by San Diego they have covered the Puck line in 57% of their wins.  Of the entire AHL Playoff Season the Puck Line has been covered in 59% of the games.   San Diego beat Ontario on the road and now they have them at home and are getting +300 on the Puck Line.   Not a $$$$ play but well worth throwing this into a parlay and a small wager

San Diego +300 -1.5 Goals

Have a good weekend fellas.

 
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Posted: #42
Thanks for sharing some trends guys. Here is one, posted by DavidGurney.

https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102276050
"Home favorites on three game losing streaks when not facing a road dog on at least a three game winning streak are now 1-8,ytd."

This was on the 11th.

Tampa Bay fits this. I'm backing Oakland tonight.
 
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Posted: #43
Tee Time at 230 Pacific Time so this will be my Final Card for the Day:

$$$$ Seattle -145 (Note:  I am going to play 1 Unit on Seattle -145 and 1 Unit on the Run Line +145)  So a Double Unit Play.

For those not following my last several posts on OCA, they are a total mess right now.  Only Trout hitting decent and everyone else seems to be struggling.  Escobar and new SS Pennington both left last nights game due to injuries and "please check out lineups" if you want to play more.  Earns has been throwing really well of late 2-0 1.86 ERA in Last 3.  He IS a 5th starter and had a little issue with the Angels last year, but I like his form and I LOVE the negative form of the Angels.

Throw in a 5 AM arrival into Seattle after Losing 6 straight and I think we have the BEST part of this game.

I have PLAYED Sale 7 straight games so far this year and I see no reason (other than Severino) to not go with him again.  I saw the Yankess vs Lefties earlier in the year and they simply struggle with all their L handed bats.  CWS coming off losing 2 of 3 to Texas and although they hit well their, this is a different animal at Yankke stadium.

I believe in Sale but not in the White Sox offense, but I think we have to keep streaking with Sale and play the good team vs bad team (right now).






 
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Posted: #44
Quote Originally Posted by PimpNation:

Tee Time at 230 Pacific Time so this will be my Final Card for the Day:

$$$$ Seattle -145 (Note:  I am going to play 1 Unit on Seattle -145 and 1 Unit on the Run Line +145)  So a Double Unit Play.

For those not following my last several posts on OCA, they are a total mess right now.  Only Trout hitting decent and everyone else seems to be struggling.  Escobar and new SS Pennington both left last nights game due to injuries and "please check out lineups" if you want to play more.  Earns has been throwing really well of late 2-0 1.86 ERA in Last 3.  He IS a 5th starter and had a little issue with the Angels last year, but I like his form and I LOVE the negative form of the Angels.

Throw in a 5 AM arrival into Seattle after Losing 6 straight and I think we have the BEST part of this game.

I have PLAYED Sale 7 straight games so far this year and I see no reason (other than Severino) to not go with him again.  I saw the Yankess vs Lefties earlier in the year and they simply struggle with all their L handed bats.  CWS coming off losing 2 of 3 to Texas and although they hit well their, this is a different animal at Yankke stadium.

I believe in Sale but not in the White Sox offense, but I think we have to keep streaking with Sale and play the good team vs bad team (right now).







Change your avatar
 
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Posted: #45
Adding two other plays tonight:

Texas:  Again, I keep going back to the well tonight.  Texas had a night off and this is a double, triple revenge game (series) for Texas.  Toro has kicked the Rangers around a little lately and I think (Dickey always a wild card) we have a slight pitching edge.  We have a HUGE edge in batting in my opinion with the Jays struggling a little bit lately.  We are getting even $ or a little cash back so I really like this play.  Note:  Dickey has given up the MOST HRs in the Majors since he was traded to Toronto.  Lets hope Perez can keep his 5-7 innings of 1-3 run ball going.  I got Texas 6-3 or 7-4

CLE-Minny Over:  Minny has lost 7 straight but has gone OVER in 8-1-1 Last 10.  CLE has gone Over in 6 of 8  Nolasco gave up 7 last time out and Tomlin has been average over his Last 3 starts.  I just have a feeling with get a game with some runs tonight.  Mayer starting to hit and I really do like the Twins lineup (as a last place team) and their pitching has been horrific of late.  I can't give ou too much more on this game other than a feel I have for the game.  I see this as a classic 6-5 or 7-5 game with a total dropping to 8 from 8.5.




 
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Posted: #46
Quote Originally Posted by clutch101:


Try to stay away from the puck lines or do -1.5 as a max especially as competition gets better.  

Clutch~

Good advice.

If I had watched the game, I definitely would have taken Czech live @ -1.5, for sure, but I chose to go outside and work.

Of all the hockey games tomorrow, Sat, listed below, which ones would you consider to be the strongest plays?

Finland vs. France
Sweden vs. Norway
Russia vs. Switzerland 
Canada vs. Slovakia

I'd say Canada.

 
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Posted: #47
Nova-  The ho's love my dog.  Poor guy couldn't get picked up at the pound..never figured out why?


 
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Posted: #48
Final Card:

Seattle -145 
Seattle -1.5 +145
Texas  Even
CWS -145
CLE over 8 

Parlay (Sea, Texas, CWS, Cle Over)
Parlay (Sea -1.5, Texas, CWS -1.5, Cle Over and Pitt/TB Over 5)

Tailing Matt26 on this play, sounds like a good thing for the board!!!

Good luck to all!


 
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Posted: #49
Quote Originally Posted by PimpNation:

Tee Time at 230 Pacific Time so this will be my Final Card for the Day:$$$$ Seattle -145 (Note:  I am going to play 1 Unit on Seattle -145 and 1 Unit on the Run Line +145)  So a Double Unit Play.For those not following my last several posts on OCA, they are a total mess right now.  Only Trout hitting decent and everyone else seems to be struggling.  Escobar and new SS Pennington both left last nights game due to injuries and "please check out lineups" if you want to play more.  Earns has been throwing really well of late 2-0 1.86 ERA in Last 3.  He IS a 5th starter and had a little issue with the Angels last year, but I like his form and I LOVE the negative form of the Angels.Throw in a 5 AM arrival into Seattle after Losing 6 straight and I think we have the BEST part of this game.I have PLAYED Sale 7 straight games so far this year and I see no reason (other than Severino) to not go with him again.  I saw the Yankess vs Lefties earlier in the year and they simply struggle with all their L handed bats.  CWS coming off losing 2 of 3 to Texas and although they hit well their, this is a different animal at Yankke stadium.I believe in Sale but not in the White Sox offense, but I think we have to keep streaking with Sale and play the good team vs bad team (right now).


White sox TT over seems like a reasonable play pimp. Severino has been getting hit pretty hard. Just hard to bet any overs with Miller, betances, and chapman looming.
 
 
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Posted: #50
Last thing:  

How good is Hammel for the Cubs been????  1.62 ERA....never gets priced up too high, great team and run support, he is going on my PLAY ON LIST until he bucks me 1x or 2x in a row.

Like Boston too tonight but i am too late to the party train that is the Red Sox, no way they win if I play it after I missed a 5 game winning streak where they win every game by5-10 runs.


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