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Runn Differential League Snapshot... 4-27-19...

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Posted: #51
The rest of today's MONSTER card for the system...

Cleveland (+15) vs S.F. (-30)
NYY (+36) vs CW Sox (-36)
Boston (0) at Baltimore (-68)
Minnesota (+25) at Toronto (-7)
Chicago Cubs (+51) vs Miami (-73)
Houston (+46) vs K.C. (-11)
S.D. (-3) vs NYM (-23)
LA Dodgers (+35) vs Atlanta (+13)

The borderline plays in this list, imo, would be...

Boston...starting a journeyman minor league pitcher...like the OVER In this game more than a side myself...

Minnesota...Stroman has given up ZERO home runs this year and pitching well...I don't trust Martin Perez any farther than I can throw him...he is due for a stinker...

San Diego...De Grom vs Paddock...looks to be a push here, no advantage to the Padres...

LA Dodgers...I'll take Fried here over Buehler...

Good luck!

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Posted: #52
Good Luck  
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Posted: #53

Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

Quote Originally Posted by tinfoils:

Stanek gave up his first runs (3) when starting a bullpen game this year. KC had only one hit after the first inning as TB blew several opportunities to tie and or take the lead. TB out hit the Royals 8-4. Game 2 I believe the Rays just thought they could show up with their ace going. Nope KC was ready in the B1 again. It happens.
I always remember that Ron Washington quote back when he was the manager of the Texas Rangers...when asked how his team could lose a game when leading by some huge number of runs.."Dat's dee way 'bazeball' go..."...I think that might have been one of those games he had a bit of blow beforehand....

What is this, a minstrel show. I've met Wash on multiple occasions and I can't get behind this representation.

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Posted: #54

Quote Originally Posted by StumpTownStu:

Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

Quote Originally Posted by tinfoils:

Stanek gave up his first runs (3) when starting a bullpen game this year. KC had only one hit after the first inning as TB blew several opportunities to tie and or take the lead. TB out hit the Royals 8-4. Game 2 I believe the Rays just thought they could show up with their ace going. Nope KC was ready in the B1 again. It happens.
I always remember that Ron Washington quote back when he was the manager of the Texas Rangers...when asked how his team could lose a game when leading by some huge number of runs.."Dat's dee way 'bazeball' go..."...I think that might have been one of those games he had a bit of blow beforehand....
What is this, a minstrel show. I've met Wash on multiple occasions and I can't get behind this representation.

However, blow will make you slur your speech.

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Posted: #55
I actually heard him say this in a live post game interview, if I am remembering correctly.  I believe you figured it out.

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Posted: #56
You have 3 mistakes in that big post: Cleveland play the White Sox, Yankees play Seattle and Fried will start tomorrow for the Braves, Gusman is the starter for today.
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Posted: #57
Quote Originally Posted by yaongingy:

You have 3 mistakes in that big post: Cleveland play the White Sox, Yankees play Seattle and Fried will start tomorrow for the Braves, Gusman is the starter for today.

Well dang...I was in a bit of a hurry when I was finishing that...corrections made below...

Cleveland (-6) vs Chicago White Sox (-30)
NYY (+36) vs Seattle (+10)

I checked again on the Atlanta/LAD game...Fried vs Buehler is shown for today, Monday the 6th on ESPN...

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Posted: #58
Strange..SBR is showing Gausman as the pitcher for Atlanta...will need to check the lineups when they are released...

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Posted: #59
No problem. MLB.com has Gausman, i don't think it gets more official than that.

Like the idea behind the system, keep it up.

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Posted: #60
If it is Gausman, I will be taking the LA Dodgers off of the borderline list as I would lean Buehler in this matchup....

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Posted: #61
Started another thread about parlays...but I'm not going to post in two separate threads...will just be posting them here...

Also playing these separately for 3 units each...

Milwaukee -105
Chicago Cubs RL -1.5... -116
Boston/Baltimore OVER 9.5... -105
Houston RL -1.5... -127

$100 wins $1169

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Posted: #62
Good luck smack!
 
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Posted: #63

new_cool

 
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Posted: #64
Half unit parlay...

Boston -1.5... -107
Atlanta +141
Arizona +185
Chicago Cubs -270

$50 to win $860...

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Posted: #65
The system went 6-3 on a night where most seemed to take it on the chin....or some other bodily location......overall the system is at 38-25 after 9 days of tracking...

I found myself wishing I had taken ONLY the system plays...that being said, large favorites of the system lost ...Chicago Cubs -270...Cleveland -260...Boston -170...

Only one of the losers I had identified as a borderline play, ...Boston, due to the pitching match up favoring Baltimore...and it played out that way...all other borderlines won their games...

Parlays went 0-2 for -$150...Selections went 2-2 for -.63 units...

On to tomorrow!...

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Posted: #66
Don't have time to review the pitcher matchups to determine borderline plays for now but should be back before the games start to review them...

These are the system plays for today...

NYY (+40) vs Seattle (+6)
Boston (-7) at Baltimore (-65)
Texas (+17) at Pittsburgh (-26)
Minnesota (+33) at Toronto (-15)
T.B. Devil Rays (+50) vs Arizona (+19)
Chicago Cubs (+50) vs Miami (-72)
Houston (+48) vs K.C. (-13)
Colorado (-8) vs S.F. (-38)
Cincinnati (+23) at Oakland (-7)
LA Dodgers (+37) vs Atlanta (+11)
S.D. (+1) vs NYM (-27)

11 plays...whew......this system is such a degenerate...

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Posted: #67
GL today  
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Posted: #68

Good luck smack!

 
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Posted: #69
Thanks gentlemen!...

Tonight’s parlay...

NYY -163
Boston -1.5... -133
Minnesota -1.5... +107
Chicago Cubs -1.5... +142

$100 wins $1316...

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Posted: #70
Hey Smack Ive been picking my spots this was the last time I played, and yeah I went 4-1 as I passed on the 'borderlines'.



"The system went 4-5 yesterday...Overall now 32-22 after 8 days...

Interestingly, if you had not played the 4 borderline plays I mentioned you would have gone 4-1 on the day with your only loss being Cincinnati which actually should have won that game..."


(...appreciate reading any caution flags thrown in bases!)


Agreed maybe capping the home/away was a waste...
.
but wondered if the *runs/errors mismatches* have caught your eye far as tweaking this...?

For Sure here appreciate your 'Borderline opinions regarding Pitchers'..... (but I know its a chore)....

Awesome Thread Brutha....Run Diff....Its kinda about who scores more consistently in thee end right?...









 
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Posted: #71
Quote Originally Posted by skoonr3:

Hey Smack Ive been picking my spots this was the last time I played, and yeah I went 4-1 as I passed on the 'borderlines'.



"The system went 4-5 yesterday...Overall now 32-22 after 8 days...

Interestingly, if you had not played the 4 borderline plays I mentioned you would have gone 4-1 on the day with your only loss being Cincinnati which actually should have won that game..."


(...appreciate reading any caution flags thrown in bases!)


Agreed maybe capping the home/away was a waste...
.
but wondered if the *runs/errors mismatches* have caught your eye far as tweaking this...?

For Sure here appreciate your 'Borderline opinions regarding Pitchers'..... (but I know its a chore)....

Awesome Thread Brutha....Run Diff....Its kinda about who scores more consistently in thee end right?...










Nice work there, my friend...

I will continue to try and get that borderline analysis done as it does seem to work at times...today, my regular work got in the way of my capping...

However, it didn't prevent me from hitting my 4 team parlay...and even though I didn't post it, I did play my usual 3 units on each of the parlay selections...
A very nice night indeed...

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Posted: #72

Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

Thanks gentlemen!...Tonight’s parlay...NYY -163Boston -1.5... -133Minnesota -1.5... +107Chicago Cubs -1.5... +142$100 wins $1316...

Nice hit. Quite a thriller for that parlay an_woo

bottom 9th finished for both Cubs and Yankees.

 
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Posted: #73

Seems like Padres -1.5 live is a nice opportunity.

Syndergaard is getting bulldozed in this one coming from the shutout game.

 
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Posted: #74
Quote Originally Posted by sportswagers:

Seems like Padres -1.5 live is a nice opportunity.

Syndergaard is getting bulldozed in this one coming from the shutout game.


Good luck with it...I'm going to work on tomorrow's card!...

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Posted: #75
I went back through and looked at the pitching matchups for today...if I had had the time to go through them today, these games would have been the borderline games...

Texas...loss
Colorado...loss
Cincy...probably loss, down 0-2  in the 8th inning now
S.D.... loss...

It is certainly looking more and more like the pitcher comparison is helping to weed out the losers in the system plays...will be working hard to get those done pre game daily...

4 of the 5 losses could have been avoided with not playing the borderline plays...

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