All Forums | NBA Betting

Interesting info about the Heat's 12-0 ATS trend that might be useful tonight in Game 6

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 34547
Posts: 412
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2004
Posts: 50586
Posted: #251
Quote Originally Posted by ActionMagnet:


You mean like the Celtics did in 2010 when they layed down in game 6 and let LA hammer them only to get screwed in game 7 by the refs allowing LA to shoot 21 fourth qtr free throws.. ?? That logic didn't work for the Celts..






ActionMagnet, why are you bringing up some other team from some other year?  Did the 2010 Celtics also have a powerful "off a double-digit loss with rest" trend going for them that was undefeated all season and winning by huge margins?  No, they did not, and that trend that the Spurs DO have is the reason I strongly urged them to let the Heat romp in Game 6 so the Spurs could set themselves up for a rock solid SU win tonight.  It would have worked beautifully.
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2004
Posts: 50586
Posted: #252
Quote Originally Posted by ActionMagnet:


You mean like the Celtics did in 2010 when they layed down in game 6 and let LA hammer them only to get screwed in game 7 by the refs allowing LA to shoot 21 fourth qtr free throws.. ?? That logic didn't work for the Celts.. I like that the spurs played balls to the wall, deep down Miami psyche has to be wondering and saying damnnn we are lucky what if what if, etc..






Actually, the Heat are thinking "They had us, man, they had us!  And they let us off the hook!"  And then they're doing a salsa dance, so happy that they absorbed the Spurs' best effort and survived.
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2004
Posts: 50586
Posted: #253
Quote Originally Posted by ActionMagnet:


You mean like the Celtics did in 2010 when they layed down in game 6 and let LA hammer them only to get screwed in game 7 by the refs allowing LA to shoot 21 fourth qtr free throws.. ?? That logic didn't work for the Celts.. I like that the spurs played balls to the wall, deep down Miami psyche has to be wondering and saying damnnn we are lucky what if what if, etc.. Where as If the Spurs got crushed in gm 6, Miami confidence would be sky high.





If the Spurs got crushed in Game 6, the Heat would be coming off a double-digit win, and those flakes have dumped their last 5 games off a double-digit win.  So far from building their confidence, the Heat lately off a DD win have been softened up as if they each just ate a dozen jelly donuts.
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2004
Posts: 50586
Posted: #254
Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:






If anyone caught Stephen A. Smith yesterday on ESPN's "First Take" from San Antonio, you have to wonder if this loudmouth mush may have broken the Heat's back by insisting that the Spurs "will get annihilated" in Game 6.  He went on and on with his prediction, displaying an assuredness that usually results in egg all over his face.  I was listening to him and just wished he'd stop.  But he wouldn't stop.  So Stephen A's bluster is another thing that had me wondering if this is finally the spot in which the Heat can't rebound from a loss.






This highly-paid squareball Stephen A. Smith is the reason I refused to bet the Heat in the 1st half of Game 6.  Can't wait to find out what he says about tonight. 
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2006
Posts: 15453
Posted: #255
Bator... What's the play(s) tonight?
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2007
Posts: 4453
Posted: #256
is tonight's game about home court advantage or the better team?
this is who you should be betting your money on. that is it.  there is nothing else to think about.  SPURS is the better team and any time the better team is getting points you POUND and you POUND and POUND until you cannot POUND any more.  do you honestly believe lebron will go off again? if he does ok i was wrong and miami was the better team who showed up.  but overall san antonio is just too well balanced for this miami team. good luck gentlemen to all with your picks it will be fun. just hoping for another competitve game instead of a blowout either way.
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2004
Posts: 50586
Posted: #257
On ESPN's First Take, Stephen A. just called it 96-93 for the Spurs tonight.  Skip Bayless went first and called it 98-95 for the Spurs.  Only one thing is for sure.  The Spurs will not win by exactly 3 points, lol.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2006
Posts: 28221
Posted: #258
Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

On ESPN's First Take, Stephen A. just called it 96-93 for the Spurs tonight.  Skip Bayless went first and called it 98-95 for the Spurs.  Only one thing is for sure.  The Spurs will not win by exactly 3 points, lol.

Bayless is on the Spurs??

At least Stephen A didn't flip flop out of his pick. He chose the Spurs before game 6 and is sticking with them (although he might have chosen the heat to begin with).


“@FakeSportsCentr: Next on First Take: Skip Bayless and Stephen A. Smith debate if the Spurs should rest their stars in Game 7”

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2013
Posts: 17
Posted: #259
Miami ML 99.9% win
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2007
Posts: 1574
Posted: #260
1984 Jun 12, 1984 Boston Celtics 111-102 Los Angeles Lakers 9 Boston Garden Box Score
1988 Jun 21, 1988 Los Angeles Lakers 108-105 Detroit Pistons 3 The Forum Box Score
1994 Jun 22, 1994 Houston Rockets 90-84 New York Knicks 6 The Summit Box Score
2005 Jun 23, 2005 San Antonio Spurs 81-74 Detroit Pistons 7 SBC Center Box Score
2010 Jun 17, 2010 Los Angeles Lakers 83-79 Boston Celtics 4 Staples Center Box Score
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2007
Posts: 1574
Posted: #261
last few game 7 of nba finals, 3rd last column is margin of victory
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2004
Posts: 5016
Posted: #262
Quote Originally Posted by long1000:

Miami ML 99.9% win

Wow. You're giving the spurs a .1% chance to win this game?
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2007
Posts: 4453
Posted: #263
everybody says heat blowout? this is not the same team that won 27 games in a row guys.  if they played like that now in the playoffs they would have easily beat spurs 4-2
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2006
Posts: 127
Posted: #264
Here's how I'm betting this game:

Miami 1Q spread, Miami 1H spread

Spurs 2H spread,  Spurs 2H moneyline, Spurs FullGame moneyline placed at halftime (could be a juicy +500/+600) at that point.

I think the Spurs are the better team.  Miami will go for the knockout blow early and won't succeed entirely.  Spurs regroup and start beating that arse like they've done in recent games.  As the Spurs comeback this time, the Miami pansies choke and let them win the game.

It'll be a rollercoaster but the Spurs will become 5-time NBA champs.
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2004
Posts: 50586
Posted: #265
I mistyped earlier when I said that Stephen A. and Skip both picked the Spurs. They both picked the Heat to win, but by virtue of their predicted scores, they both picked the Spurs to cover the spread. So, to clarify, Skip went first and said Heat 98 Spurs 95, and Stephen A. followed up with Heat 96 Spurs 93.
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2007
Posts: 35430
Posted: #266
Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

I mistyped earlier when I said that Stephen A. and Skip both picked the Spurs. They both picked the Heat to win, but by virtue of their predicted scores, they both picked the Spurs to cover the spread. So, to clarify, Skip went first and said Heat 98 Spurs 95, and Stephen A. followed up with Heat 96 Spurs 93.


That makes far more sense, I was totally floored that Skip and Stephen A. both went with the road team.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2006
Posts: 28221
Posted: #267
So Stephen A did flip flop on his original spurs pick before game 6....

True to form.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2009
Posts: 3083
Posted: #268

Screamin A. Smith & Skip Baseless both picked SAS in 7 at the begining of this series...

Now it actually reaches gm 7 and they both flip

If I was in the presence of either of these knuckleheads and I had a gun with one bullet in it...........

 I would actually just shoot myself

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2008
Posts: 16192
Posted: #269

Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

I mistyped earlier when I said that Stephen A. and Skip both picked the Spurs. They both picked the Heat to win, but by virtue of their predicted scores, they both picked the Spurs to cover the spread. So, to clarify, Skip went first and said Heat 98 Spurs 95, and Stephen A. followed up with Heat 96 Spurs 93.

 

both steven a smith and skip bayless picked the spurs in 7 before game 1 of the series... now we are at the same game 7 they picked beforehand and they are saying the heat win... lmao

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2008
Posts: 16192
Posted: #270

70+ % is on the spurs + the pts tonight. 

i think the cheat win by 10+ now.  Spurs + the pts is a sucker bet imo   

would love to see the spurs win though.

 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2004
Posts: 50586
Posted: #271
At the Mirage, I just bet a dime on the Spurs +2.5 +190 and a dime on Manure under 12.5 points. But first I had to wait for a degenerate horse player to place his wager in front of me. That degenerate was Ray Romano.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 2574
Posted: #272
bator i had spurs ml, spurs +7, un191, spurs +7 2h, spurs ml 2h. i slept on the floor tues night
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2013
Posts: 97
Posted: #273
Mrbator I believe you are suffering from this condition, in all seriousness: One theorized reason for the recency effect is that these items are still present in working memory when recall is solicited. Items that benefit from neither (the middle items) are recalled most poorly. An additional explanation for the recency effect is related to temporal context: if tested immediately after rehearsal, the current temporal context can serve as a retrieval cue, which would predict more recent items to have a higher likelihood of recall than items that were studied in a different temporal context. 

You researched the Miami 2h play meticulosuly and presented it to us with great vigor and excitement and then completely abandoned it based on what you saw in the 1h. And that too, what you saw at the END of the first half. If you are saying that your feel for a game trumps your historical research then I implore you to become a live in game wagering bettor. You would be better served. I know it's hard to get limits down on that stuff though. Truthfully, I have been following and tailing you for over 10 years. I have a t-shirt that says mr bator with your blue covers head on the front that I wore to a covers Super Bowl party one year. I may sound like a geek but I wager just as much as you do in notional dollars per game, that's all relative though but many people on here think it matters more if you wager 10k per game versus $100. It really doesn't. 

The point of this post is to have you take a step back and examine this situation from above. You made a comment that implied that because the spurs didn't get blown out game 6 they are toast and popo should have let it get ugly. What were you talking about? Once again you're leaning on the historical numbers in that context but those are the same historical numbers that you trashed at halftime of game 6. Truth of the matter is that the spurs have hung tough in all the games except one. Where the heat tsunami was so strong in the 3q and the game ended more lopsided than it really was. On Tuesday night on the road the spurs never trailed by more than 6 and the opening line for game 7 was 6.5. I know you give credence to the fact that the line has plunged a full point and about 40 "pips" on the ML. I don't know how this one ends up but I already took 6.5 points for 15 units and a small 4 Unit to win 10 on the ML. 

If the refs are "letting em play" for the most part, and with a baffled LBJ offensively, I will take the strong fg% shooting spurs and 6.5 points In this scenario. 

Good luck


 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2007
Posts: 35430
Posted: #274
Fantastic 2nd post by NFLMaestro
 
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2007
Posts: 22502
Posted: #275
Spurs ML, Points, and Under
All Forums | NBA Betting
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.