Quote Originally Posted by DrJohn3719:
Your models say Clev. to cover? Time will tell.
My most beloved follower, jpots, you are an academic and a reasonable man.
Dr. John would NEVER claim to have a guaranteed lock or anything of this nature. Rather, the aim is to indicate the side with line value / +EV. Whether the play(s) hit or not, DRJ would place the bet again 10 times out of 10, because that is the side with perceived value.
Based on empirical results, each of Dr. John’s plays has an EV of +0.09% of bankroll (factoring in a 2% of bankroll wager size and assuming -110.34 juice). Phrased differently, after 100 bets, Dr. John would expect to achieve a 9% return on equity (which is roughly equivalent to inflation adjusted expected returns from the stock market, the key difference being here there is 0 systematic risk and in the stock market that is impossible to achieve).
What you were displaying is...
Dr john figured and knows that if you divide the number 100, the number will decrease... if you multiply the number 100 by 2 or more the number will increase.... lol
If a hunter shot a flock of birds and hit a few, these flock of birds wont be flying with exact number of birds...
Dr john, this is what you are saying...
We all know that, you just using your mathematician words and phrases to construct like it has substance...
What i like is the exact number, or just around that number and how you figure it out.
Lay down the variables, and formula...
I know if you divide the 100 of 2 or more, result you will get smaller than a 100.
I know too if you multiply 100 by 2 or more, result number will get bigger.
I already know that.... come on man.
Hi. I’m on rehab. : ) You are next.