From source now on 33-6 run after loss on Red Sox Sunday. He is 1-2 last 3
Red Sox RL-1.5
I look for the Boston Red Sox to beat the Minnesota Twins by two-plus runs tonight. They come into Game 1 of this series highly motivated for a victory after getting swept in Texas over the weekend to drop to 20-11 on the season.
The biggest reason I’m backing the Red Sox on the Run Line tonight is due to the huge edge they have on the mound. Clay Buchholz is 6-0 with a miniscule 1.01 ERA and 0.963 WHIP through six starts this season. The Red Sox have won five of his six starts by 2 runs or more.
Vance Worley has simply been atrocious for Minnesota. The right-hander is 0-4 with a 7.22 ERA and 1.918 WHIP through six starts this season. That includes an 0-3 record and a 10.91 ERA and 2.489 WHIP in four night starts this year.
In his last two home starts against Minnesota, Buchholz has pitched 12 innings without allowing a single earned run. In fact, he is 2-0 with a 0.90 ERA in three career home starts against the Twins. Bet the Red Sox on the Run Line Monday.
Oakland enter's this series 18-18 on the year and 9-10 on the road. They've lost 4 straight and 5 of their last 6 games while scoring just 8 runs over their lat 4 games. Seattle is 16-19 on the year and 9-8 at home and they are entering this series after splitting two games with Pittsburgh and then a day off yesterday. The Mariners are 27th overall in runs scored this year with 120 in 35 games (just 3.43 runs per game). While the Athletics lead the majors with 179 runs scored they are off to a slow start in May hitting just .218 as a team (26th). The Mariners are dead last in the MLB with a .199 team batting average so far in May. The A's will send Dan Straily to the mound for his 4th start of the year. He is 1-0 with a 5.94 ERA, .250 OBA and 1.20 WHIP. He has had some tough luck and given his OBA, WHIP and strikeout to walk ratio of 21:4 he hasn't been pitching too poorly. Last year over 7 starts with Oakland he was 2-1 witha 3.89 ERA. Seattle has Iwakuma on the mound who is 3-1 on the year with a 1.61 ERA, .168 OBA and 0.76 WHIP. He has given up 1 or fewer earned runs against in 5 of his 7 starts (the other two were 2 and 3 earned runs against). In three home starts he is 1-0 with a 0.48 ERA, .143 OBA and 0.59 WHIP. The UNDER is 7-3-2 in the Mariners last 12 games as a home favorite, 3-0-1 in Iwakuma's last 4 home starts, and 5-1 in his last 6 starts overall. The UNDER is also 8-3-1 in these two teams last 12 meetings in Seattle. I like this starting pitching match up and these two teams aren't hitting the ball right now. Even with a lower total I like the value on the UNDER as this should be a low scoring ball game.
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