The only problem I can see Frog is being unable or unwilling to share the method. Normally, I wouldn't care.. but if a line can flip just before tip-off it makes it REALLY hard to trust wagering, even last second, when we can't confirm ourselves that the play is still valid. What if you make the plays 30 minutes before tip-off and have an emergency? Hard to be willing to risk money blindly. If the plays couldn't flip, or never be changed, I'd be all about it and see how far we went. Just a thought to consider.
Froggy's High Correlation Picks
The only problem I can see Frog is being unable or unwilling to share the method. Normally, I wouldn't care.. but if a line can flip just before tip-off it makes it REALLY hard to trust wagering, even last second, when we can't confirm ourselves that the play is still valid. What if you make the plays 30 minutes before tip-off and have an emergency? Hard to be willing to risk money blindly. If the plays couldn't flip, or never be changed, I'd be all about it and see how far we went. Just a thought to consider.
Picks are made at time of event. Flips occur 5-minutes after (if any). 96% of events never flip. If it flips, you'll have enough time to take the other side of the wager, and in lucky cases, you can even manage a middle. I will never leave you guys in the dark.
Picks are made at time of event. Flips occur 5-minutes after (if any). 96% of events never flip. If it flips, you'll have enough time to take the other side of the wager, and in lucky cases, you can even manage a middle. I will never leave you guys in the dark.
pre-match wagers are allowed up until tip off. Flips happen prior to that. You can wager live as well if conditions permit. You'll have to forfeit the juice and double up on the other side (essentially buying out of the first wager, and betting on the other side). There is no alternative to this method. Remember, I voluntarily share my picks, and I won't get on another platform to share picks because... well, simply, I don't want to. It's too much of a hassle for something that bears absolutely zero fruit. I'll never sell my picks, I'll never profit off of anyone here. I have no intentions of going on twitter, telegram, or discord. It's just too much. There's nothing in it for me, other than the shared glory of winning at a game consistently and making money with my own wagers.
As I mentioned from the start, tailing me is 100% voluntary.
pre-match wagers are allowed up until tip off. Flips happen prior to that. You can wager live as well if conditions permit. You'll have to forfeit the juice and double up on the other side (essentially buying out of the first wager, and betting on the other side). There is no alternative to this method. Remember, I voluntarily share my picks, and I won't get on another platform to share picks because... well, simply, I don't want to. It's too much of a hassle for something that bears absolutely zero fruit. I'll never sell my picks, I'll never profit off of anyone here. I have no intentions of going on twitter, telegram, or discord. It's just too much. There's nothing in it for me, other than the shared glory of winning at a game consistently and making money with my own wagers.
As I mentioned from the start, tailing me is 100% voluntary.
Also, I say 96%, but in reality, it has happened 2 times in the last 200 games. However, I leave a 3% margin of error for black swan events and human error. This is more than a reasonable solution from where I stand.
Also, I say 96%, but in reality, it has happened 2 times in the last 200 games. However, I leave a 3% margin of error for black swan events and human error. This is more than a reasonable solution from where I stand.
I'm expecting a range between 70% - 75%, but I'm on the pretty optimistic side. So, I'm shooting for 70%... anything above that is gravy.
I'm expecting a range between 70% - 75%, but I'm on the pretty optimistic side. So, I'm shooting for 70%... anything above that is gravy.
I have read a lot of your postings and I have come to the conclusion that you are crazy . If you were the greatest we couldn't follow you because you never post in a timely matter.Then you change the post and cancell the bet. You are wasting your time and the people that try to follow you. I just go to the machine and most times he is right on. No BS just facts,work towards that.
I have read a lot of your postings and I have come to the conclusion that you are crazy . If you were the greatest we couldn't follow you because you never post in a timely matter.Then you change the post and cancell the bet. You are wasting your time and the people that try to follow you. I just go to the machine and most times he is right on. No BS just facts,work towards that.
@Warlord
I think Frog has good intentions but yeah, there's been at least twice I think so far where a play was posted incorrectly or reversed. That's 25% of the time on 8 plays. Way too often for me to feel comfortable following a system I can't check prior to locking in my wager. Regardless I wish him the best.
@Warlord
I think Frog has good intentions but yeah, there's been at least twice I think so far where a play was posted incorrectly or reversed. That's 25% of the time on 8 plays. Way too often for me to feel comfortable following a system I can't check prior to locking in my wager. Regardless I wish him the best.
@Warlord
By whose standard is anyone every really normal (except you of course)?
I made a mistake on 1 post because I read numbers incorrectly, and once because the line actually flipped. (It was the right call btw).
However, that being said, I am trying to accomodate by making the correlation calculations earlier. For what it's worth, I do what I can to make sure no one is betting on a coin flip. That should count for something.
@Warlord
By whose standard is anyone every really normal (except you of course)?
I made a mistake on 1 post because I read numbers incorrectly, and once because the line actually flipped. (It was the right call btw).
However, that being said, I am trying to accomodate by making the correlation calculations earlier. For what it's worth, I do what I can to make sure no one is betting on a coin flip. That should count for something.
MIA UNDER 208.5
This is an incredibly weird line to take, but I'm taking it with half my usual bet because it's so weird. The other side is even fishier.
MIA UNDER 208.5
This is an incredibly weird line to take, but I'm taking it with half my usual bet because it's so weird. The other side is even fishier.
Final matches of the night always carries an interesting bit of flair. We really need these fires to be doused. Either one team leaves the other in the dirt or either/both teams turn on their defense into high gear. At least it'll be an interesting one. GL to all tailers.
Final matches of the night always carries an interesting bit of flair. We really need these fires to be doused. Either one team leaves the other in the dirt or either/both teams turn on their defense into high gear. At least it'll be an interesting one. GL to all tailers.
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