FF selective bets - November thread

What you think about
Lac-5
Bull-3?

Love the Clippers. Actually i'm gonna jump on them because i love the line right now:

Clippers - 4
1.1 units (to win 1)

LA are currently out of the playoff bracket. At road against eastern team which have trouble with scoring is best time to bounce back.

1.1 units (to win 1)

playerfu Also like the Bulls but maybe no play on them

FF is always in it 2 win it. keep it up bud! 

Wed night predctions?

Another win last night. Feel very well that i pass Bulls - 3... it will be hurt.

ATS: 21-10-1 + 10 units
Totals: 2-3-0 - 1.3 units

Overall record: 23-13-1 + 8.7 units


beardyindian

hubzmac I will travel all day and will be here two-three hours before the games

I had a decent go on that division winners double.  It has already moved from 1.96 to 1.74. 

Really not impressed by tonight schedule. Somehow like zero rested Bulls team to cover 3.5 points against Nuggets. Do you watch any Denver games this season cause i watched many and this team is awful coached... Current fourth game winning streak is like a miracle. My only worry is that almost every bull for tonight is questionable. So i will be with the Bulls or no play. Need to see some injury news. The bad thing is that i have to go sleep and i don't know how many time i have to wait for that injury list

One interesting point i discover today. Two quick questions:

Which overrated so far team in the East is in top 5 of worst backcourt defense.

Quick answer: Cleveland Cavaliers

Which are the top 5 backcourt couples in NBA right now:

Quick answer: Curry/Thompson, Lowry/DeRozan, Lillard/Matthews, Dragic/Bledsoe/Thomas (even a triple here) and Wall/Beal. These of course are my personal top 5 but don't think there is another contenders as a couple here.

And let see the past results from this season of Cleveland against these 5 backcourt monster teams:

@ Portland L 82-101
@ Washington L 78-91

Toronto

L 93-110

Three losses with avg - 16.3 point deferential. Is these 7 points for WIzards tonight are early christmass gift i wonder...

Wizards + 8

Don't think that right now Cleveland are 8 points better than Washington. I know Wizards are on b2b but who cares. It's too early in the season for fatigue factor to be really strong factor. Wiz guards are too much to handle for crappy backcourt defense like Cavs... Cleveland will have troubles this season with any team with good young and fast guards... it's my observation so far in the season and you can see proof in my previous post. (there i post which are potential guard couples which will make big troubles for Cavs) Yeah Cleveland maybe will win tonight but don't think that is gonna happen easily with blowout... close game here and the points are good... whole 8! Fading this Cavs team will bring you always edge with the line... sportbooks know that this brand new "big three" with best player in world will have public love and there will be chase after chase. Everybody in this forum already pay the price with this Cleveland shitty lines. And the books will give shitty lines on Cleveland games every next game because Cavs always will recieve nice amount of public bets despite what the real line actually is. If the real line is something like -4 or -5 you will recieve -7 or -8... it's just one of  the most simply things this season in NBA. So we have awful defensive team with one of the best players in the world which recently blowout a nice team like Orlando (but not playoff caliber) and team which need revenge after blowout lose at Washington. The result is very hard push line to - 8... it's almost 7.5 everywhere right now but my local bulgarian sportsbook offer me 8 and i will take it wisely.

1.1 units (to win 1)

Will add one over as well.

Nuggets at Suns - Over 215.5

The line is absolute crap but books know that public will be very hard on that over play so that is the reason total line is pushed so high. I play this only because when i open the week schedule on monday i immediately decide that i will be on that play despite the line. Sometimes i just have good feel about some game and no line can refuse me of playing it. We have two of the fastest pace teams in the league which love to run the ball and shoot a lot. Everybody in both teams can explode with amazing shooting performance anyday of the year. The line is awful but as i said i was already decide to play it two days ago. Don't recommend this play at all

I missed your suns play but took your early lead on the wizards.  Not to worry. 

Yeah... damn Wizards look awful all game. They were never in the cover... 1-1 last night. At least my run and gun machines don't give up on me

ATS: 21-11-1 + 8.9 units
Totals: 3-3-0 - 0.3 units

Overall record: 24-14-1 + 8.6 units

Magic + 5

Close game IMO. I will take the points. Too many players of Indy are questionable. I have to go out with friends so i have to take this early line. I will be back around 7-8 PM for the late games picks if i have some of course.

GL

gl bud

ATS: 21-12-1 + 7.8 units
Totals: 3-3-0 - 0.3 units

Overall record: 24-15-1 + 7.5 units

0-1 last night. I had one total winner but haven't got time to post it here

anything for sat?

Saturday 29th November:

Clippers - 5

After the slow start in the season LA look better now. They are way worse than last season and that isn't gonna change for sure in the future but tonight i will ride with them. I like one thing and it's very clear: Clippers own Jazz last years. Now there is a 10-0 run for Clippers against this opponent. This trend is gonna stop somewhere but in this conference Doc and his boys know that every game is important cause at the end the seed and the home court advantage will be huge factor in such a tough conference. Winning against team like Jazz which is no factor at the West right now is 100% on the table for LA. I'm not worry that Clips are on no rest and are on long road trip. This only help to have them on - 5 line. Last season the line was - 9 The only problem here could be the points but 5 are not so much so i will lay them.

Best of Luck fellas Sunday schedule is more attractive and i will have more picks tomorrow for sure. I have one very solid total play and will post it when i have a line

ATS: 22-12-1 + 7.8 units
Totals: 3-3-0 - 0.3 units

Overall record: 25-15-1 + 8.5 units

Any early leans for sunday's game? :)

Hey funk.  Missed you clippers play

Boynextdoor Maybe later.

Tigers thanks i will correct.

ATS: 22-12-1 + 8.8 units
Totals: 3-3-0 - 0.3 units

Overall record: 25-15-1 + 8.5 units

That's the real numbers

First play for Sunday:

Bulls - 2.5

Take this early cause it will increase to -3 or - 3.5 until start of the game. Chicago are just the better team and the spread is not big for worries. Thibs know that this is the Season with big S so they will try to lock the east at first seed. Chicago are one of the most passion and heartful teams in the league and i know this coach.. they play in every game like it's playoffs. That is why Chicago are the team that deserve most of my respect at the Eastern conference. Now everybody seems to be "healthy"... they add some offensive weapons... Jimmy Butler is in top 10 of the hottest players in the league right now. Brooklyn doesn't show anything that impress me so far to back them tonight. Bulls

Timberwolves at Trailblazers - Over 211.5

That is the solid total play i was talking about and promised last night. Wolves run the ball fast... Blazers love to play in such tempo against weaker opponents cause we know what scorers Portland have... You never know what is gonna happen with this crappy totals but with expected from me fast pace tempo and nice FG percentages + some FT at the end to push the total over the points in the middle of the fourth have some sense.