xXxMangJosexXX Like more Clippers - 4. It could be my future play but i'm still research this game My Warriors are deeper and better team than Rockets this season but Houston are good home team. I will stay away here.
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xXxMangJosexXX Like more Clippers - 4. It could be my future play but i'm still research this game My Warriors are deeper and better team than Rockets this season but Houston are good home team. I will stay away here.
1) We are looking for western conference teams 2) We are looking for two very good playoff caliber teams - Clippers and Trailblazers 3) We are looking for team which disappoint recently and is at home: Clippers 4) We are looking for team which is very hot right now and is at road: Trailblazers
In such matchups home court advantage is huge factor. You can check their h2h games last seasons for proof. Clippers were absolute disaster last game and Doc Rivers really slam his own team for this really poor performance. Now we can expect them to bounce back after 2 days rest and put much more good effort in front of their home crowd. On the other side of the coin we have very hot team right now Blazers which beat two of the title contenders Dallas and Cleveland with huge blowouts... we can expect letdown here because they will face tonight very motivated good western team. Portland defense is not Warriors caliber so we will see way more baskets for Clippers tonight. Doc Rivers is great motivator so i think my bounce back + possible letdown criteria could hit tonight.
Clippers - 4 1.1 units (to win 1)
The other game i choose is Pacers - Wizards. Indy struggling with injuries this season. They play really well last night at Boston but can't see how these usually bench players will compete with Washington. Wizards had two bad offensive games with 36-37%... Last night they were blowout by Raptors and before that they win in OT against the same opponent as tonight. Really can't see how this talented team will put three in a row with below 40% FG. I think if they succeed to increase their percentage tonight to 43%+ caliber they will secure win against poor offensive team like Indiana right now. I hope the chalk won't be a problem.
Wizards - 3.5 1.1 units (to win 1)
GL
Like also Grizzlies and Warriors but probably won't play them.
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Bounce back + possible letdown criteria tonight:
1) We are looking for western conference teams 2) We are looking for two very good playoff caliber teams - Clippers and Trailblazers 3) We are looking for team which disappoint recently and is at home: Clippers 4) We are looking for team which is very hot right now and is at road: Trailblazers
In such matchups home court advantage is huge factor. You can check their h2h games last seasons for proof. Clippers were absolute disaster last game and Doc Rivers really slam his own team for this really poor performance. Now we can expect them to bounce back after 2 days rest and put much more good effort in front of their home crowd. On the other side of the coin we have very hot team right now Blazers which beat two of the title contenders Dallas and Cleveland with huge blowouts... we can expect letdown here because they will face tonight very motivated good western team. Portland defense is not Warriors caliber so we will see way more baskets for Clippers tonight. Doc Rivers is great motivator so i think my bounce back + possible letdown criteria could hit tonight.
Clippers - 4 1.1 units (to win 1)
The other game i choose is Pacers - Wizards. Indy struggling with injuries this season. They play really well last night at Boston but can't see how these usually bench players will compete with Washington. Wizards had two bad offensive games with 36-37%... Last night they were blowout by Raptors and before that they win in OT against the same opponent as tonight. Really can't see how this talented team will put three in a row with below 40% FG. I think if they succeed to increase their percentage tonight to 43%+ caliber they will secure win against poor offensive team like Indiana right now. I hope the chalk won't be a problem.
Wizards - 3.5 1.1 units (to win 1)
GL
Like also Grizzlies and Warriors but probably won't play them.
xXxMangJosexXX Sorry but i can't figure out this Lakers team. Really don't know what they are doing right now. I think they will tank hard this season to get top 5 lottery pick for the next season when they will have also lot of space in the roster.
Tigers2013 Damn hook I probably will stay away from Warriors tonight but if i have to choose side it's gonna be Golden State
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xXxMangJosexXX Sorry but i can't figure out this Lakers team. Really don't know what they are doing right now. I think they will tank hard this season to get top 5 lottery pick for the next season when they will have also lot of space in the roster.
Tigers2013 Damn hook I probably will stay away from Warriors tonight but if i have to choose side it's gonna be Golden State
Thanks FF! Probably a letdown tomorrow for the warriors. Suns coming off a back to back losses at home. I'm leaning lakers for tomorrow because of what kobe said to his team "To just get the damn win"
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Thanks FF! Probably a letdown tomorrow for the warriors. Suns coming off a back to back losses at home. I'm leaning lakers for tomorrow because of what kobe said to his team "To just get the damn win"
Tigers2013 Be careful with Warriors tonight. Really don't like the favorite line change with the classic RLM. Suns won both games at Phoenix last season so they play well against GSW. I will stay away for sure.
I think i could have a play on Blazers/Nuggets game but will wait next hours to see where the line will go.
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Tigers2013 Be careful with Warriors tonight. Really don't like the favorite line change with the classic RLM. Suns won both games at Phoenix last season so they play well against GSW. I will stay away for sure.
I think i could have a play on Blazers/Nuggets game but will wait next hours to see where the line will go.
I also will put a nickel on Suns tonight. The line movement is absolutely similar to last night Warriors line vs Rockets. Classic RLM with changing the favorites. I think it's gonna be repeat scenario again:
I can't believe that i will fade my team in my first Warriors play for the season It's a small type of win/win situation. I will win some money or my team will still be unbeaten which is gonna be also good. (not as much as my money of course
Suns - 1 1.1 units (to win 1)
Still wait to see if Ty Lawson will play for Nuggets tonight for placing my second final bet.
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I also will put a nickel on Suns tonight. The line movement is absolutely similar to last night Warriors line vs Rockets. Classic RLM with changing the favorites. I think it's gonna be repeat scenario again:
I can't believe that i will fade my team in my first Warriors play for the season It's a small type of win/win situation. I will win some money or my team will still be unbeaten which is gonna be also good. (not as much as my money of course
Suns - 1 1.1 units (to win 1)
Still wait to see if Ty Lawson will play for Nuggets tonight for placing my second final bet.
Ty Lawson is playing. The points are too much here i think. It's time for Denver to show something good this season. The Blazers probably will win but not in double diggits
Klay Thomson is out... Now i see why this line is so strange all day. I'm more confident now with my Suns bet and i'm happy that i placed it an hour ago, Now the line is already - 2.5
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Adding:
Nuggets + 9 1.1 units (to win 1)
Ty Lawson is playing. The points are too much here i think. It's time for Denver to show something good this season. The Blazers probably will win but not in double diggits
Klay Thomson is out... Now i see why this line is so strange all day. I'm more confident now with my Suns bet and i'm happy that i placed it an hour ago, Now the line is already - 2.5
1-1 last night. Denver team is total garbage. I will try to avoid their games in the future... They were outscored by bad Portland bench and make guys like Kaman and Blake to look like all-star players... And i can't count how many open layups under the glass they bigs missed. 13 3pt attempts... under George Karl this guys were monsters in outside area...
ATS: 9-5-1+ 3.5 units Totals: 1-0-0 + 1 units Overall: 10-5-1 + 4.5 units
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1-1 last night. Denver team is total garbage. I will try to avoid their games in the future... They were outscored by bad Portland bench and make guys like Kaman and Blake to look like all-star players... And i can't count how many open layups under the glass they bigs missed. 13 3pt attempts... under George Karl this guys were monsters in outside area...
ATS: 9-5-1+ 3.5 units Totals: 1-0-0 + 1 units Overall: 10-5-1 + 4.5 units
1) Guard matchup: Huge advantage for Hawks here. Teague and Korver are way better than Hardaway and Larkin... Last game on saturday guard couple for Hawks outscored the backcourt couple of Knicks with 46:24... Knicks will look like a team once Calderon is back. Prigioni is lack of ofense and Larkin is too young to expect some miracles from him.
2) Shooting percentage: Last game Knicks were good with 47.6% which is really unusual for them against 40.7% for Atlanta and still lose the game. I expect better shooting performance for Hawks tonight ... especially from Milsap and Horford who where awful on offensive side on saturday with combined 6-24 shooting... 25 %. That is gonna change tonight i'm sure.
3) Going to the line: That is the key in this matchup. Knicks don't go often to the line... They avg just 16 free throws a game since start of the season which is very small number. I checked their last season games against Atlanta and i saw numbers near to that 16 number. This team needs to shoot near 50% in the field every game with huge support for Carmelo by his teamates to win any game. It's very hard and that is one of the reasons i like to fade Knicks in this early season games. (I already won twice against them... and twice were at home: against Bulls and against Wizards.)
I smell three in a row in "fade Knicks as small home dog" type of bets.
Hawks - 1.5 1.1 units (to win 1)
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Hawks at Knicks
Keys to the game:
1) Guard matchup: Huge advantage for Hawks here. Teague and Korver are way better than Hardaway and Larkin... Last game on saturday guard couple for Hawks outscored the backcourt couple of Knicks with 46:24... Knicks will look like a team once Calderon is back. Prigioni is lack of ofense and Larkin is too young to expect some miracles from him.
2) Shooting percentage: Last game Knicks were good with 47.6% which is really unusual for them against 40.7% for Atlanta and still lose the game. I expect better shooting performance for Hawks tonight ... especially from Milsap and Horford who where awful on offensive side on saturday with combined 6-24 shooting... 25 %. That is gonna change tonight i'm sure.
3) Going to the line: That is the key in this matchup. Knicks don't go often to the line... They avg just 16 free throws a game since start of the season which is very small number. I checked their last season games against Atlanta and i saw numbers near to that 16 number. This team needs to shoot near 50% in the field every game with huge support for Carmelo by his teamates to win any game. It's very hard and that is one of the reasons i like to fade Knicks in this early season games. (I already won twice against them... and twice were at home: against Bulls and against Wizards.)
I smell three in a row in "fade Knicks as small home dog" type of bets.
I will go with the opening line here cause i can smell the favorite change in next hours. Indy are favorite against western conference team really ? They are so depleted right now that i can't see how they will win against anybody except Sixers in the eastern conference. Bad line from the books i think. Jazz are b2b but who cares. It's too early in the season so i don't think b2b is huge factor for young fast talented team which have advantage against Indiana bench players. Indy are practically without their starters from last season except Hibbert who is questionable and who is not in the best shape of his career right now. Utah again will be in the last 3-4 spots in the west but that is because they play in the tougher conference. Indiana is not the favorite here... they will lose again tonight except something really illogical happened.
Jazz + 2 1.1 units (to win 1)
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Jazz at Pacers
I will go with the opening line here cause i can smell the favorite change in next hours. Indy are favorite against western conference team really ? They are so depleted right now that i can't see how they will win against anybody except Sixers in the eastern conference. Bad line from the books i think. Jazz are b2b but who cares. It's too early in the season so i don't think b2b is huge factor for young fast talented team which have advantage against Indiana bench players. Indy are practically without their starters from last season except Hibbert who is questionable and who is not in the best shape of his career right now. Utah again will be in the last 3-4 spots in the west but that is because they play in the tougher conference. Indiana is not the favorite here... they will lose again tonight except something really illogical happened.
My totals are 1-1 but i won't post them anymore cause i'm done with this type of bets this season. I just can't get them and the best time to quit is when you are still even
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1-2 last night
ATS: 10-6-1+ 3.4 units
My totals are 1-1 but i won't post them anymore cause i'm done with this type of bets this season. I just can't get them and the best time to quit is when you are still even
Don't like the schedule too. I could have possible one play but it's more probable to take rest. Wednesday is full schedule and we will have more opportunities to catch them
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Don't like the schedule too. I could have possible one play but it's more probable to take rest. Wednesday is full schedule and we will have more opportunities to catch them
They will beat the east but will you lay 10+ points... I won't I have one for tonight: Bulls + 2.5
The schedule for Toronto so far was total crap and that is the only reason they are almost unbeaten yet. Tonight they face different type of team and the problems will come... especially under the glass. I really haven't got good and big writeup for tonight. I just have a feel that Bulls will be the right side.
1.1 units (to win 1)
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They will beat the east but will you lay 10+ points... I won't I have one for tonight: Bulls + 2.5
The schedule for Toronto so far was total crap and that is the only reason they are almost unbeaten yet. Tonight they face different type of team and the problems will come... especially under the glass. I really haven't got good and big writeup for tonight. I just have a feel that Bulls will be the right side.
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My Warriors are deeper and better team than Rockets this season but Houston are good home team. I will stay away here.
I probably will stay away from Warriors tonight but if i have to choose side it's gonna be Golden State 
It's a small type of win/win situation. I will win some money or my team will still be unbeaten which is gonna be also good. (not as much as my money of course 
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