Ya gotta remember, Derozan is playing injured:
Lowry was playing injured which contributed to a prolonged slump but that injury appears to be long gone.
Carroll is not right. Can't really pinpoint what is wrong with him.
Jonas is out obviously.
You don't want to have to lean on Joseph, Ross, Biyambo and Patterson in a game like this.
Would I rather have all the above healthy and have a healthy Whiteside? Yes. That's how I capped it originally before any injuries (except Lowry who came in less than 100%). But I'll take what is on my betting plate now.
It was going a minimum six either way so I'm not bothered by 7.
And the refs played a nice little role in stopping Toronto late in Game 7 two years ago on their home court. No reason they can't/won't do it again with LBJ looming.
And just to reiterate, we all know the league loves game 7's so we shouldn't be surprised some calls went the Heat's way in Game 6. When you take the Raptors in game 6 or 7, be prepared to have to deal with calls like this. THIS should be in your spread and cap!
An embarrassing example of ref outcome manipulation right here:
To the guys above: I'm not saying it will be easy. The line is reasonable. I just don't think it will matter. But there is no way in hell the Heat should be giving points here (like the Spurs were against OKC and even that was a bad line before the result). This should be a very tight game.
I just think there will be too much pressure on Derozan and Lowry but for those that support them, of course you will be taking the better backcourt and the deeper team.
Lmb, I don't like that Winslow is starting, especially at center. He has a much higher propensity to turn the ball over as a rookie. But the Heat have what they need on the court, have the coaching advantage, and the small ball lineup to succeed. They just have to execute. It's incredibly hard to win a game 7 on the road in the NBA. If this were the first round, I'd more be favoring Toronto given the drought that franchise had to win a first round series. But Toronto has neither the experience or history to win multiple game 7's and the series drought is now off their backs (which matters). Would not be shocked to see them win. I'm glad I have enough on the series to lay off the game but I have to stick with the bet. Won't be easy by any means. Will come down to big shots and late stops as expected which Miami is fully capable of executing with Wade, Goran and Co.
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