Posted:
#1
This is a dangerous game to bet on.
But what in life doesn't require risk for reward. There isn't a single line on any night that you say, "this is an automatic winner." If you knew the outcome before the game, you'd be filthy rich right now.
So why cap it? Because it involves the Knicks who are my local team. I have 'radar' teams. The lakers and kings were on my radar and it's none too long before I get back to my bread and butter in the Knicks and the Nets.
Why is this a dangerous game? Because we are trying to snap off a win with a bad team, that, and this is the key, hasn't been paying us against the spread, and, and this is also key, is on a losing streak.
When I posted the lakers to beat the celtics, the lakers had won 3 of 4 ATS even though they were on a six game losing streak. It hit and the Lakers won SU. They were already paying us tough.
When I gave out the kings over the bulls, the kings were also on a six game losing streak but had also impressive ATS. It hit and the kings won SU. They were already paying us though.
So why is this game tricky? Because the Knicks are on a three game losing streak and are 0-3 ATS in all three.
That means, if we take the Knicks tonight, we are essentially asking them to start an ATS streak right here or plainly, just get a win when they are struggling.
Capping the end of losing streaks both real and ATS is tough but there's one big advantage: the lines are usually pretty sweet.
Catching +1.5 here with the Knicks on their home court against a decent but not great Nuggets team allows us to concentrate on one thing: will the Knicks win? That simplifies things greatly and it allows for a very small but welcome 1.5 pt cushion as a gift.
If you are still reading, you are interested and I'll tell you why I think the Knicks will take this game.
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I have been waiting for you.
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