Posted:
#501
Quote Originally Posted by simple3:
To me this feels more like the Cavs/Raps series where GSW will go up 2-0 in convincing fashion and then Cavs will tie it up at 2-2 at home.
Some pretty damning trends going against the Cavs, though I don't know how to weight these correctly in the playoffs.
Cavaliers are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 NBA Championship games.
Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Warriors are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win.
Warriors are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
Warriors are 35-14-2 ATS in their last 51 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cavaliers are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 2 days rest.
Warriors are 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 games playing on 2 days rest.
Two trends that favor the Cavs:
Cavaliers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Some very strong trends towards the under, two of which I'll bold.
Under is 74-32-3 in Cavaliers last 109 Sunday games.
Under is 11-5-1 in Warriors last 17 Sunday games.
Under is 21-8-1 in Warriors last 30 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Only trend I could find that favors the over is:
Over is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
These might mean nothing to you but just throwing them out there
You can throw out those stats out the window if the league already has Cavs win game 2 planned..
0
How do you explain the 10 more FT attempts the Cavs got in game 1 when the refs were 20-8 SU for the home team? It's purely coincidental but best of luck, your picks are very good.
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