Posted:
#1
Chicago -4 3.3 to win 3
Major revenge angle here. The loss to PHX definitely helps to solidify the play. ATL had one huge quarter last time and Chicago just seemed to have given up from there. While Chicago does suck on Mondays, they did turn the corner vs Cleveland last Monday after the 1st quarter.
This play mainly comes down to ATL losing a step or two on defense lately and Chicago to likely bounce back after a poor offensive performance last time. As it stands, the Bulls have a 10-10 home record right now - way worse than on the road. Most of the home losses have also come from teams they do not take seriously as well. I cannot see the effort lacking now that we are over 1/3rd a way through the season and the Bulls really need to emphasize the home court advantage here at this point in time.
I realize this is probably a rather public play - but regardless - the public has to win at a decent clip to keep them coming back to gamble. Let's face it, if the lines were always sharp - it would disadvantage the books because it creates the perception that winning is next to impossible. The books want you to win... only to give it back a short time later. When you win - be smart. Get your payout and spend it on your loved ones and friends. Don't be greedy - it is your #1 enemy when gambling. Think of each of your selections has a way to prove to yourself you can hit at 60%. Set goals outside of dollar signs $. Make your overall goal to become successful at betting the NBA - not making x amount of dollars. The second you start to think about the money is typically when the pressure mounts for you to pick winners. Go with your gut.
As always, Good Luck to everybody in the Association today!
Free free to comment, criticize, or throw out your opinions on what I have to say. This is supposed to be a community where we come together and collaborate on our knowledge of the NBA.
Additional leans but no plays today:
DC -2 and Under 192.5 - Should actually be the most entertaining game of the night in my opinion. Very evenly matched and both teams getting back players from injuries. DC with J Crawford and Orlando with Davis. I couldn't bet this game since Orlando basically took the slide since Davis went out of the lineup. Also need more time to see Wall in action. He looks a lot better although it's only been one game. But a major contributor to the win vs ATL.
Miami -2.5 - No way I bet on/against this team. This just don't seem to care most games. I have a theory that they intentionally put themselves down just so they can practice their late game situations come playoff time. I would only lean Miami because Utah is very depleted at the PG and SF positions tonight and if Miami's 3 ball is working - it should be like the Sacramento game. Also James' averages his most ppg vs Utah. Miami can feed off the energy of this Utah crowd in a very odd way.
Major revenge angle here. The loss to PHX definitely helps to solidify the play. ATL had one huge quarter last time and Chicago just seemed to have given up from there. While Chicago does suck on Mondays, they did turn the corner vs Cleveland last Monday after the 1st quarter.
This play mainly comes down to ATL losing a step or two on defense lately and Chicago to likely bounce back after a poor offensive performance last time. As it stands, the Bulls have a 10-10 home record right now - way worse than on the road. Most of the home losses have also come from teams they do not take seriously as well. I cannot see the effort lacking now that we are over 1/3rd a way through the season and the Bulls really need to emphasize the home court advantage here at this point in time.
I realize this is probably a rather public play - but regardless - the public has to win at a decent clip to keep them coming back to gamble. Let's face it, if the lines were always sharp - it would disadvantage the books because it creates the perception that winning is next to impossible. The books want you to win... only to give it back a short time later. When you win - be smart. Get your payout and spend it on your loved ones and friends. Don't be greedy - it is your #1 enemy when gambling. Think of each of your selections has a way to prove to yourself you can hit at 60%. Set goals outside of dollar signs $. Make your overall goal to become successful at betting the NBA - not making x amount of dollars. The second you start to think about the money is typically when the pressure mounts for you to pick winners. Go with your gut.
As always, Good Luck to everybody in the Association today!
Free free to comment, criticize, or throw out your opinions on what I have to say. This is supposed to be a community where we come together and collaborate on our knowledge of the NBA.
Additional leans but no plays today:
DC -2 and Under 192.5 - Should actually be the most entertaining game of the night in my opinion. Very evenly matched and both teams getting back players from injuries. DC with J Crawford and Orlando with Davis. I couldn't bet this game since Orlando basically took the slide since Davis went out of the lineup. Also need more time to see Wall in action. He looks a lot better although it's only been one game. But a major contributor to the win vs ATL.
Miami -2.5 - No way I bet on/against this team. This just don't seem to care most games. I have a theory that they intentionally put themselves down just so they can practice their late game situations come playoff time. I would only lean Miami because Utah is very depleted at the PG and SF positions tonight and if Miami's 3 ball is working - it should be like the Sacramento game. Also James' averages his most ppg vs Utah. Miami can feed off the energy of this Utah crowd in a very odd way.
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