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Runn Differential League Snapshot... 4-27-19...

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Posted: #251

Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

Quote Originally Posted by Doghouse44:

Im watching and have been following.  This is a big deal to my bank roll. Thanks for posting. BTW this is my first post. Congratulations Smack. RUF RUF!
Gentlemen!...eGreat to hear you are benefiting!!!...Would hope there are many more as this is a day you normally don't see that often!!...

Com on fellas, lets show him some appreciation that he deserves and post to this thread. 

Keep it going Smack! 

 
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Posted: #252
Welp...Colorado lost...but it was a borderline play and if you were weeding them out as you should have been, it didn't affect you...and it barely affects the main system as it is now 13-1 with one game pending, Texas...

The PODs are now 9-0 pending Texas as well...

Absolutely a CRUSHING day for the books!!!...

If you played a parlay using the system selections...you almost couldn't lose...any idea what a 10 team parlay pays???...

Me neither as I never play them...but it has to be crazy big money...and it could have happened today...

This will be the 4 day out of 11 days that the PODs will have posted a perfect record IF Texas can pull this game out and win it...

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Posted: #253
Texas...jeez...terrible defense to lose the game after scoring 2 in the 9th inning to take the lead......

Oh well..."Still a great night!" as Steve Harvey would say...

The main system plays went 13-2....but the PODs did even better at 9-1!!!!......

Borderline plays went 4-1...and the overall main system record now is 151-87....a very fine 63.4%...

BUT the 11 day PODs record now stands at 47-16 or a BLISTERING 74.6% WINNING PERCENTAGE!!!...

I almost can't believe how good this is working...but it is...going to keep riding this until I fall out of the saddle!!!...



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Posted: #254

an_praise    Your the man!  Keep it up

 
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Posted: #255
 
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Posted: #256
Thanks Nuks and Tin!......

Looking forward to another great day today!...

If it keeps up like this, I might quit my day job......

Well..not really...but it's fun to dream......

Day 28 for the RDS is upon us gentlemen!....

S.D. (-1) at Toronto (-53)
T.B. Devil Rays (+64) at Cleveland (-3)
NYM (-13) vs Detroit (-2.1)
Washington (-33) vs Miami (-89)
LA Dodgers (+75) at Pittsburgh (-55)
Philadelphia (+35) at Milwaukee (+6)
Minnesota (+104) vs Chicago White Sox (-49)
Houston (+92) vs Boston (+30)
NYY (+66) at K.C. (-42)
Chicago Cubs (+62) vs Cincinnati (+24)
Colorado (-7) vs Baltimore (-107)
Arizona (+45) at S.F. (-74)
Texas (+14) at LA Angels (-16)
Oakland (+27) vs Seattle (-43)

Whew....this system is sooooo degenerate.......

Borderline plays are...

Washington
Philadelphia
Texas

Which leave us with the PODs......

NYM
T.B. Devil Rays
LA Dodgers
Minnesota
Houston
NYY
Colorado
Arizona
Oakland
S.D.
Cubs

In 4 of 11 days tracked so far, the PODs had a perfect record or one loss (yesterday)...so in 4 of the 11 days...you almost...ALMOST just couldn't have lost any parlay combination playing the PODs...

Let that sink in.......................

Sac, my brutha...the average money line of the PODs is (-175) today, however, the Devil Rays game is off the board and this number is not included...as I expect that line to be around (-113)...it would drop the overall average down to (-169)...

If you take out that MONSTER (-329) Colorado money line...the average drops down to (-153)...kind of around where you like it methinks......

Best of luck today gentlemen...it is entirely possible that the system crushes 2 days in a row here as baseball is a VERY streaky game and I believe the schedule is setup for history to repeat itself...

I personally will be smashing it hard as I am all in now on this system...a true believer...





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Posted: #257
Mets made the cut with only 8 runs difference?

Good luck today 
 
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Posted: #258
Get Em Today , smack , Good Luck , Buddy  
Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
 
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Posted: #259
Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

Mets made the cut with only 8 runs difference?

Good luck today 

Dang..nice eye there brutha...I accidentally put in the SDS number instead of the RDS number....here is the corrected listing...

NYM (-13) vs Detroit (-96)

My bad...so many numbers to keep track of...
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Posted: #260
Card kinda scary today, so many teams trying to not get swept. So many repeat picks 
 
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Posted: #261
Quote Originally Posted by OGiant23:

Card kinda scary today, so many teams trying to not get swept. So many repeat picks 

It was "scary" yesterday as well ...I had selected 5 borderline games to take out of that HUGE card yesterday and...well...you saw the borderlines games even went 5-1...

Baseball is a crazy game of streaks brutha...the fact that the card is very similar to yesterday's card actually makes me much more positive about it...


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Posted: #262
I combed through all of this, and it is def one of the better (and more interesting) threads I've seen on here. Keep it up
 
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Posted: #263
Quote Originally Posted by Dalteri:

I combed through all of this, and it is def one of the better (and more interesting) threads I've seen on here. Keep it up

Thank you mah man!......

Not as if I need more plays today...however......

Looking at this Baltimore/Colorado O/U of 12...In 21 Colorado home games this season, there have been 12 or more runs scored in 14 of those games...or...in 67% of the games...

In those same 21 home games, the Rockies have AVERAGED over 10 runs per game....(10.3 to be exact)...

Baltimore's starting pitcher Hess has 10 starts this year...in those 10 starts, 5 of 10 had totals of 12 or higher in them...and, of course, none of those were in Colorado...

There's a good reason this total is set at 12...I'm thinking it has a better than 60% chance of going OVER like ROVER...



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Posted: #264
Wow!just wow!
 
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Posted: #265
Quote Originally Posted by arubadk:

Wow!just wow!

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Posted: #266
Good luck smack!
 
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Posted: #267

Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

Quote Originally Posted by arubadk:

Wow!just wow!

cloverBOL

 
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Posted: #268
This Arizona/S.F. game has some beautiful insight on how the books set lines...

The O/U for this game was 7..

Arizona's team total was set at 3.5 (-123)...

You may ask...why was this total set so low?...Where did the books mess up?...

Well, Weaver has been pitching well for the Diamondbacks this year and has only given up 6 home runs in 57 innings coming into the game...and a .226 batting average against...easy to see why they would keep the total low in his case...

Shaun Anderson...a rookie making his 2nd start for the Giants...the books apparently weighted his good first outing heavily and made him almost as strong as Weaver......

This is the kind of mistake by the books you watch and wait for and then UNLOAD on when you find it...

Wish I had seen this before the game myself but there was another capper who found this gem and put it out for us to find...

I tip my hat to Wendubs...nice work my Covers brutha...
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Posted: #269
Wow...that Yankees game...

Whit Merrifield gets a generous non strike call from the ump that  probably changed the way he was pitched and hits a screaming bouncer to Gio Urshella that eats him for lunch like a peanut butter sandwich on white bread...

Game over Yankees...

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Posted: #270
 
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Posted: #271

Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

This Arizona/S.F. game has some beautiful insight on how the books set lines...The O/U for this game was 7..Arizona's team total was set at 3.5 (-123)...You may ask...why was this total set so low?...Where did the books mess up?...Well, Weaver has been pitching well for the Diamondbacks this year and has only given up 6 home runs in 57 innings coming into the game...and a .226 batting average against...easy to see why they would keep the total low in his case...Shaun Anderson...a rookie making his 2nd start for the Giants...the books apparently weighted his good first outing heavily and made him almost as strong as Weaver......This is the kind of mistake by the books you watch and wait for and then UNLOAD on when you find it...Wish I had seen this before the game myself but there was another capper who found this gem and put it out for us to find...I tip my hat to Wendubs...nice work my Covers brutha...

Smack, thanks for the shout out. Have been tailing and analyzing your info here for the Run Diffs and it's a great tool for many of us to use, Thank You! If I may add some insight into the pick today, Anderson had 2 MLB starts before today, against Toronto and Atlanta, not Offensive teams at all, I would consider them bottom 10's. Both of these starts were at home, which you want for a Rook. He pitched 5 innings in each, with 2 ER in each set, one with 8 hits, one with 3 hits. Going against Arizona's Weaver, who has ER's in his starts of 2,3,1,1,3,1,0,2,3,4 (by date, going backwards) the book was expecting a low scoring affair. It was going to be for SF, based upon Weaver's production, the hole was they overvalued Anderson's performances against two really weak Offenses. Shaun Anderson was never going to contain the bats, nor replicate his past performances against ARI. The next time they play he just might, but he wasn't going to today. Not after the tear the Snakes were on at SF the last two nights...Cheers

 
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Posted: #272

Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

Wow...that Yankees game...Whit Merrifield gets a generous non strike call from the ump that  probably changed the way he was pitched and hits a screaming bouncer to Gio Urshella that eats him for lunch like a peanut butter sandwich on white bread...Game over Yankees...

AS CHARLES BARKLEY WOULD SAY THAT WAS TERRRRRAI BBBLEan_cannon

 
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Posted: #273
Quote Originally Posted by Wendubs:

Smack, thanks for the shout out. Have been tailing and analyzing your info here for the Run Diffs and it's a great tool for many of us to use, Thank You! If I may add some insight into the pick today, Anderson had 2 MLB starts before today, against Toronto and Atlanta, not Offensive teams at all, I would consider them bottom 10's. Both of these starts were at home, which you want for a Rook. He pitched 5 innings in each, with 2 ER in each set, one with 8 hits, one with 3 hits. Going against Arizona's Weaver, who has ER's in his starts of 2,3,1,1,3,1,0,2,3,4 (by date, going backwards) the book was expecting a low scoring affair. It was going to be for SF, based upon Weaver's production, the hole was they overvalued Anderson's performances against two really weak Offenses. Shaun Anderson was never going to contain the bats, nor replicate his past performances against ARI. The next time they play he just might, but he wasn't going to today. Not after the tear the Snakes were on at SF the last two nights...Cheers


A beautiful job of finding a diamond in the rough, mah man...

Just perfect...thanks for your work!...

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Posted: #274
Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:


Thank you mah man!......

Not as if I need more plays today...however......

Looking at this Baltimore/Colorado O/U of 12...In 21 Colorado home games this season, there have been 12 or more runs scored in 14 of those games...or...in 67% of the games...

In those same 21 home games, the Rockies have AVERAGED over 10 runs per game....(10.3 to be exact)...

Baltimore's starting pitcher Hess has 10 starts this year...in those 10 starts, 5 of 10 had totals of 12 or higher in them...and, of course, none of those were in Colorado...

There's a good reason this total is set at 12...I'm thinking it has a better than 60% chance of going OVER like ROVER...




A BONUS WINNER comes in!...13 runs scored and counting!...

Just another few dollars in the kitty today!......

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Posted: #275
Day 28 of the RDS is complete...main system plays went 8-6 for one of it's worst days ever...maybe not a surprise to some that it happened on a Sunday where teams were trying to avoid being swept...S.D., Philly and the NYY were all trying to complete the sweep on the road and failed...

Overall, the RDS record is 159-93......

The PODs went a somewhat respectable 7-4, however, they suffered from the same problem as the system... the day 12 record for them now stands at 54-20...

Borderline plays went 1-2 so if you weeded them out of the PODs  as expected, your record today was 6-2...very decent...

Not going to get days like yesterday very often...but...getting them 20-30% of the time would be very nice...only time will tell if the system can perform at that level...

I will take weeks like this every time though...my bookie will not be very happy this week...

Oh..and the icing on the cake with that bonus OVER in the Baltimore/Colorado game was sweet inDEED......

Enjoy your Sunday evening, gentlemen...the grind resumes tomorrow...



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