MLB chase series 11 and 12

Golden State ML (I'm not going to lay points to the Spurs)

It took them 31 games to get it right, but the Golden State Warriors broke a 30 game road losing streak at San Antonio in Game Two to even the series at one. The Spurs have to feel fortunate to be heading to Golden State tied in the series, as it took a miraculous late comeback in Game One to pull off a double-overtime win. No team has been getting the money like Golden State, who has covered 11 straight games. That has proven indicative of things to come as teams on an eight or longer game ATS winning streaks in the playoffs are 17-4-3 ATS over the last 24 occurrences. It goes deeper than that, however, as the Warriors have left the Spurs with no answers trying to cover all the shooters for Golden State. Each of the top seven scorers for Golden State is averaging 46% or more from the field. San Antonio caught a break facing a depleted Lakers team in the first round, as they have played poorly down the stretch finishing the regular season a woeful 3-15 ATS in their last 18.

With a guaranteed rabid and loud home crowd, GS should be able to put another nail in the Spurs playoff coffin!

From source on 35-9 run.

Oak/Sea over 7.5

The books have set the bar too low tonight in this game between the Oakland A’s and Seattle Mariners. I look for a slugfest due to the lack of talent that will be on the mound in this one.

Jarrod Parker has been simply atrocious for Oakland. The right-hander is 1-5 with a 7.34 ERA and 1.981 WHIP through seven starts this season. Parker has allowed 28 earned runs and 68 base runners over 34 1/3 innings.

Seattle starter Brandon Maurer has only been slightly better, going 2-4 with a 6.07 ERA and 1.449 WHIP through six starts in 2013. He has allowed 20 earned runs and 43 base runners over 29 2/3 innings.

Parker is 1-2 with a 5.94 ERA in three career starts against Seattle. He has allowed 10 earned runs over 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Mariners. Maurer is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA in one career start against Oakland.

The OVER is 39-17-2 in Oakland’s last 58 games overall. The OVER is 6-1 in Parker’s last 7 starts overall. The OVER is 22-4 in A’s last 26 games vs. a team with a losing record. The OVER is 35-15-1 in A’s last 51 games with a total set of 7.0-8.5. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

Braves ML

The Braves take on Tim Lincecum and the Giants in the wrap up of this four-game series at AT&T Park. Lincecum is winless in his last three team starts in this series. He is also 1-7 with a 6.78 ERA in his last eight team starts during May, including 0-5 at home. With Tiny Tim struggling to regain his old form, we'll fade him and the Giants here today. We recommend a 1-unit play on Atlanta.

From a source on a 15-5 run..

Phillies ML

The Phillies got a win in Arizona last night with Cliff Lee on the mound, and they wrap up the series in Game 4 tonight. It looks like another favorable matchup on the mound for Philadelphia, with Kendrick going up against McCarthy.

Kendrick (4-1, 2.45 ERA) was roughed up in his first start of the season, but since then he's been nothing short of dominant in six straight starts. He allowed just a pair of runs on six hits over seven innings in a 6-2 win over the Giants his last time out. He's kept the opposition at two runs or fewer in each of his last six starts, and the Phillies have won five of those.

McCarthy (0-3, 6.75 ERA) has allowed a minimum of three runs and eight hits in all seven of his starts this season, a big reason why he's still looking for his first win. His four starts at home have been worse than his three on the road, and the D'Backs have lost three of those games.

Jimmy Rollins is starting to swing a hot bat, he was 2-for-3 with a couple RBIs yesterday, and he's 6-for-16 with a home run and three RBIs in his last four games.

"Obviously, you adjust your swing because you've got to get a good swing first," said Rollins "Now that I'm starting to get there, the confidence comes that I can put on the same swing in any situation."

Home faves to avoid being swept..

KC Royals ML

Whi Sox ML

The Chicago White Sox will look to avoid a series sweep at the hands of the Los Angeles Angels when the two teams meet tonight at US Cellular Field in Chicago. Los Angeles took Game 1 of the series 7-5 and got an excellent pitching performance from Jerome Williams on Saturday, who gave up just 2 runs in 6.2 innings pitched en route to the 3-2 victory. Chris Sale, who has righted the ship a bit since an awful outing against the Indians on April 13th will get the start toady for the White Sox. He is 2-1 with a 2.22 ERA in his last 4 starts, going at least 7 innings in all of them. Sale has also been good at home, posting a 2-0 record with a 2.08 ERA this season after going 9-3 at US Cellular last year. He will be opposed by CJ Wilson, who gets the call on the mound for the Angels. The lefty has never started a game in Chicago and his numbers this season are a bit deceiving. He does own an excellent 3-1 record with a 3.86 ERA but he is second in the AL in walks with 24 and his WHIP of 1.55 is much higher that any number he has put up throughout his career. The White Sox, despite losing the first two games of the series have actually been good in the spot they are in here tonight against Los Angeles. They are 4-1 in their last 5 games when listed as a favorite of -110 to -150 and have won 7 straight starts against the AL West when Sale is on the mound. The Angels, who have struggled for the second season in a row out of the gate, have had their issues in the situation they are in here on the road in Chicago. They are just 6-13 in their last 19 games on the road and have won just 1 of their last 6 games on the road when listed as an underdog. Pair that with the fact that the White Sox are 13-3 in their last 16 home games that Chris Sale has started as we’ll lay the small price with them tonight at home to get the win.

Minn ML over Baltimore. Twins should not be an underdog on their home field with today's scheduled starters. Wei-Yin Chen will be on the hill for the Orioles, Scott Diamond for the Twins. The Orioles are just 1-4 in Chen's last 5 road starts this year, and 1-5 in his last 6 road starts overall. He'll be facing a Twins line-up that prefers left-handed pitching, especially at home where they're batting .292 and scoring 7.60 RPG against them. Meanwhile, Scott Diamond will toe the rubber for home team. Diamond is one of the most underrated pitchers in the game this year. He checks in at 3-2, with a 3.03 ERA and a low 1.15 WHIP. But here's the kicker, he's done all of this against some heavy line-ups. In Diamonds 5 starts this year, he's faced the Red Sox, Tigers, Rangers, White Sox, and the Mets back when they were healthy. He should have no problem limiting this Orioles line-up that averages just 3 RPG with a .222 BA against lefties on the road. Minnesota is 4-1 in their last 5 overall, and a perfect 4-0 in their last game 3's of a series. The O's are just 2-5 in their last 7 games on the road when facing a left-handed starter. We'll gladly back the Twins at Target Field today.

Golden St 1st Half +1 (2 unit play) (all other plays are one unit)

Angle-anyway u could post semper's or McShady's plays here? do you still get them?

Do you know what the record is for G3 team edge plays YTD? Thanks for the spreadsheet

CG

4-1 on plays today..Really bummed about the KC loss. A 7 Unit loss on the series hurts..Have to find a way to keep filtering out these losers..

Cg 2-1 on g3's with kc losing today.

Whi Sox ML

After scoring 40 runs over five games, the Twins got blanked by the Orioles yesterday, losing 6-0. It doesn't get any easier for Minnesota tonight, as they go up against Hector Santiago and the White Sox.
Santiago (1-1, 1.69 ERA) made headlines last week when he started opposite Matt Harvey in an epic pitcher's duel. Harvey tossed a complete one-hitter, but Santiago held his own tossing seven scoreless innings allowing just four hits. He's 4-1 in his career, and one of his four starts came against Minnesota. He won that game, and he boasts a 1.80 ERA over 10 innings versus the Twins. It's a small sample size no doubt, but give what little we have seen from Santiago, he's been quite impressive.

The Twins hand the ball to Pedro Hernandez, and he's been roughed up in back to back starts. Hernandez (1-0, 5.96 ERA) was tagged for six runs on seven hits, including a pair of home runs over just two innings in a 15-8 loss to the Red Sox his last time out. He will have to contend with a red hot Alex Rios, who's riding a seven game hitting streak, with a pair of doubles and a couple home runs during that span. This appears to be a very tough matchup for the Twins, and the price is right for a play on the White Sox.

hi2ak, please keep posting your plays!


Wash Nats ML

The Washington Nationals get the nod Monday as a small road favorite over the Los Angeles Dodgers. Washington comes in playing its best baseball of the season having won seven of its last 10 games overall. Los Angeles, meanwhile, has lost eight of its last 10.

The Nationals deserve to be a much heavier favorite considering the massive edge they have on the mound. Jordan Zimmermann is 6-1 with a 1.59 ERA and 0.824 WHIP in seven starts this season, including 3-0 with a miniscule 0.37 ERA and 0.542 WHIP in his last three starts.

Josh Beckett is clearly past his prime and no longer can dominate like he used to. That’s been evident all season as the right-hander is 0-4 with a 5.13 ERA and 1.488 WHIP in seven starts, still looking for his first win of 2013.

The Nationals are 10-1 in Zimmermann’s last 11 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. Washington is 20-6 in Zimmermann’s last 26 starts overall. The Dodgers are 0-7 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. Bet the Nationals Monday.

A NEW week and a NEW thread