All Forums | MLB Betting

Runn Differential League Snapshot... 4-27-19...

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 36945
Posts: 523
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2017
Posts: 7453
Posted: #451
IBACKU - too funny, lmao!! You put alot of time into this.  

Smitty, would you like me to give him a good kidney punch for you? 

So Gosh Damn Funny !! 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2002
Posts: 1458
Posted: #452

and I'm not a "hater"-hell-I've been following his picks

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2004
Posts: 23615
Posted: #453
Quote Originally Posted by Trumpinator2020:

IBACKU - too funny, lmao!! You put alot of time into this.  

Smitty, would you like me to give him a good kidney punch for you? 

So Gosh Damn Funny !! 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2002
Posts: 1458
Posted: #454

we're not talking about Keys thread.Do you comprehend mathamatics ?

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2012
Posts: 661
Posted: #455

Quote Originally Posted by ibacku:

Quote Originally Posted by Contrarian:

ibacku-look at the hard numbers. Smack stated that the average line for PODS was -175. At the percentage that he's hitting Key stated that -157 is the break even point. What don't you understand ? Key has probably been gambling for longer than most of you have been alive (except me ).I don't think he's being negative-just realistic.As I said before the purpose of any forum should be to help people make some money
  and he is negative- 2100 dollars or -7 units his record what does that tell you!!

39-48 his record that's 44% you telling me that is better than 261-164 or 114-68

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2002
Posts: 1458
Posted: #456

mathematics

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2002
Posts: 1458
Posted: #457

have you read the previous posts about the break even point ?

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2002
Posts: 1458
Posted: #458

I'm done here-no hope

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2012
Posts: 661
Posted: #459

Quote Originally Posted by Contrarian:

mathematics

sound like Why Trickle Down Economic Works in Theory But Not in Fact

 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2007
Posts: 23140
Posted: #460

Quote Originally Posted by Contrarian:

I'm done here-no hope
Some have hope and understand help when they get it. For others you are right; wasted effort. Covers does not offer a course in basic gambling mathematics so it will never change. Not a bad deal though when you think about it. People that don't know diddly-squat about either baseball or gambling mathematics supply the funds for the books to pay others with.

peace

Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2004
Posts: 14064
Posted: #461
Wow...go to work for a day and all HELL breaks out!......

Let me get these picks out and I will read through this soap opera asap!......

Day 44 continued....

T.B. Devil Rays +95) vs LA Angels (-1)
K.C. (-72) vs Detroit (-109)
NYY (+70) at CW Sox (-55)
Colorado (+8) vs S.D. (-34)
LA Dodgers (+105) vs Cubs (+67)

Borderlines in this group...

K.C.
Colorado

Remaining PODs then are...

T.B. Devil Rays
NYY
LA Dodgers..

PM for the skinny on the down low
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2012
Posts: 661
Posted: #462

Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:

Quote Originally Posted by Contrarian:

I'm done here-no hope
Some have hope and understand help when they get it. For others you are right; wasted effort. Covers does not offer a course in basic gambling mathematics so it will never change. Not a bad deal though when you think about it. People that don't know diddly-squat about either baseball or gambling mathematics supply the funds for the books to pay others with.

yea u know it -2100 dollars!! seems like a winner to me atleast he gives correct picks and not at

44%

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2004
Posts: 14064
Posted: #463
Appreciate the support and all of the constructive criticism......

Sounds like some clarification is in order...I have a decent grasp of the concepts of return on investment (ROI) and wagering with odds...It is quite clear that this system most often produces favorites within the -130 to -200 range...it seems to be averaging around -150 to -170 on any given day...

This is why I have made it clear that I am using it selectively...I don't wager on every game or even every POD the system produces...sometimes, I am very sad about that as it can POP a perfect 6-0...7-0..pretty regularly...

I usually use the PODs to fill in a parlay spot here and there and I use them to verify other cappers selections at other times...

This is not a system to blindly follow...at this point...and it may never be...it is not anywhere near it's final form...it is early in the process of gathering data and possibly at some point this year another critical variable will be added to the system ...ONE at a time...and then more data collected with that variable added.

This may very well be something that will not be "finished" in 1 or 2 or even 3 years...this does not mean it does not have value right now...

I certainly want everyone here to beat the books just as I want to win more often than not...if anything about this is confusing, please let me know...

If this is detrimental to the Covers community, I will shut it down right now and just do it privately...

PM for the skinny on the down low
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2012
Posts: 661
Posted: #464

well said no need to shut it down..... just the people....  that's I am going  to say about that 

 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2007
Posts: 23140
Posted: #465

It is not detriment smack. As you yourself say it is "under construction", but it does need a lot of refinement and ROI can not be ignored. I know you don't, but it seems many of your followers think winning games and winning money are the same thing. They most assuredly are not and you and the wiser heads around here realize that. At some point you will have to incorporate a money management and wagering system, otherwise you will never really know whether you are achieving your goals or not. Guesstimates regarding lines will not refine the system. I sincerely wish you

Best Of Luck 

Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2012
Posts: 661
Posted: #466

Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:

It is not detriment smack. As you yourself say it is "under construction", but it does need a lot of refinement and ROI can not be ignored. I know you don't, but it seems many of your followers think winning games and winning money are the same thing. They most assuredly are not and you and the wiser heads around here realize that. At some point you will have to incorporate a money management and wagering system, otherwise you will never really know whether you are achieving your goals or not. Guesstimates regarding lines will not refine the system. I sincerely wish you Best Of Luck
 

then the know it all returns great in theory but not fact!

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2002
Posts: 1458
Posted: #467

as I stated previously-no hope/ reading comprehension

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2012
Posts: 661
Posted: #468

Quote Originally Posted by Contrarian:

as I stated previous

ly-no hope/ reading comprehension

if the roi (return on investment) is so important than how can you explain being -2100 dollars in the hole and have a record of 44% percent picking winner why would anyone follow that?? I would rather have winner svp ( scott van pelt) 

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2002
Posts: 1458
Posted: #469

smack- I still check in every day. Keep doing what you do,I appreciate it.BOL

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2002
Posts: 1458
Posted: #470

As I said before-this is not Keys thread or picks.Focus on THIS thread

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2012
Posts: 661
Posted: #471

Quote Originally Posted by Contrarian:

As I said before-this is not Keys thread or picks.Focus on THIS thread[/Quote
Quote Originally Posted by Contrarian:

As I said before-this is not Keys thread or picks.Focus on THIS thread

but you agree with him so...…….. and you dont have any picks and neither so what are you complaining about except complaining  about this thread and how smitty system doesnt work for you or him

WELL ITS WORKING PRETTY WELL FOR SMITTY ME AND OTHER SO STAY OUT OF THE THREAD IF YOU DONT LIKE THE CONTENT!!!

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2002
Posts: 1458
Posted: #472

ibacku- read post # 451 maybe 20 x and maybe you'll understand what I'm talking about. I SUPPORT smack and what he's doing. I virtually never reply until I read drivel written by idiots like you

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2012
Posts: 661
Posted: #473

Quote Originally Posted by Contrarian:

Quote Originally Posted by Contrarian:

As I said before-this is not Keys thread or picks.Focus on THIS thread[/Quote
Quote Originally Posted by Contrarian:

As I said before-this is not Keys thread or picks.Focus on THIS thread
but you agree with him so...…….. and you dont have any picks and neither so what are you complaining about except complaining  about this thread and how smitty system doesnt work for you or him WELL ITS WORKING PRETTY WELL FOR SMITTY ME AND OTHER SO STAY OUT OF THE THREAD IF YOU DONT LIKE THE CONTENT!!!ibacku- read post # 451 maybe 20 x and maybe you'll understand what I'm talking about. I SUPPORT smack and what he's doing. I virtually never reply until I read drivel written by idiots like you
 

and again that post is from keys part of this thread and again coming from someone giving advice that is -2100 in the whole and 1/3 of the way into the season 

 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2014
Posts: 47720
Posted: #474
ibacku 
 
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2004
Posts: 14064
Posted: #475
Day 44 completed...

The main system went 5-2...overall now 271-172...

The PODs went 3-2...overall now 120-73...

Borderlines went 2-0...

Working on day 45 now..

PM for the skinny on the down low
All Forums | MLB Betting
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.