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MLB - Monday 5/18

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BonziWells

Rookie

Joined: Mar, 2007

Posts: 837

Posted: May. 18, 2009 - 8:39 PM ET #101

thanks for keeping track clown. get lost.

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norseman67

Captain

Joined: Mar, 2007

Posts: 7428

Posted: May. 19, 2009 - 1:11 AM ET #102

TAM

PIT

MIN-NYY 9.5>

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MDnightFlight

Veteran

Joined: Jan, 2009

Posts: 2793

Posted: May. 19, 2009 - 3:01 AM ET #103

bounce back tomorrow GH

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NFLNightmares

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2008

Posts: 2322

Posted: May. 19, 2009 - 3:17 AM ET #104

Get em tomorrow chief.

Bottom line is the bottom line and you are a proven commodity.

We all have these days as gamblers.

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norseman67

Captain

Joined: Mar, 2007

Posts: 7428

Posted: May. 19, 2009 - 3:57 AM ET #105

There should be a bunch of dogs for tomorrow, GH.

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norseman67

Captain

Joined: Mar, 2007

Posts: 7428

Posted: May. 19, 2009 - 9:11 AM ET #106

Goodnight, ladies. Tomorrow be a dog day - woof woof.

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GameHunter

MVP

Joined: Dec, 2006

Posts: 17534

Posted: May. 19, 2009 - 9:26 AM ET #107

WILL BE BACK AND START A THREAD LATER WITH MORE:

PHILADELPHIA -117 (2.5 UNITS) - Let's not forget that when right, Cole Hamels is one of the top three lefties in baseball. He struggled early on but is beginning to put things together. In his last three starts, he has tossed 17.3 innings and allowed 14 hits, 3 earned runs and had a 20:5 K:BB ratio. More importantly, he loves pitching at Great American Ballpark where he is 2-0 and has thrown 21 innings and allowed just 11 hits, 2 earned runs, a 0.86 ERA and a 26:10 K:BB ratio. People have grown excited about the Reds lately but I'm not sure I fully understand it. They are without Edward Encarnacion and Alex Gonzalez and Joey Votto is doubtful tonight. This team struggles against lefties. Without Joey Votto, the rest of the lineup is hitting .205 against lefties this year (51 for 249) with just 5 HR's and 16 RBI's. Here are four of the regulars we will probably see tonight and their numbers against lefties this season:

Jay Bruce 5 for 31

Jerry Hairston 6 for 31

Willy Taveras 5 for 25

Ramon Hernandez 5 for 25

The Phillies have the better bullpen, lineup and I give them a slight advantage in starting pitching based upon the matchups. Johnny Cueto is an outstanding young pitcher and is the one positive I see for the Reds today. The Phils are an outstanding 12-4 on the road while the Reds are just 7-9 at home. If anyone is hesitant about facing them, then look towards the Reds' team total UNDER.

CUBS -117 (2.5 UNITS) - Ted Lilly has been outstanding this season. He sports a 1.05 WHIP, .227 average allowed and has a 38:9 K:BB ratio. In his last three starts, he has tossed 20.3 innings and allowed 17 hits, 6 earned runs and has a 22:3 K:BB ratio. He has been outstanding against the Cardinals. The last three seasons against the Cards, he is 5-2 with a 3.29 ERA. IN 68.3 innings, he has allowed 57 hits, 25 earned runs and has a 45: 16 K:BB ratio. At Busch Stadium, he is 3-0 and has thrown 28 innings and allowed 28 hits, 9 earned runs with a 20:7 K:BB ratio and a 2.38 ERA. Outside of Pujols. Lilly owns the Cards. Outside of Pujols, Cards' hitters are 22 for 130 against Lilly for a .169 average and with Pujols they are 31 for 158 for a .196 average. Joel Piniero doesn't do it for me and I think we are seeing signs of the real Joel Piniero of late. In his last two starts, he has thrown 12 innings and allowed 19 hits and 10 runs. He pounds the over-pounds the strike zone and while limiting his walks, he does not have overpowering stuff. He has just 14 K's in 45 innings this season and is very hittable. In addition he has struggled against the Cubs. In the last 3 years, he has a 6.33 ERA against the Cubs and has allowed 28 hits and 17 runs in 21 innings. Cubs' hitters are 33 for 96 (.344) against him with 5 HR's. The Cards remain banged up without Ludwick, Ankiel and Glaus and are a shell of a team without much protection for Pujols.

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WILL BE BACK AND START A THREAD LATER WITH MORE:

PHILADELPHIA -117 (2.5 UNITS) - Let's not forget that when right, Cole Hamels is one of the top three lefties in baseball. He struggled early on but is beginning to put things together. In his last three starts, he has tossed 17.3 innings and allowed 14 hits, 3 earned runs and had a 20:5 K:BB ratio. More importantly, he loves pitching at Great American Ballpark where he is 2-0 and has thrown 21 innings and allowed just 11 hits, 2 earned runs, a 0.86 ERA and a 26:10 K:BB ratio. People have grown excited about the Reds lately but I'm not sure I fully understand it. They are without Edward Encarnacion and Alex Gonzalez and Joey Votto is doubtful tonight. This team struggles against lefties. Without Joey Votto, the rest of the lineup is hitting .205 against lefties this year (51 for 249) with just 5 HR's and 16 RBI's. Here are four of the regulars we will probably see tonight and their numbers against lefties this season:

Jay Bruce 5 for 31

Jerry Hairston 6 for 31

Willy Taveras 5 for 25

Ramon Hernandez 5 for 25

The Phillies have the better bullpen, lineup and I give them a slight advantage in starting pitching based upon the matchups. Johnny Cueto is an outstanding young pitcher and is the one positive I see for the Reds today. The Phils are an outstanding 12-4 on the road while the Reds are just 7-9 at home. If anyone is hesitant about facing them, then look towards the Reds' team total UNDER.

CUBS -117 (2.5 UNITS) - Ted Lilly has been outstanding this season. He sports a 1.05 WHIP, .227 average allowed and has a 38:9 K:BB ratio. In his last three starts, he has tossed 20.3 innings and allowed 17 hits, 6 earned runs and has a 22:3 K:BB ratio. He has been outstanding against the Cardinals. The last three seasons against the Cards, he is 5-2 with a 3.29 ERA. IN 68.3 innings, he has allowed 57 hits, 25 earned runs and has a 45: 16 K:BB ratio. At Busch Stadium, he is 3-0 and has thrown 28 innings and allowed 28 hits, 9 earned runs with a 20:7 K:BB ratio and a 2.38 ERA. Outside of Pujols. Lilly owns the Cards. Outside of Pujols, Cards' hitters are 22 for 130 against Lilly for a .169 average and with Pujols they are 31 for 158 for a .196 average. Joel Piniero doesn't do it for me and I think we are seeing signs of the real Joel Piniero of late. In his last two starts, he has thrown 12 innings and allowed 19 hits and 10 runs. He pounds the over-pounds the strike zone and while limiting his walks, he does not have overpowering stuff. He has just 14 K's in 45 innings this season and is very hittable. In addition he has struggled against the Cubs. In the last 3 years, he has a 6.33 ERA against the Cubs and has allowed 28 hits and 17 runs in 21 innings. Cubs' hitters are 33 for 96 (.344) against him with 5 HR's. The Cards remain banged up without Ludwick, Ankiel and Glaus and are a shell of a team without much protection for Pujols.

happycap

Hall of Fame

Joined: Aug, 2006

Posts: 23557

Posted: May. 19, 2009 - 9:42 AM ET #108

Nice research and write-ups

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KingScorpio

Hall of Fame

Joined: Nov, 2005

Posts: 23346

Posted: May. 19, 2009 - 9:57 AM ET #109

Lilly... 3-0 2.66 era last 3

Pinero 0-3 4.74 era last 3

Yet the line is PK

Cubs are a "Paper Tiger"

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gcnmoo

Captain

Joined: Dec, 2005

Posts: 5202

Posted: May. 19, 2009 - 10:15 AM ET #110

i got a BIG play on phils also tonight game, will likely be on the cubs as well

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voodootime

Rookie

Joined: Oct, 2006

Posts: 747

Posted: May. 19, 2009 - 10:26 AM ET #111

good luck GH ... phillies, cubs, tigers, blue jays, angels, twins ... thats my 6 for tonight

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GameHunter

MVP

Joined: Dec, 2006

Posts: 17534

Posted: May. 19, 2009 - 10:31 AM ET #112

Quote Originally Posted by KingScorpio:

Lilly... 3-0 2.66 era last 3

Pinero 0-3 4.74 era last 3

Yet the line is PK

Cubs are a "Paper Tiger"

I often like your angle but then again Lohse was -115 to -120 yesterday over Looper...now you have almost a 35 cent swing here....yes, Lilly is better than Looper in my opinion...if this line closes at -105 to -110, I will see your point...if it goes to -125 to -130, I don't.

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KingScorpio

Hall of Fame

Joined: Nov, 2005

Posts: 23346

Posted: May. 19, 2009 - 10:42 AM ET #113

Quote Originally Posted by GameHunter:

I often like your angle but then again Lohse was -115 to -120 yesterday over Looper...now you have almost a 35 cent swing here....yes, Lilly is better than Looper in my opinion...if this line closes at -105 to -110, I will see your point...if it goes to -125 to -130, I don't.

There's no risk taking the Cubs at any price vs. struggling Cards.

Line on Cubs should keep climbing.

There's little reason to take STL at PK,but plenty of reasons to take CHC at PK.

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MLB - Monday 5/18

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