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    All Forums | NBA Betting Forum

    Froggy's High Correlation Picks

    «First Previous 456 ... 678 Next Last»
    arakias
    Froggy80
    skyace173
    Warlord
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    «First Previous 456 ... 678 Next Last»
     
    arakias
    arakias
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    Posted: Feb. 20, 2021 - 4:26 PM ET #76

    The only problem I can see Frog is being unable or unwilling to share the method. Normally, I wouldn't care.. but if a line can flip just before tip-off it makes it REALLY hard to trust wagering, even last second, when we can't confirm ourselves that the play is still valid. What if you make the plays 30 minutes before tip-off and have an emergency? Hard to be willing to risk money blindly. If the plays couldn't flip, or never be changed, I'd be all about it and see how far we went. Just a thought to consider.

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    The only problem I can see Frog is being unable or unwilling to share the method. Normally, I wouldn't care.. but if a line can flip just before tip-off it makes it REALLY hard to trust wagering, even last second, when we can't confirm ourselves that the play is still valid. What if you make the plays 30 minutes before tip-off and have an emergency? Hard to be willing to risk money blindly. If the plays couldn't flip, or never be changed, I'd be all about it and see how far we went. Just a thought to consider.

     
    Froggy80
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    Posted: Feb. 20, 2021 - 4:29 PM ET #77

    Picks are made at time of event. Flips occur 5-minutes after (if any). 96% of events never flip. If it flips, you'll have enough time to take the other side of the wager, and in lucky cases, you can even manage a middle. I will never leave you guys in the dark.

    -- Take a leap of faith
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    Picks are made at time of event. Flips occur 5-minutes after (if any). 96% of events never flip. If it flips, you'll have enough time to take the other side of the wager, and in lucky cases, you can even manage a middle. I will never leave you guys in the dark.

     
    arakias
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    Posted: Feb. 20, 2021 - 4:33 PM ET #78

    @Froggy80

     I'm not following. How do you have time to take the other side if picks are made at the time of the event?

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    @Froggy80

     I'm not following. How do you have time to take the other side if picks are made at the time of the event?

     
    Froggy80
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    Posted: Feb. 20, 2021 - 4:42 PM ET #79

    pre-match wagers are allowed up until tip off. Flips happen prior to that. You can wager live as well if conditions permit. You'll have to forfeit the juice and double up on the other side (essentially buying out of the first wager, and betting on the other side). There is no alternative to this method. Remember, I voluntarily share my picks, and I won't get on another platform to share picks because... well, simply, I don't want to. It's too much of a hassle for something that bears absolutely zero fruit. I'll never sell my picks, I'll never profit off of anyone here. I have no intentions of going on twitter, telegram, or discord. It's just too much. There's nothing in it for me, other than the shared glory of winning at a game consistently and making money with my own wagers.

    As I mentioned from the start, tailing me is 100% voluntary.

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    pre-match wagers are allowed up until tip off. Flips happen prior to that. You can wager live as well if conditions permit. You'll have to forfeit the juice and double up on the other side (essentially buying out of the first wager, and betting on the other side). There is no alternative to this method. Remember, I voluntarily share my picks, and I won't get on another platform to share picks because... well, simply, I don't want to. It's too much of a hassle for something that bears absolutely zero fruit. I'll never sell my picks, I'll never profit off of anyone here. I have no intentions of going on twitter, telegram, or discord. It's just too much. There's nothing in it for me, other than the shared glory of winning at a game consistently and making money with my own wagers.

    As I mentioned from the start, tailing me is 100% voluntary.

     
    Froggy80
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    Posted: Feb. 20, 2021 - 4:46 PM ET #80

    Also, I say 96%, but in reality, it has happened 2 times in the last 200 games. However, I leave a 3% margin of error for black swan events and human error. This is more than a reasonable solution from where I stand.

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    Also, I say 96%, but in reality, it has happened 2 times in the last 200 games. However, I leave a 3% margin of error for black swan events and human error. This is more than a reasonable solution from where I stand.

     
    skyace173
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    Posted: Feb. 20, 2021 - 5:05 PM ET #81

    looks like a pretty promising system, what's the expected winning percentage?

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    looks like a pretty promising system, what's the expected winning percentage?

     
    Froggy80
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    Posted: Feb. 20, 2021 - 5:08 PM ET #82

    I'm expecting a range between 70% - 75%, but I'm on the pretty optimistic side. So, I'm shooting for 70%... anything above that is gravy.

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    I'm expecting a range between 70% - 75%, but I'm on the pretty optimistic side. So, I'm shooting for 70%... anything above that is gravy.

     
    Warlord
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    Posted: Feb. 20, 2021 - 6:11 PM ET #83

    I have read a lot of your postings and I have come to the conclusion that you are crazy . If you were the greatest we couldn't follow you because you never post in a timely matter.Then you change the post and cancell the bet. You are wasting your time and the people that try to follow you. I just go to the machine and most times he is right on. No BS just facts,work towards that.

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    I have read a lot of your postings and I have come to the conclusion that you are crazy . If you were the greatest we couldn't follow you because you never post in a timely matter.Then you change the post and cancell the bet. You are wasting your time and the people that try to follow you. I just go to the machine and most times he is right on. No BS just facts,work towards that.

     
    arakias
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    Posted: Feb. 20, 2021 - 6:18 PM ET #84

    @Warlord

     I think Frog has good intentions but yeah, there's been at least twice I think so far where a play was posted incorrectly or reversed. That's 25% of the time on 8 plays. Way too often for me to feel comfortable following a system I can't check prior to locking in my wager. Regardless I wish him the best.

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    @Warlord

     I think Frog has good intentions but yeah, there's been at least twice I think so far where a play was posted incorrectly or reversed. That's 25% of the time on 8 plays. Way too often for me to feel comfortable following a system I can't check prior to locking in my wager. Regardless I wish him the best.

     
    Inovated80
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    Posted: Feb. 20, 2021 - 6:36 PM ET #85

    Aye a 6-2 start ain't bad at all ....He did mention he made some tweaks ...looking forwarded to see what's he got in store for us tonightan_popcorn

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    Aye a 6-2 start ain't bad at all ....He did mention he made some tweaks ...looking forwarded to see what's he got in store for us tonightan_popcorn

     
    arakias
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    Posted: Feb. 20, 2021 - 6:37 PM ET #86

    @Inovated80

     Agreed. 6-2 is solid.

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    @Inovated80

     Agreed. 6-2 is solid.

     
    Froggy80
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    Posted: Feb. 20, 2021 - 8:02 PM ET #87

    No bet for 1st game.

     

    If you want to see what I'm seeing (and why I call a 'No Bet')

    https://ibb.co/jWcxrHt

    https://ibb.co/0GwY9VQ

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    No bet for 1st game.

     

    If you want to see what I'm seeing (and why I call a 'No Bet')

    https://ibb.co/jWcxrHt

    https://ibb.co/0GwY9VQ

     
    Froggy80
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    Posted: Feb. 20, 2021 - 8:07 PM ET #88

    @Warlord

    By whose standard is anyone every really normal (except you of course)?

     

    I made a mistake on 1 post because I read numbers incorrectly, and once because the line actually flipped. (It was the right call btw).

     

    However, that being said, I am trying to accomodate by making the correlation calculations earlier. For what it's worth, I do what I can to make sure no one is betting on a coin flip. That should count for something.

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    @Warlord

    By whose standard is anyone every really normal (except you of course)?

     

    I made a mistake on 1 post because I read numbers incorrectly, and once because the line actually flipped. (It was the right call btw).

     

    However, that being said, I am trying to accomodate by making the correlation calculations earlier. For what it's worth, I do what I can to make sure no one is betting on a coin flip. That should count for something.

     
    Pocketmonkey711
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    Posted: Feb. 20, 2021 - 8:25 PM ET #89

    @Froggy80

     Agreed 

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    @Froggy80

     Agreed 

     
    Froggy80
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    Posted: Feb. 20, 2021 - 8:32 PM ET #90

    MIA UNDER 208.5

     

    This is an incredibly weird line to take, but I'm taking it with half my usual bet because it's so weird. The other side is even fishier.

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    MIA UNDER 208.5

     

    This is an incredibly weird line to take, but I'm taking it with half my usual bet because it's so weird. The other side is even fishier.

     
    Pocketmonkey711
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    Posted: Feb. 20, 2021 - 8:35 PM ET #91

    GL Froggy clover

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    GL Froggy clover

     
    Froggy80
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    Posted: Feb. 20, 2021 - 8:36 PM ET #92

    Quote Originally Posted by Pocketmonkey711:

    GL Froggy
    Thanks!

    -- Take a leap of faith
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pocketmonkey711:

    GL Froggy
    Thanks!

     
    Pocketmonkey711
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    Posted: Feb. 20, 2021 - 8:43 PM ET #93

    I'm tailing you....very curious to see how your system works out. Best of luck

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    I'm tailing you....very curious to see how your system works out. Best of luck

     
    Froggy80
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    Posted: Feb. 20, 2021 - 10:01 PM ET #94

    WASH UNDER 243

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    WASH UNDER 243

     
    CrackerJackBets
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    Posted: Feb. 20, 2021 - 10:58 PM ET #95

    Nice work on the Miami under, it was way over for 95% of the game it seemed.  Came through in the end.

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    Nice work on the Miami under, it was way over for 95% of the game it seemed.  Came through in the end.

     
    Inovated80
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    Posted: Feb. 20, 2021 - 11:04 PM ET #96

    Miami / Lakers hit...good job an_cheers

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    Miami / Lakers hit...good job an_cheers

     
    FillTheDuffel
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    Posted: Feb. 20, 2021 - 11:35 PM ET #97

    Haven't had a chance to tail but I believe in ya Froggy. BOL to you and all who tail 

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    Haven't had a chance to tail but I believe in ya Froggy. BOL to you and all who tail 

     
    Froggy80
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    Posted: Feb. 21, 2021 - 12:00 AM ET #98

    Final matches of the night always carries an interesting bit of flair. We really need these fires to be doused. Either one team leaves the other in the dirt or either/both teams turn on their defense into high gear. At least it'll be an interesting one. GL to all tailers.

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    Final matches of the night always carries an interesting bit of flair. We really need these fires to be doused. Either one team leaves the other in the dirt or either/both teams turn on their defense into high gear. At least it'll be an interesting one. GL to all tailers.

     
    Inovated80
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    Posted: Feb. 21, 2021 - 12:32 AM ET #99

    @Froggy80

     Nice 2 for 2 today an_cheers

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    @Froggy80

     Nice 2 for 2 today an_cheers

     
     
    Froggy80
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    Posted: Feb. 21, 2021 - 12:35 AM ET #100

    Thanks!

    Record: 8-2 

    -- Take a leap of faith
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    Thanks!

    Record: 8-2 

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