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NBA PLAYOFFS.....................2015

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Posted: #126
Roll on Warriors....roll on...........................
 
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Posted: #127
Thanks buddy!! Clippers tomorrow -4 now with the tease! Do you have leans yet on tomorrow?
 
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Posted: #128
Quote Originally Posted by Pfotie:

Thanks buddy!! Clippers tomorrow -4 now with the tease! Do you have leans yet on tomorrow?

I would have a small lean Bulls and pass on the Clippers game. 

 We have a good size play on Clippers to win series which now basically becomes a ML bet with 2 chances to cash it.

Clippers coming off 6 straight ATS and back-to-back blow-out wins is not sustainable, many teams after failing to cover the team  will fail to cover the next game.

If anything a possible 2 team teaser Bulls and Rockets and 3 team teaser Bulls, Rockets and Warriors game 6.

Good situation to  middle the teaser and series play .
 
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Posted: #129
8 pm start tonight, should be back before game time with the plays.

Don't see any strong situations tonight but likely will make a small play.

Clippers ML is a strong situation but laying alot of juice, since we have a series bet no need to lay all that juice.

And we have a small 3 team teaser working with Clippers being the final game needed to cash.

I don't think Clippers are a good play ATS tonight.

I think between the Bulls and Wiz, one of those should get the game 6 cover .

Have more later.........................
 
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Posted: #130
So bulls is the play claw and what your play may I ask thanks keep up the good work
 
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Posted: #131
Small 1 unit play on Bulls.

3 team 5.5 pt teaser on Bulls, Rockets, Warriors small 1 unit.
 
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Posted: #132
Thank for posting claw you bet rockets as full game too?
 
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Posted: #133
 
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Posted: #134
Quote Originally Posted by Chickenzpick:

Thank for posting claw you bet rockets as full game too?


Only in a teaser

1unit play on 5.5 pt teaser, Rockets, Wiz, Warriors,

keep it small, just 1 unit, the situations we have now are not the strongest.

 Stay patient, better, stronger situations will come-up down the road.
 
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Posted: #135
OK claw
 
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Posted: #136
Son of a gun, Bulls got destroyed with Love out, Irving out, and LBJ playing terrible. 

Not much damage for us, with our small plays.

With did get the win with Rockets, Clippers were in a very tough spot coming off 6 ATS wins and back-to-back blowouts which historically is not good.

Clippers due a regression and they received one, that's all that happened guys, don't panic.

As I posted above, after losing ATS coming off such runs many teams, it's pretty high % will fail to cover the next game and many do lose SU and some have lost SU as huge dogs like the Clippers were in game 6.

These teams do re-group and win off such back-to-back poor performances.

Now, this regression could possibly set-up the next round, if Warriors win big tonight or at least cover, then quess who will be coming off 3 ATS wins and back-to-back blowouts in games 4 & 5, sound similar there ?

The public will get fooled-again in game 1. Clippers would be a very nice ATS &  ML play.

But let's not get to far ahead of ourselves. We need to get there in the right situation.

We could find some value backing Hawks as a dog VS Cavs if we get that series.

 
 
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Posted: #137
Huge favorites it should of read.
 
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Posted: #138
Wiz very similar to Bulls, opp in a close-out game.

Historically teams like Hawks due very well in close-out games, but not as well if the opp is fairly even in the key stat battles. Which they are.

Wiz, one of our 2 largest mismatch teams this round, interesting and worth noting, although we did not take any... [big].... action the Wiz are 2-0 ATS off a SU loss and come-in off another SU loss.

However, that's off-set by the Wiz coming-in off 2-0-1  ATS wins, about a 50% rate the next game off 2 ATS , NOT SURE ABOUT 2-0-1 ATS. 3-0 is 30%.

So not the greatest of situations tonight, and the reason we take some small action in this game or pass.

We have the 3 team teaser working, we take straight bet for  Wiz for 1 unit.

We take a 2 team ML parlay Wiz and Warriors on the game and then again on the 1st half. for 1 unit each.

Don't go crazy cause we are on a big roll, those other games involved strong situations, be patient, wait for better situations to come big.....................................
 
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Posted: #139
Warriors -5 over Grizz --- 5.5 units

Warriors -2.5 1st half --- 2.2 units
 
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Posted: #140
Warriors roll on ....................

Sorry about getting the play in late last night, but I was looking into things and glued to the Wiz/Hawks game, looked like the Wiz had a chance and we had a number of parlays with being alive coming into Warriors game.

Always check-in at the last couple of minutes before game time, if I have a play I'll post it before game time , you should have plenty of time to get down on the play.  
 
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Posted: #141
I like the Clippers game 7, but likely won't take any action because we have a series play on Clippers .

Will look into East final and if something looks good maybe a small 2 team parlay with Clippers.

If Rockets win would take Warriors game 1 large, if Clippers win then it gets trickyer.

Now we'll have fewer games and less oppurtunities to find strong situations, we need to stay patient, don't force a play because you want action.

Wait-out a better situation, they will come-along but may be days even a week apart. And when they do we'll have the bankroll to come large..............................


 
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Posted: #142
Dropping by to give you props Claw 

Just a quick thought on the next round - if the Warriors face the Clippers I still think it would be a good play to take the Warriors. The turn around is only one days rest for the Clippers and their lack of a bench has started to really show this series, having failed to close out the 4th quarter last game.

The Warriors will run them out of Oracle having an extra days rest and only playing a 6 game series compared to the Clippers double 7 game series. Fatigue is really catching up to Blake, Paul and co.
 
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Posted: #143
Quote Originally Posted by Enjoi:

Dropping by to give you props Claw 

Just a quick thought on the next round - if the Warriors face the Clippers I still think it would be a good play to take the Warriors. The turn around is only one days rest for the Clippers and their lack of a bench has started to really show this series, having failed to close out the 4th quarter last game.

The Warriors will run them out of Oracle having an extra days rest and only playing a 6 game series compared to the Clippers double 7 game series. Fatigue is really catching up to Blake, Paul and co.

Much appreciated.

Yea, Clippers have had a tough road with back-to back game 7's.

Possibly Warriors win big game 1, but history would be fairly strong on Clippers to win game 1 or 2 SU and even stronger coming off a game 1 SU & ATS loss . 

If the Warriors win big game 1 and the public jumps big on Warriors game 2, drives-up the line and ML could be a great, great oppurtunity to score big with the Clippers.

Of coarse that's a long way off and would need to be set-up perfectly.

 
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Posted: #144
What are the stats historically? 
 
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Posted: #145
Quote Originally Posted by Enjoi:

What are the stats historically? 


Has to do with regression, and it could be set-up as perfect as it could ever be set-up,  I'll get into it later when the next series begin, depending on the situation. 
 
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Posted: #146
Clippers -4.5 2cd half over Rockets --- 3.3 units
 
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Posted: #147
 
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Posted: #148
Who wins claw? Not interested in the +200 live bet on the clips?
 
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Posted: #149
Hahahaha
 
 
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Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
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