Cause i'm really lazy to open new threads every day i will stick it to monthly threads this season. Posted plays:
October: 1-0-0 (Bulls - 4 over Knicks) + 1 unit November: 0-0-0 - 0 units Overall: 1-0-0+ 1 unit
All plays are ATS (I will try to play mostly ATS but if sometimes i find an edge and value in some total i will post it too). I will have one sure play for saturday night favorite but will post it later. Just need to make some more research Stay tuned and BOL
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Cause i'm really lazy to open new threads every day i will stick it to monthly threads this season. Posted plays:
October: 1-0-0 (Bulls - 4 over Knicks) + 1 unit November: 0-0-0 - 0 units Overall: 1-0-0+ 1 unit
All plays are ATS (I will try to play mostly ATS but if sometimes i find an edge and value in some total i will post it too). I will have one sure play for saturday night favorite but will post it later. Just need to make some more research Stay tuned and BOL
The spread is not so small but Heat are way better team than Sixers and there is no question about that. Philly are on no rest and this team don't have any face to match up with Heat. It's gonna be hard for them to win against any team in the league. Miami understand that this season they are no longer the big favorite in the East and will put more efforts in games like this cause every win will be important for the final seeds in the East. I can see even Heat bench to outscore the Sixers starters so i'm not afraid of possible garbage time in the 4th quarter and later backcover for Sixers. Miami easily in DD IMO. Best of Luck my friends. That is my one and only play for today... it's still too early in the season and i have to be more tight and selective if i want my bankroll to stay stable and on + profit
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Saturday 1st November:
Heat - 8.5 1.1 units (to win 1)
The spread is not so small but Heat are way better team than Sixers and there is no question about that. Philly are on no rest and this team don't have any face to match up with Heat. It's gonna be hard for them to win against any team in the league. Miami understand that this season they are no longer the big favorite in the East and will put more efforts in games like this cause every win will be important for the final seeds in the East. I can see even Heat bench to outscore the Sixers starters so i'm not afraid of possible garbage time in the 4th quarter and later backcover for Sixers. Miami easily in DD IMO. Best of Luck my friends. That is my one and only play for today... it's still too early in the season and i have to be more tight and selective if i want my bankroll to stay stable and on + profit
My only worry is that tomorrow Heat have game against Raptors which is more important but a this point all bench players for Heat are fighting for more minutes and i think they will put enough effort to win this game with big spread. BOL Tigers
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My only worry is that tomorrow Heat have game against Raptors which is more important but a this point all bench players for Heat are fighting for more minutes and i think they will put enough effort to win this game with big spread. BOL Tigers
I can possibly add one more play later fellas. Somehow i like Jazz tonight. I know this team isn't good but they matchup well against Suns which are b2b. This line - 2.5 is begging for Phoenix money after their huge win last night against NBA champs... very fishy!
Leaning: Jazz + 2.5
I will wait if the line jumps to 3...
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I can possibly add one more play later fellas. Somehow i like Jazz tonight. I know this team isn't good but they matchup well against Suns which are b2b. This line - 2.5 is begging for Phoenix money after their huge win last night against NBA champs... very fishy!
Tigers2013 Yeah this line was total BS... I don't think there was much value on Jazz last night because everybody here know that Phoenix are way better team and 2-3 points are nothing to cover for the clearly better Suns team. But sometimes you don't have to chase value... just have to think why this line is so scary/fishy... and then you will see that the value on Suns - 2.5 isn't actually there... If you have ability to recognize these type of "easy" lines you always will have an edge in NBA betting.
Best of Luck today fellas. I could have one total play for tonight but still watch the lines and waiting
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Tigers2013 Yeah this line was total BS... I don't think there was much value on Jazz last night because everybody here know that Phoenix are way better team and 2-3 points are nothing to cover for the clearly better Suns team. But sometimes you don't have to chase value... just have to think why this line is so scary/fishy... and then you will see that the value on Suns - 2.5 isn't actually there... If you have ability to recognize these type of "easy" lines you always will have an edge in NBA betting.
Best of Luck today fellas. I could have one total play for tonight but still watch the lines and waiting
Fellas Pelicans at GrizzliesUnder 188.5 is pure gold. Take it now or it will drop in the next hours. Both teams have greatBIGs and it's gonna be brutal battle under the glass. Don't think that maybe the slowest pace team in the league Memphis will push the tempo here. If you investigate like i did the games between these two in the season you will see very slow paced games. Between 70 and 80 possessions for both teams and really low scoring games. It's too early in the season and i expect much turn overs tonight because of the both defenses. The chance they play slow paced game again with addition of my prediction for TOs we can say we have pretty much value on this under. The only time when these two hit more than 188 points was NO home victory at the end of december in which the best defender of Grizz team Marc Gasoldidn't play because of a long injury.Now Marc is back and even Pelicans add some nice defender piece at the C position - Asik. We have two good point guards in defensive plan: Mike Conley and Jrue Holiday... both of them great stealers. New Orleans don't need to rush the tempo also because they are on first of b2b. Tomorrow they will play at home against Hornets... game that they are more likely to win. So give me that under for the first total play this season and there we will see that i'm going to struggle again with this total plays or this year will be very different story 1.1 units (to win 1)
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Fellas Pelicans at GrizzliesUnder 188.5 is pure gold. Take it now or it will drop in the next hours. Both teams have greatBIGs and it's gonna be brutal battle under the glass. Don't think that maybe the slowest pace team in the league Memphis will push the tempo here. If you investigate like i did the games between these two in the season you will see very slow paced games. Between 70 and 80 possessions for both teams and really low scoring games. It's too early in the season and i expect much turn overs tonight because of the both defenses. The chance they play slow paced game again with addition of my prediction for TOs we can say we have pretty much value on this under. The only time when these two hit more than 188 points was NO home victory at the end of december in which the best defender of Grizz team Marc Gasoldidn't play because of a long injury.Now Marc is back and even Pelicans add some nice defender piece at the C position - Asik. We have two good point guards in defensive plan: Mike Conley and Jrue Holiday... both of them great stealers. New Orleans don't need to rush the tempo also because they are on first of b2b. Tomorrow they will play at home against Hornets... game that they are more likely to win. So give me that under for the first total play this season and there we will see that i'm going to struggle again with this total plays or this year will be very different story 1.1 units (to win 1)
It's been a weird start to the year in NBA. Many teams have changed their pace of play. I like under in Memphis game but both these teams have no problem scoring points to begin the season. Im real wary of totals to begin the season. BOL
“You don’t get what you hope for, you get what you work for!”
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It's been a weird start to the year in NBA. Many teams have changed their pace of play. I like under in Memphis game but both these teams have no problem scoring points to begin the season. Im real wary of totals to begin the season. BOL
PGAromes82 Yeah the totals are almost unpredictable in the earlyseason but really don't think that Grizzlies are gonna change their pace this season. This team is build for a slow pace game with these incredible defenders. That is their philosophy and they will stick to it as long as it provides wins. And everybody here know that Memphis with their pace and game style is one of the teams which can beat anybody in the league at home any day. They reach playoffs every year with that style and they are even the most "not wanted opponent" team for every team in the playoff bracket. We saw many run and gun teams during the years which were forced to play in slow tempo at Memphis. Grizz are very good team in the category "control" the tempo. Both teams tonight have to shoot with very good FG % and FT % to reach more than 190 points. And Courtney Lee is questionable and we know that he is one of the few guys in Grizz rooster who can shoot 3s... so if he miss tonight's game it will be even better for my bet. I write so many points which points the under that i think if this game somehow hit the over i'm gonna be very ashamed
PGAromes82 Yeah the totals are almost unpredictable in the earlyseason but really don't think that Grizzlies are gonna change their pace this season. This team is build for a slow pace game with these incredible defenders. That is their philosophy and they will stick to it as long as it provides wins. And everybody here know that Memphis with their pace and game style is one of the teams which can beat anybody in the league at home any day. They reach playoffs every year with that style and they are even the most "not wanted opponent" team for every team in the playoff bracket. We saw many run and gun teams during the years which were forced to play in slow tempo at Memphis. Grizz are very good team in the category "control" the tempo. Both teams tonight have to shoot with very good FG % and FT % to reach more than 190 points. And Courtney Lee is questionable and we know that he is one of the few guys in Grizz rooster who can shoot 3s... so if he miss tonight's game it will be even better for my bet. I write so many points which points the under that i think if this game somehow hit the over i'm gonna be very ashamed
I really hate this totals but sometimes i have so strong feeling about some game and i can't discipline myself to not play this type of bets. (I usually perform great at ATS and awful in Totals) We'll see what is gonna happen. BOL
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I really hate this totals but sometimes i have so strong feeling about some game and i can't discipline myself to not play this type of bets. (I usually perform great at ATS and awful in Totals) We'll see what is gonna happen. BOL
I really hate this totals but sometimes i have so strong feeling about some game and i can't discipline myself to not play this type of bets. (I usually perform great at ATS and awful in Totals) We'll see what is gonna happen. BOL
Well you may hate the winners as long as I get to love them. Great win FF not just the win but how the game played out--perfect game read.
Congrats and GLTA
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Quote Originally Posted by FunkFreaker:
I really hate this totals but sometimes i have so strong feeling about some game and i can't discipline myself to not play this type of bets. (I usually perform great at ATS and awful in Totals) We'll see what is gonna happen. BOL
Well you may hate the winners as long as I get to love them. Great win FF not just the win but how the game played out--perfect game read.
Vituperate You know in which thread to stop for a while and get some useful info. The game was so under that i wasn't afraid of an OT where the pace will go for a last 2 second shot every possesion... Over backers never had a shot here but as you said perfect game read by myself. You can't rush the tempo when you are on first of b2b (second game is more likely to win at home) and you are at road against best defensive, slow pace and control the tempo team in the league. BOL my friend. I will have one sure or even two plays for tonight. 2014-2015 Regular Season Record
ATS: 3-0-0+ 3 units Totals: 1-0-0 + 1 units Overall: 4-0-0 + 4 units
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Vituperate You know in which thread to stop for a while and get some useful info. The game was so under that i wasn't afraid of an OT where the pace will go for a last 2 second shot every possesion... Over backers never had a shot here but as you said perfect game read by myself. You can't rush the tempo when you are on first of b2b (second game is more likely to win at home) and you are at road against best defensive, slow pace and control the tempo team in the league. BOL my friend. I will have one sure or even two plays for tonight. 2014-2015 Regular Season Record
ATS: 3-0-0+ 3 units Totals: 1-0-0 + 1 units Overall: 4-0-0 + 4 units
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