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Bubba's $$$$ Thread ~ MONDAY ~ Post Your BEST Play (With Write-up) ~ 05/16/16

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Posted: #26
Quote Originally Posted by Bubbaski27:

Pending $$$$ Summary: 2

nfl_brosuf Boston Red Sox -128
Kilo17 Penguins/Lightning Under 5


@Kilo17,  I think I am going to be on the opposite side of your play.  I think the pace will be pushed a little more in this game with the speed both teams have.  This is a tough spot for Andrei to start in and Pens have the skill to put up 5 on their own. 

Tampa Bay/Pitt 2016 Regular Season Meetings:

January 15th 5-4
February 5th 6-3
February 20th 4-2

Also had a preseason game go over and their last two meetings from last season.  
 

I know I don't contribute alot but I do follow this thread everday. I am with you on this one Bubba. I totally agree on the pace of the game and I look for a 4 to 2 or 4 to 3 score for the game tonight.
 
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Posted: #27
What's up Everyone,

Not sure if I am allowed to post here? I usually have only posted NHL and NBA picks. But thought I would share something with everybody.

Royals pitcher Ventura has an ERA of 7.71 in the 1st Inning. The Red Sox are the top scoring 1st Inning team. Not only do I trust the Red Sox to win today but my play would be: RED SOX SCORE FIRST tonight. Not sure if Ventura is the worst 1st inning pitcher in the league but I'll take the hottest hitting team to score first tonight before the royals do.

Hope everyone makes some money tonight!!
 
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Posted: #28
Bubba I would definitely like the RSS feed better. Covers is horrible from mobile devices for both posting and keeping track.
 
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Posted: #29
Bubba, I have noticed since the roll over from Baskets to Baseball, there have been many more posters just making a few plays, and then apparently dropping out, which is their prerogative. This, at least for me,sort of clutters the more regular posters, and I am sure adds to your burden of tracking. All that said it's your call. As for the possible move to some where else is fine by me. I truly appreciate yours,NFL's, Pimp's, Topflight's,, for that matter all the more regular posters, so if you decide to move I will follow!
 
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Posted: #30
Quote Originally Posted by Bubbaski27:

Before I post the standings and weekly update I want to get a response from the regulars on two items:1.  I want to bring new people in to the thread but I also want to weed out the people who don't take the $$$$ Play seriously and put in time/research into their play.  The thread has over 100, I repeat, OVER 100 LOSSES due to HIT AND RUNS ( People who post a $$$$ lose once, twice, thrice and LEAVE AND NEVER RETURN).
The question, 1. Should a players first week count or should we use that as a trial by fire?
2.   Would anyone be opposed to moving this forum outside of Covers?  

1) Like the trial idea.
2) I just visited 'Community'>'Sports Picks'> 'Other' to look up possible college lacrosse. I notice only a few threads are very recent, meaning this forum attracts less attention... If that helps. Not exactly outside of covers, but loyal followers/contributors will get it.
 
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Posted: #31
Bubba,

From an outsiders perspective I am always interested in reading this thread and there is usually more great information and winners then random people posting one thing and never coming back again. Like someone else above me mentioned, the people who read this thread on a daily basis know the regular user's who we should tail and the ones that come along once in a blue moon who add no value. I for the first time posted today, wasn't sure if I was allowed to because it seems like it's a standings/competition thread and I didn't want to mess anything up. But I came across what I thought was valuable info for a play so I posted it. I personally appreciate this thread very much and would love to see it continue. Thank you for all your hard work!
 
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Posted: #32
$$$$ Play for today GS/OKC game under 115 1st H.

I know these two teams can light it up at anytime and both teams like to play up tempo. I just think this game will be played a little tighter than the regular season games and I know OKC has seemed to be getting stronger through the playoffs. Here are the 1st H stats for the year. I think the total hits around 110 for the 1st H. I believe both teams defense show up tonight for a more controlled game.

Team              Season     Last 3    Last 1    Home    Away 
Golden State      58.3         53.7      58.0      59.2      57.4 
Oklahoma City   55.6         47.7      55.0       54.9      56.4 
 
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Posted: #33
Bubba-

I am good either way...always been a team player and I just want to keep winning. And it is easy to navigate...I use covers for a lot of other details and information when I am studying game logs etc.

I guess what is most important to me in standing is Last 5-10 games  I use me as an example:  I think I started 10-1 or something like that and now I am about 5-5 or 6-4 in my Last 10...lol  I know that prob requires a lot of leg work etc. I follow most on here but every once in a while I read a good post and forget who made it unless it is Top, Bubba, NFL or Mozart, etc.  

But either way, I am going to keep on chugging along...
 
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Posted: #34
Monday Observations:

1.  Do I continue to fade the OKC Thunder (2-3 last series) as I played off in Game 6.?  Warriors look much the best and I think their small ball and guards will be the difference here.  

2.  Why is Philly catching +130 at home?  Eickhoff has pitched well with no results.  Miami coming off a big Series with the Nats and I am not sure status of Ozuna and Stanton after their collision yesterday.. let's check lineups 

3.  OVER in Texas Game:  This Valencia kid is on Fire...batting .342 and just smoked 3 home runs yesterday.  Both pitchers are struggling a little and both seem to be hitting...this looks easy except night game in Oakland where hone runs go to die.

4.  Yankees and Dbacks OVER:  Yankees have started to hit in the warmer weather...Arizona and that ballpark = warmer weather.  Robbie Ray = hits  and Chad Green starting = ????  He has to bat and said he hasn't hit since high school.  I lean to the Yankees and Over...there is a play here as I LOVE the bullpen for Yanks (best in baseball) and I said last week the Yankees WILL NOT finish last in the AL east...need to start pitching a little better but they will hit.

5.  KC...I read NFL (I think) about Boston and while ALL of his points are valid, there is NO WAY Boston keeps scoring 10 runs per game.  Heading to a pitchers park and I KNOW for a fact the Ventura is MUCH better than Porcello and I don't care what their ERAs say...Ventura is a monster.  Probably won't play this game as I refuse to bet against a streak...but be careful here.  KC is MUCH better than they are playing right now.
 
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Posted: #35
Regular $$$$ Players Streaks

NOTE:  Chronological order from left to right; Just like a timeline.  The most recent play will be on the right side.  The oldest will be on the left.

Username    W     L     D Total $s Last 10 $$$$s
NFL_brosuf 34 22 3 59 WWWWWWWLWW
TopFlightS. 22 17 1 40 LWLLLWWLLL
Bubbaski27 22 11 2 35 WWWLWLLWLD
Lakerz 13 17 2 32 LLWLDLLLLL
pimpnation 17 7 0 24 WLWWWWLWLW
Forty9ersfan80 8 14 0 22 LWLWWLWLWLL
Matt2688 11 8 1 20 LWLDWWWWLWW
thesleeper 13 6 0 19 LLWWWWWWLWL
chuckles394 8 11 0 19 WWWLWLLLLLL
bnyce21 9 4 1 14 WWWWWWLWWLW
here2contrib.. 5 8 0 13 LLLWLLLLLWW
Kilo17 6 5 1 12 WLLLWWDWWLL
kosmos4 6 6 0 12 LWWLWWWLLLL
wpgjetsfan19.. 6 4 1 11 DWWWLWWLLLW

 
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Posted: #36
Continued

Username    W     L     D Total $s Last 10 $$$$s
Da_Oracle 6 4 0 10 WWWL
Par_Laid 6 4 0 10 LWWWWWLLLW
longshot4 5 5 0 10 WWLWLLWLLW
MaxWagner 4 6 0 10 LWLWWLLWLL
ultimatetailer 4 6 0 10 LLLLWWWLWL
BK1374 5 3 1 9 WDWW
newmi 7 1 0 8 WWWWWWWL
TheHat 4 3 0 7 LWWWWLL
brightsizelife 3 3 0 6 WLWLWL
ThePhilly4 4 1 0 5 WWWLW
Selective_p... 3 2 0 5 WLWWL
Dr2Half 2 2 1 5 DLWWL
SilentSawdust 3 1 0 4 WWWL
Hoopsstar 2 0 0 2 WW
mermanmaid 2 0 0 2 WW



NOTE: I also have data on some players dating back 20+ plays.  The only thing I don't track is a player's success in different sports/leagues.
 
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Posted: #37
Pending $$$$ Summary: 3

nfl_brosuf Boston Red Sox -128
Kilo17 Penguins/Lightning Under 5
HoopsStar GS/OKC 1st Half Under 115
 
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Posted: #38
Bubba~

Thank you for all your work to update the standings/streaks.

 
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Posted: #39
Bubba,

Comments well taken. I personally enjoy the thread and have been guilty of cluttering it up with a lot of editorial. In respect for the thread, will reduce that. Only $$$$ plays for me going forward.

Easy today because only one game stuck out at me. My play $$$$ today is Zimmermann and the Tigers -142. No secret Detroit has not been playing well although they burned me and won yesterday, but I was really surprised when I saw the line. I get Zimmermann with less than a 1.60 ERA at less than -150 against one of the worst teams/road teams, who have had just a brutal recent schedule. We all know Zimmerman is solid. Yes, he lost his last two games to Scherrzer and hamels who never seems to lose since he left Philly. He already beat MN 4-1 late last month in MN. I will admit he is facing a pitcher in Berrios, who has some pretty good stuff, but seems to be working through some control issues so far in the bigs.
 
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Posted: #40
The Tigers line keeps dropping even though so much money still going on it
 
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Posted: #41
Red Sox team total over 4 (-115) $$$$

$$$$ history 3-1

Last week was good for cashing out after the games for those who took my picks. For today, I have to roll with the Red Sox, yes I know again. But listen, the sox have hit the team total in 8 of their last 10 games.

When playing KC, both teams have the possibility of scoring runs. In the last 10 meetings, sox have scored less than 4 runs only 1 time. Big Papi sat out Sunday and the team still scored 10 runs. The big guy returns to the plate tonight and I expect a lot of runs here.

The offensive of the Red Sox is just too explosive right now for KC to handle and KC pitcher (Venture) has a 5.19 ERA against the Red Sox in his lonely 3 starts against the high octane team.

Gotta roll with the trends here and Red Sox team total over 4 is the way to go tonight. 

Don't forget to see the cashier after the game.



 
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Posted: #42
@bubba, against the grain it is.  hit the under on last nights game and see a trend of more low scoring games to come.  i also love what the lightning are doing defensively. Tough group that matches up well. 

BOL either way. Love this thread and try my best to be a contributor. 

 
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Posted: #43

$$$$Boston Red Sox Team Total OVER3.5 -140$$$$$

With all due respects to Pimp's comments that Ventura is a "monster" He has been in the past although NOT lately as his control has been seriously crashing. Sure he is 3-2 with a 4.62 era not bad,  but if you stare quickly over at his walks per 9 innings you see a whopping average 6.8 walks per 9 innings pitched. OUCH.. Extra base runner equal more runs and we got the low number at 3.5 with high juice. Yeah its large but then its going to be our only play of the day. More? Kansas City just got off a game where they had to use their bull pen by committee ( burning on fumes ) and then the game went into extra innings where the Royals were forced to deploy 8 pitchers to throw 148 pitches... so Ventura had better be a monster tonight because he's going to be expected to stay out there for a good long time because the Royals have nothing left in their pen to stop any leaks and Boston will likely leak over 3.5 runs unless Ventura can reduce his walk ratio...

 

 
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Posted: #44
Gonna make my 1st baseball $$$$ play:

CIN/CLE o 8.5 (-120)
-Cody Anderson absolute garbo this year (7.31 ERA)
-Lamb hurt thumb, could mean early exit to leagues worst (by far) bullpen
-Wind blowing out at a decent clip
-Progressive Field #6 hitters park

Would also consider CIN TT 0 3.5

Thanks for the forum, been following since NCAA hoops. Fade or follow - best of luck!
 
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Posted: #45
Red Sox @ Royals game today ... postponed.


 
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Posted: #46

BOSTON/KC POSTPONED

Note: While I don't post a lot here I do post if I ever find a gem (that's the idea of this thread) I will never force plays. I would not post anything I did not have extremely good reasoning for. That being said...I have so much respect for everyone who participates and puts out time to make this a very interesting daily read.

 mandatory remedial gambling school 101

 

 

 
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Posted: #47
$$$$ Play ~~ LA Angels @ LA Dodgers -1 (-143) ~~ $$$$ Play

1) Dodger's Maeda is in top form, pitching very well with a 1.023 WHIP so far this season. Maeda lost his last game, so he'll be motivated to bounce back, as most top pitchers do in reaction to any recent loss.

2) Happy Kane's Mojo Charts show the entire Dodger's team having good mojo for the day, so that bodes well for them to hit Angels' Shoemaker hard today.

3) Speaking of Shoemaker -- he's a great pitcher ... to fade, big.  His WHIP is close to 2.00 with an ERA of around 9. Happy Kane's Mojo Charts has a bad mojo C- rating for Shoemaker for the day.

I've noticed that when a bad mojo of C- is tagged on a fade-list pitcher, combined with a good team with a good mojo for the day with a very good pitcher on the mound, the vast majority of the time, the good team wins.

I've taken some damn hits on my units of late, so I'm going conservative with my -1 play; otherwise, this would be a -1.5 (+115) play.

Dodgers had BETTER NOT allow Blow-up Blanton play on the field today after what he did yesterday!
 
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Posted: #48
$$$$ Tampa Bay Rays +110 $$$$

In Happ's last 4 starts vs TB he's let up 6 or 7 hits in each game resulting in multiple runs but 1. Smyly even though his record dosent indicate it has almost twice as many K's and a better WHIP then HAPP. taking the rays as dogs tonight.
 
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Posted: #49
Quote Originally Posted by Bubbaski27:

Regular $$$$ Players Streaks

NOTE:  Chronological order from left to right; Just like a timeline.  The most recent play will be on the right side.  The oldest will be on the left.

Username    W     L     D Total $s Last 10 $$$$s
NFL_brosuf 34 22 3 59 WWWWWWWLWW
TopFlightS. 22 17 1 40 LWLLLWWLLL
Bubbaski27 22 11 2 35 WWWLWLLWLD
Lakerz 13 17 2 32 LLWLDLLLLL
pimpnation 17 7 0 24 WLWWWWLWLW
Forty9ersfan80 8 14 0 22 LWLWWLWLWLL
Matt2688 11 8 1 20 LWLDWWWWLWW
thesleeper 13 6 0 19 LLWWWWWWLWL
chuckles394 8 11 0 19 WWWLWLLLLLL
bnyce21 9 4 1 14 WWWWWWLWWLW
here2contrib.. 5 8 0 13 LLLWLLLLLWW
Kilo17 6 5 1 12 WLLLWWDWWLL
kosmos4 6 6 0 12 LWWLWWWLLLL
wpgjetsfan19.. 6 4 1 11 DWWWLWWLLLW



This visualization is awesome. Thanks for all you're doing and keeping this $$$$ alive from Holmes. 

Just a suggestion, dialy update of standing helps us all to follow. I know you are busy so maybe someone can help you with the standing? 
 
 
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Posted: #50
**Thread Record 0-4**

Hey Guys,

Don't mind me, just trying to crawl out of the gutter for this one. I have an iron will, I'll recover from the poor start. I won't do any $$$ plays since I'm ice cold ATM and don't wanna ruin the thread's percentages.

Detroit Tigers ML (1.74)

The Tigers have got some juice after rallying to beat the Orioles yesterday. Zimmerman has been pitching great and has been averaging 7 innings each outing of solid work. The Twins batters are unfamiliar with Zimmerman, and the lone batter who is, Dozier, is 0 for 6. Mauer is ice cold, my only worry is Byung Ho Park in the cleanup position. The Tigers swept Minnesota in a 3 game set earlier this year, and Martinez and Castellanos are 1-2 in the AL in batting average. For the Twins, this is Berrios' 4th major league start and he is facing some serious bats. I expect him to get touched up early and often by Miggy and the gang on their home turf.
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