Morning Everyone...tough night as we don't get home on the Hockey over and the Rangers apparently celebrated the fight too much on the plane ride to seattle. 1-3-1 for the Nation.
Bounce Back Tuesday:
I waited on this game all week and I get a great price:
$$$$ ARIZONA -118 $$$$
Pineda has been on my Fade list for over a month and we have been successful against him. Arizona bats woke up a little last night and Goldschmidt will hit. Losing Peralta for a little while is not the best thing for the Snakes, but I still think this team can hit. I am not 100% sold on Greinke tonight (and how could you?) but I KNOW we are better than Pineda and I think the Dbacks will absolutely crush him tonight.
This may also be a good OVER play as both teams have been hitting, we get a great ballpark and the game went over last night. Total a little weird as the line today is 8 and last night is 9.
But for me, I will keep fading my boy Pineda and see if we can cash another one!!
$$$$ Arizona
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Morning Everyone...tough night as we don't get home on the Hockey over and the Rangers apparently celebrated the fight too much on the plane ride to seattle. 1-3-1 for the Nation.
Bounce Back Tuesday:
I waited on this game all week and I get a great price:
$$$$ ARIZONA -118 $$$$
Pineda has been on my Fade list for over a month and we have been successful against him. Arizona bats woke up a little last night and Goldschmidt will hit. Losing Peralta for a little while is not the best thing for the Snakes, but I still think this team can hit. I am not 100% sold on Greinke tonight (and how could you?) but I KNOW we are better than Pineda and I think the Dbacks will absolutely crush him tonight.
This may also be a good OVER play as both teams have been hitting, we get a great ballpark and the game went over last night. Total a little weird as the line today is 8 and last night is 9.
But for me, I will keep fading my boy Pineda and see if we can cash another one!!
Cleveland -1.5 Run Line: I said Cincy was the worst team in the NL all year (worse the Milwaukee) only because their bullpen is so bad. We get one of my FADE pitchers in Simon and I will go with this game. Cleveland has been one of the most disappointing teams over the past 13 months as they just seem to hover around .500. On paper, this is a total mismatch. Gimme some Indians -1.5 )(-120)
Mets -120 I LOVE MAX!!!! But he spent a lot on energy in his last start to get 20k and I think he almost 1000% has a set back. What is forgotten in that MONSTER game was that he gave ups home run in the 9th and 2 runs. 2 Runs vs SynerG and that might be enough for the Mets.
LAD -1.5 (1-130) Look, I was all over fading the Angels last week and was on our way to 4-0 when the Seattle bullpen got involved. However, I jumped off that bandwagon and I NEVER (hardly) bet against a streak (OCA 4 straight) but this matchup is simply stupid. The Dodgers bullpen is so bad right now other than Jansen, I don't trust ANYONE in their pen.
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Cleveland -1.5 Run Line: I said Cincy was the worst team in the NL all year (worse the Milwaukee) only because their bullpen is so bad. We get one of my FADE pitchers in Simon and I will go with this game. Cleveland has been one of the most disappointing teams over the past 13 months as they just seem to hover around .500. On paper, this is a total mismatch. Gimme some Indians -1.5 )(-120)
Mets -120 I LOVE MAX!!!! But he spent a lot on energy in his last start to get 20k and I think he almost 1000% has a set back. What is forgotten in that MONSTER game was that he gave ups home run in the 9th and 2 runs. 2 Runs vs SynerG and that might be enough for the Mets.
LAD -1.5 (1-130) Look, I was all over fading the Angels last week and was on our way to 4-0 when the Seattle bullpen got involved. However, I jumped off that bandwagon and I NEVER (hardly) bet against a streak (OCA 4 straight) but this matchup is simply stupid. The Dodgers bullpen is so bad right now other than Jansen, I don't trust ANYONE in their pen.
Hamels: For those following me of late know how much I like this guy. The world has caught up to Jake A and I literally have bet hi every game during his winning streak. Camels is on a similar streak himself (although of course not as great) but since July 25 (yes, Hamels is the last pitcher to beat Jake) Hamels is 16-5 when pitching. That is unreal...of course compared to Jake, it looks average but do not underestimate this guy especially with that offense.
Other Games that look great and the Card in PHENOMENAL today!!!!
SF -175 I love the way Bum has been throwing but this line in really high considering the Padres hit Lefties (at last better than righties)
Cubs (Chase Anderson is a gas can) Cubs should tough him up early and often.
Archer + $ looks silly to me but Stroman can bee tough too.
Pelfrey is on my FADE list but I am not sure i can invest in Hughes.
KC: I will not bet against Boston and many of you were all over Boston yesterday. I pass but like Ventura at home.
Philly: Someone help me here. I read one of the posts on Miami and I am not saying that isn't the right play. But Velasquez is a total MONSTER (at home, getting $ and uno matter what you think of Philly, they would be in the Playoffs if the season ended today)
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Texas -120
Hamels: For those following me of late know how much I like this guy. The world has caught up to Jake A and I literally have bet hi every game during his winning streak. Camels is on a similar streak himself (although of course not as great) but since July 25 (yes, Hamels is the last pitcher to beat Jake) Hamels is 16-5 when pitching. That is unreal...of course compared to Jake, it looks average but do not underestimate this guy especially with that offense.
Other Games that look great and the Card in PHENOMENAL today!!!!
SF -175 I love the way Bum has been throwing but this line in really high considering the Padres hit Lefties (at last better than righties)
Cubs (Chase Anderson is a gas can) Cubs should tough him up early and often.
Archer + $ looks silly to me but Stroman can bee tough too.
Pelfrey is on my FADE list but I am not sure i can invest in Hughes.
KC: I will not bet against Boston and many of you were all over Boston yesterday. I pass but like Ventura at home.
Philly: Someone help me here. I read one of the posts on Miami and I am not saying that isn't the right play. But Velasquez is a total MONSTER (at home, getting $ and uno matter what you think of Philly, they would be in the Playoffs if the season ended today)
Liking a few games today. Playing more than i usually do... Going with----Redsox, Cubs, Mets under, Tigers over. And will tail pimp on Arizona and Texas and the Sleeeper on the Rays. May even add another. But for me my $$$$ play will be on Tigers over 9.5 TheHat has a good pick on Tigers TT over with a good writeup. The weather doesn't look to be an issue. Both teams are hitting as seen yesterday. Hughes is 0-4, 8.50 in his last four starts; his last three starts went over. .Pelfrey is 0-4, 7.07 in his seven starts; his last three starts went over. Minnesota is 4-17 on the road; over is 9-3 in their last 12 games and for Detroit eight of its last ten went over.
$$$$ Detroit Tigers over 9.5 $$$$
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Liking a few games today. Playing more than i usually do... Going with----Redsox, Cubs, Mets under, Tigers over. And will tail pimp on Arizona and Texas and the Sleeeper on the Rays. May even add another. But for me my $$$$ play will be on Tigers over 9.5 TheHat has a good pick on Tigers TT over with a good writeup. The weather doesn't look to be an issue. Both teams are hitting as seen yesterday. Hughes is 0-4, 8.50 in his last four starts; his last three starts went over. .Pelfrey is 0-4, 7.07 in his seven starts; his last three starts went over. Minnesota is 4-17 on the road; over is 9-3 in their last 12 games and for Detroit eight of its last ten went over.
My Final Card (Note: Sometimes a card is simply better than others and I think is ok to play more games...esp if you are a Per Game Unit player)
Arizona -118 2 units (Note 2: FYI if I am a $500 player, 2 units on Az -118 means I am risking 590 to win 500) So yes, I will get popped on juice etc sometimes
Mets -110 1 Unit
Cubs -1.5 (-120) 1 Unit
Texas -115 2 Units
LAD -1.5 1 Unit
Cleveland -1.5 2 Units
I will tail the Over In Hockey for 1 Unit
And I like Longshots Over in Detroit for 1 Unit
Parlays 1/2 Unit (AZ, Mets, Texas, Cleve RL) pays 11-1
Parlays 1/2 Unit (AZ, Mets, Texas, Cleve RL with LAD -1.5 and Cubs -1.5) Pays 36-1
Total Risk 12 Units HUGE CARD for the Pimp Nation......Leeeeeggggoooooooooooo!!!!!
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My Final Card (Note: Sometimes a card is simply better than others and I think is ok to play more games...esp if you are a Per Game Unit player)
Arizona -118 2 units (Note 2: FYI if I am a $500 player, 2 units on Az -118 means I am risking 590 to win 500) So yes, I will get popped on juice etc sometimes
Mets -110 1 Unit
Cubs -1.5 (-120) 1 Unit
Texas -115 2 Units
LAD -1.5 1 Unit
Cleveland -1.5 2 Units
I will tail the Over In Hockey for 1 Unit
And I like Longshots Over in Detroit for 1 Unit
Parlays 1/2 Unit (AZ, Mets, Texas, Cleve RL) pays 11-1
Parlays 1/2 Unit (AZ, Mets, Texas, Cleve RL with LAD -1.5 and Cubs -1.5) Pays 36-1
Total Risk 12 Units HUGE CARD for the Pimp Nation......Leeeeeggggoooooooooooo!!!!!
If I could post a 2nd $$$$ play today it would be the Pirates TT over 4.
Blair has given up 7 runs in his last 2 outings over 8 2/3 innings with his last outing only lasting 3 2/3 inning. I believe Blair will get touched hard this game. Atlanta's Bullpen has a YTD 4.21 ERA and Last 3 ERA of a whopping 8.82...I actually think I might like this play better the more I look at it,
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If I could post a 2nd $$$$ play today it would be the Pirates TT over 4.
Blair has given up 7 runs in his last 2 outings over 8 2/3 innings with his last outing only lasting 3 2/3 inning. I believe Blair will get touched hard this game. Atlanta's Bullpen has a YTD 4.21 ERA and Last 3 ERA of a whopping 8.82...I actually think I might like this play better the more I look at it,
Erase everything from your mind that I said Monday night except for the fact that Hendricks has been very good again the Brewers
in the first 5 innings he has faced them the last 3 years.
Anderson has been horrible at home and even
worse at night.
My book doesn't offer a 1st 5 yet. Once I get it, I'll post it. If it's greater than -150 (which I doubt that it will be), I'll take the Cubs at -1.5 as my $$$$ play.
$$$$ Cubs -.5 (1st 5) $$$$
I like this paly as well tonight along with Cubs TT over 5
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Quote Originally Posted by lltb43:
Erase everything from your mind that I said Monday night except for the fact that Hendricks has been very good again the Brewers
in the first 5 innings he has faced them the last 3 years.
Anderson has been horrible at home and even
worse at night.
My book doesn't offer a 1st 5 yet. Once I get it, I'll post it. If it's greater than -150 (which I doubt that it will be), I'll take the Cubs at -1.5 as my $$$$ play.
$$$$ Cubs -.5 (1st 5) $$$$
I like this paly as well tonight along with Cubs TT over 5
Raptors are without Valanciunas which is a huge loss for them. Cavs have 2 great big men and lebron can play big. Also 3pt shooting is big to watch Raptors are a poor defensive 3pt shooting team and Cavs shot over 40% from deep in the first 2 series. Cavs are rested and healthy give me Cleveland minus the points.
Also playing Twins ML
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$$$$ Cleveland Cavs -11 $$$$
Raptors are without Valanciunas which is a huge loss for them. Cavs have 2 great big men and lebron can play big. Also 3pt shooting is big to watch Raptors are a poor defensive 3pt shooting team and Cavs shot over 40% from deep in the first 2 series. Cavs are rested and healthy give me Cleveland minus the points.
Took Cubbies and Dodgers moneyline parlay tonight. Both have serious starting pitching advantages. Need to break this short slump before it turns into a crash and burn scenario!
Jack Ryan
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Took Cubbies and Dodgers moneyline parlay tonight. Both have serious starting pitching advantages. Need to break this short slump before it turns into a crash and burn scenario!
YANKEES TT OVER 3.5 BOSTON TT OVER 4 CUBS TT OVER 5 BOSTON 1ST 5INN PIRATES OVER 7.5 AND YANKEES WILL BEAT ARIZONA TONIGHT!
this might be the best write up all year! strictly plays, no insight, and he goes against a respective capper on this thread. this is not what this thread is about.
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Quote Originally Posted by POLISH:
YANKEES TT OVER 3.5 BOSTON TT OVER 4 CUBS TT OVER 5 BOSTON 1ST 5INN PIRATES OVER 7.5 AND YANKEES WILL BEAT ARIZONA TONIGHT!
this might be the best write up all year! strictly plays, no insight, and he goes against a respective capper on this thread. this is not what this thread is about.
Eternal---in that scenario, yes. But I live in Vegas so my unit play is based on my overall bankroll, Usually 3-5%. So if I have a $10,000 bankroll, My unit play would be $300-500 per game. There are times when I feel a run coming, a unit play may be 10% (I don't have that much discipline) or if at the beginning of the week , my bankroll increased 20%, them my unit play would increase too.
It is my $ mgt system and not the most conservative. And I really like a play...I may hammer it for much more. You can't do that typically at a book...but Vegas relishes that play lol
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Eternal---in that scenario, yes. But I live in Vegas so my unit play is based on my overall bankroll, Usually 3-5%. So if I have a $10,000 bankroll, My unit play would be $300-500 per game. There are times when I feel a run coming, a unit play may be 10% (I don't have that much discipline) or if at the beginning of the week , my bankroll increased 20%, them my unit play would increase too.
It is my $ mgt system and not the most conservative. And I really like a play...I may hammer it for much more. You can't do that typically at a book...but Vegas relishes that play lol
I have no worries someone calling out a play. If he been reading me day 1, it is MUCH more of an anti-Pineda play than a Greinke play. Line looks fishy...but I will go with Gscmidt and Lamb again tonight.
I am more than happy if he hits his Yanks over total, I just suggested he play AZ over as well. We will see what happens!!
Good luck!
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Kilo...lol
I have no worries someone calling out a play. If he been reading me day 1, it is MUCH more of an anti-Pineda play than a Greinke play. Line looks fishy...but I will go with Gscmidt and Lamb again tonight.
I am more than happy if he hits his Yanks over total, I just suggested he play AZ over as well. We will see what happens!!
Really like the Royals TT over 3.5 tonight as well. Porcello is not as good as this years numbers portray him to be. KC is a legit offense, they can score many different ways and don't strike out very much. Think they tag Porcello tonight. KC TT over 3.5 at +110 is a valuable play! Game total over 7(-120) is a big play for me as well, wish I saw this sooner. Ventura is young and wild, he shows flashes of greatness but the Red Sox have just been killing it at the plate. Love the over for the game!
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Really like the Royals TT over 3.5 tonight as well. Porcello is not as good as this years numbers portray him to be. KC is a legit offense, they can score many different ways and don't strike out very much. Think they tag Porcello tonight. KC TT over 3.5 at +110 is a valuable play! Game total over 7(-120) is a big play for me as well, wish I saw this sooner. Ventura is young and wild, he shows flashes of greatness but the Red Sox have just been killing it at the plate. Love the over for the game!
My money play is on the Twins. My reasoning is I have been looking at this line all day and the White Sox went from +105 to -108 now back to +115.. not to mention most the pubic is on the W.Sox but yet they went from dog, to favorites to dogs which tells me that Minnesota will take this game
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Minnesota Twins
My money play is on the Twins. My reasoning is I have been looking at this line all day and the White Sox went from +105 to -108 now back to +115.. not to mention most the pubic is on the W.Sox but yet they went from dog, to favorites to dogs which tells me that Minnesota will take this game
@HoopsStar I completely agree with you, except Bet365 is giving me 4.5 instead of 4. I'll roll the dice and take that instead.
The Braves just fired their coach and are in danger of going 20 games under .500 tonight. They are the worst team in the MLB ATM. Pirates bats are starting to roll again, and they're 8th in run production, 5th in batting percentage. Blair for ATL is struggling with his control, giving up 11 walks in 20 innings of work this year, only averaging 5 innings per start.
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Thread Record: 1-4 (1 Straight)
$$ Pirates TT Over 4.5 $$(2.15)
@HoopsStar I completely agree with you, except Bet365 is giving me 4.5 instead of 4. I'll roll the dice and take that instead.
The Braves just fired their coach and are in danger of going 20 games under .500 tonight. They are the worst team in the MLB ATM. Pirates bats are starting to roll again, and they're 8th in run production, 5th in batting percentage. Blair for ATL is struggling with his control, giving up 11 walks in 20 innings of work this year, only averaging 5 innings per start.
My money play is on the Twins. My reasoning is I have been looking at this line all day and the White Sox went from +105 to -108 now back to +115.. not to mention most the pubic is on the W.Sox but yet they went from dog, to favorites to dogs which tells me that Minnesota will take this game
Minnesota plays Detroit
houston plays the white sox
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Quote Originally Posted by NicIce:
Minnesota Twins
My money play is on the Twins. My reasoning is I have been looking at this line all day and the White Sox went from +105 to -108 now back to +115.. not to mention most the pubic is on the W.Sox but yet they went from dog, to favorites to dogs which tells me that Minnesota will take this game
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