I am not looking at these plays as serious bets untill I see what the lines do tomorrow, I just really thought it was interesting how inflated these lines opened.....
or is it just me?
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Quote Originally Posted by UMF:
Parlay the ML's then.
Interesting idea;
But that is around -140, not great value.
I am not looking at these plays as serious bets untill I see what the lines do tomorrow, I just really thought it was interesting how inflated these lines opened.....
I'm thinking of teasing them all +8. I don't see any reason to worry. All the favorites should win and all the dogs should cover. I'm thinking 2/3 dogs cover.
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I'm thinking of teasing them all +8. I don't see any reason to worry. All the favorites should win and all the dogs should cover. I'm thinking 2/3 dogs cover.
They might be inflated because they know dumbasses like me keep thinking "OMG, it's game time. Lakers/SAS/Orlando HAS to show up for this one." And like every time, we get a nice slap in the face.
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They might be inflated because they know dumbasses like me keep thinking "OMG, it's game time. Lakers/SAS/Orlando HAS to show up for this one." And like every time, we get a nice slap in the face.
The result each game is 75% win for me and I am happy. This is how DOGs and UNDERs control during Playoff. Anyone interest in Favor/Over go ahead. So far is all Dogs/Under.
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Chicago/Indiana>>>>Dogs/Under (75%).
Orlando/Atlanta>>>>Dogs/Under (75%)
Lakers/New Orleans>>>>>Dogs/Under (75%)
The result each game is 75% win for me and I am happy. This is how DOGs and UNDERs control during Playoff. Anyone interest in Favor/Over go ahead. So far is all Dogs/Under.
"Don't you mean 2 of 3 underdogs cover their spreads? "
No, i mean favs will cover.
They are asking, begging, pleading that we take the underdogs. They have set lines that are 1-3 points inflated.
This is why the line movement will be so interesting.
I can tell you right now, the public is going to be ALL OVER THOSE DOGS. Watch the lines. If 75% of the public is on each of these respective underdogs and the line is hardly moving, it means big money is on the favs, effectively negating the public money.
This is a game played by humans and anything can happen, but with experience you can see angles, linesmakers errors, etc and find value.
To be profitable long term, these are essential things to learn....
unless you're really lucky.
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"Don't you mean 2 of 3 underdogs cover their spreads? "
No, i mean favs will cover.
They are asking, begging, pleading that we take the underdogs. They have set lines that are 1-3 points inflated.
This is why the line movement will be so interesting.
I can tell you right now, the public is going to be ALL OVER THOSE DOGS. Watch the lines. If 75% of the public is on each of these respective underdogs and the line is hardly moving, it means big money is on the favs, effectively negating the public money.
This is a game played by humans and anything can happen, but with experience you can see angles, linesmakers errors, etc and find value.
To be profitable long term, these are essential things to learn....
hawks. up 3-1. i can't imagine a more perfect spot for them to take a game off. They're like the chum-lee of the NBA.
pacers. just a feeling but capitulation is looming. If they have a bad first half, it will be garbage time-o-rama.
Hornets. there's no angle here to support a laker bet. The show might actually lose the series.
of the 3, i would take the bulls, being easily the strongest favorite in the package. I believe they are tired of being outplayed by the pacers in the first half & they come out, bury them, & party.
GL
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hawks. up 3-1. i can't imagine a more perfect spot for them to take a game off. They're like the chum-lee of the NBA.
pacers. just a feeling but capitulation is looming. If they have a bad first half, it will be garbage time-o-rama.
Hornets. there's no angle here to support a laker bet. The show might actually lose the series.
of the 3, i would take the bulls, being easily the strongest favorite in the package. I believe they are tired of being outplayed by the pacers in the first half & they come out, bury them, & party.
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