You asked my opinion. 9 times out of 10 in this same exact situation, I have the Spurs covering this situation.
I'd like to know how I am throwing my own "cred" out the window by giving my opinion....
Please answer that.
kapono & NoFumbles make great points.
SB there is a reason that only knowledgeable cappers are questioning you, and it's all prospects that have joined in the last 2 months that are kissing your feet. I respect your record, but at the same time this just doesn't make sense. Some cappers choose to rate their plays on a 1-5 unit scale, which is what you do. So I'm just trying to understand how a play you feel has a 90% chance to cover is only worthy of a 1 unit play? I believe the point of having a variation in units is to put more units on the plays you feel you have a greater chance of winning. If you truly believed this play has a 90% chance of winning, then it would no doubt warrant a 5 unit play, hell at 90% may as well throw 10u on it. Your come back is bankroll management, but that just doesn't add up. I think we can all agree that it is extremely rare for a play to have a 90% chance of winning, and if it did, the odds certainly wouldn't be (-110) with a -3 point spread. Again, this isn't a shot at you, but rather applying logic to your statement. Good luck.