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Runn Differential League Snapshot... 4-27-19...

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Posted: #501
Good job Smack 
 
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Posted: #502

Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

That is obviously a typo where I typed "perfect 8 team money line parlay"...should have been a perfect 7 team money line parlay...

 

Ok how about a parlay for tomorrow an_wink

 
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Posted: #503

Betting on the -1.5 runline would've been 6-2 too. IDK what avg prices would've been for those but still seems like it'd be profitable.

 
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Posted: #504
Koreanmang, it absolutely would have been profitable as the money line would have been profitable...based on previous checking, that 7 teamer probably would have been in the range of $100 makes $1,500 or so...the RL would have been much better...

Day 47 of the RDS is here!...12 selections... ...

Boston (+47) at Baltimore (-149)
T.B. Devil Rays (+96) vs LA Angels (-2)
Cleveland (+1) at Detroit (-124)
St. Louis (+11) at NYM (-18)
Arizona (+68) at Washington (-9)
NYY (+65) at CW Sox (-50)
Houston (+114) vs Toronto (-91)
Minnesota (+118) vs K.C. (-71)
Colorado (+13) vs S.D. (-39)
Milwaukee (+10) at S.F. (-80)
Oakland (+25) vs Seattle (-71)
LA Dodgers (+110) vs Cubs (+62)

Borderlines....remove the ...

Boston...John Means is a bad man...
Cleveland ...Spencer Turnbull solid this year...
St. Louis...Hudson/Vargas is at least a push...
Arizona...Anibal Sanchez better today..
Milwaukee...Samardzidja much better at home...
Oakland...Don't trust Tanner Anderson yet...

Thus...the POD's...

T.B. Devil Rays
NYY
Houston
Minnesota
Colorado
LA Dodgers

Looking over the card, don't see any posted (-180) or higher lines up yet...3 games not showing on my site yet though so thinking they will probably be high lines...

LAA/T.B. Devil Rays
Philly/Atlanta
Arizona/Washington

Will list them if they qualify later...


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Posted: #505
Well...I sit corrected...two -180s are up and at em...

Houston -215
Minnesota -187

Pretty good foundation for a parlay I would say...

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Posted: #506
Smack ,     
Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
 
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Posted: #507
Wiseguy......

Unclebenelli......

Good luck today gentlemen!...

Looks like the complete list of (-180) or greater faves is out...

Houston -214
Minnesota -186
NYY -240

As usual, the books have cooked a little extra for the Yankees......

Run lines on these little jewels...

Houston -1.5........ -112
Minnesota -1.5...  +103
NYY -1.5.............. -139

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Posted: #508
Little bit of movement here as we go into the last hour before the games start on the -180s...

Houston -224
Minnesota -175
NYY -225

The Twins have now actually moved out of the -180 category...

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Posted: #509
Ok gentlemen...playing the lottery...er...parlay today!......

I'm taking a shot with this RL parlay...all of these teams have a decent shot to win by 2 or more imo...

Colorado
Minnesota
Houston
NYY

$100 pays 1353...

If you do a ML parlay with them... $100 pays $451...

I like $1353 more than $451 personally......
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Posted: #510

Good luck smack! an_cheers

 
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Posted: #511
Quote Originally Posted by tinfoils:

Good luck smack! an_cheers


Thanks Tin!... ...

The Twins just got through leaving the bases full for the 3rd time today ...

Absolutely brutal...

And Houston...jeeeez louise....

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Posted: #512
Day 47 is complete...

The main system went 7-5...overall now 282-186...

The PODs went 3-3...overall now 133-80...

The borderlines went 4-2...

The (-180) faves or higher went either 1-2 or 1-1 depending on where Minnesota started/finished as it was up/down off -180 quite a bit...

Quite the "meh" day...

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Posted: #513
Over/Unders for today...

10-3-2 for full game...
Last 6 days for full game... 53-24-7... ...63.1%...

F5 ... 10-5...
Last 6 days for the F5... 63-36-4......61.2%...

Full game for the month of June to date...

109-94-11...

The first 10 days of June the UNDERS were crushing at a 56-70-4 pace...then Overs started pounding hard and passed...now 15 games ahead as of today...

Books responded pretty quickly to raise the lines during this 6 day run the OVERs have had... possible that they over corrected a bit when that 10 day run of unders happened......




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Posted: #514

I think your plays are probably losing overall since the juice is so high.   I think if you took RL for all your plays you would be in the positive.  Without actually checking I’d say 85% of the time your play wins they win by 2 or more.  

 
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Posted: #515
Quote Originally Posted by nucksfan12:

I think your plays are probably losing overall since the juice is so high.   I think if you took RL for all your plays you would be in the positive.  Without actually checking I’d say 85% of the time your play wins they win by 2 or more.  


I realize this is a very long thread and most will not read through it...I never recommend playing all of the selections as they are usually favorites and usually in the -150 to -170 average range for the 6-8 games that end up being PODs...

I use them to fill in parlays and will play them on a RL now and then but never just play the full card straight up ML...

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Posted: #516
Day 47 of the RDS...

T.B. Devil Rays (+97) at NYY (+72)
LA Angels (-3) at Toronto (-79)
Houston (+102) at Cincy (+38)
Atlanta (+39) vs NYM (-19)
Texas (+34) vs Cleveland (+9)
Minnesota (+116) vs Boston (+49)
St. Louis (+12) vs Miami (-76)
LA Dodgers (+111) vs S.F. (-82)
Oakland (+22) vs Baltimore (-151)
Milwaukee (+12) at S.D. (-38

Borderlines...

T.B. Devil Rays
Houston
Atlanta
Texas

Thus, the PODs...

St. Louis
LA Dodgers
Oakland
Milwaukee
LA Angels
Minnesota

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Posted: #517
As of tonight, I am playing the entire board of games OVER to win 3 units on each game...

I don't think this OVER trend is a short term fad...the books are/will adjust but right now I believe they are a bit behind the curve...

Guess we will see...

Full game overs are 53-24-7 to date in the month of June...

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Posted: #518
Correction...

That 53-24-7 is for the last 6 days of June...not the full month...

The full month is 109-94-11...

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Posted: #519
GL tonight , smack  
Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
 
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Posted: #520
Good luck smack!
 
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Posted: #521
Day 47 is in the books...another "ugh" day...

The system went 5-5 and is now 297-191 overall...

The PODs went 3-3 and are now 136-83 overall...

O/Us went 3-8...not a good day to take the overs for the board......


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Posted: #522
Anything for today?
 
 
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Posted: #523
GL Today , smack 
Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
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