Quote Originally Posted by dontknowhowtobe:
Before you throw the "conspiracy" bomb and try to disprove any claim whatsoever that "NBA is definitely NOT rigged" you need to realize something about how things are run behind the show.
There are guys who are standing next to the coach, next to the officials, next to many people who have influence on the game. Just read BetRadar.com's testimony here:
"All information is collected by the Sportradar Group’s vast network of experts who are in close contact with local sources like data-journalists, coaches, soccer federations etc. guaranteeing the highest quality available... This is beautifully demonstrated by our scouting services where we offer
a sophisticated security system. All popular betting markets for
example the Asian one, state monopolies, online & retail bookmakers
and exchanges are monitored. The odds are calculated using three factors: mathematical modelling, live trader information and our complex market monitoring."
Source:
https://www.betradar.com/about-us/faq/
I can only tell you as a Business (and Computing) graduate (in 1 month, god willing) as one who researched this industry quite well with 95% in my assignments - that those businesses are not stupid and are not blind - they have everything they need for every match, they maximize profit regardless of the outcome - but above all they know how to "kill" your bets and make you lose game after game after game.
Even if they had no contact whatsoever (e.g. in NCAA or other "small" leagues) they will see when the pace is changing way ahead of you:
https://www.betradar.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/4/2014/10/betradar_2013_american_sports.pdf
Read the section about "Market Trends".
They have the tools to beat you in every single bet that you place.
Do you want to be ahead of them?
Well, start appreciating that NBA is rigged and then you might make money from betting.
I've seen CBA (=Chinese Basketball Association) and PBA (=Philippines BA) games, they have no trend neither but these guys don't score 41 points in 5 minutes, because they can't rig the results ... so in CBA you might get a 240 line that will drop and drop and it won't recover ... only in the NBA you can see 2 teams scoring 160 points and 2 minutes remaining - they make it 195 with tons of free throws.
You want to challenge me that NBA is not rigged? Then disprove the claim that quoted in bold and underlined text above please.
That quote proves nothing. All sportrader is saying is they are in close contact with data journalist, coaches and such, all that refers to is knowing someone who knows those people so they can get a sense of team mentality and such things, hasd nothing what so ever to do with games being set-up.
You or I could do the same thing .Read the newspaper the coaches will tell you many things.
And remember this, it sounds like Sportrader is a bussiness trying to gain your bussiness and how honest they are about who they know could certainly be questioned. Of coarse they will say things like that, true or not is another story, and whether those things gain the player an advantage is a completely different stary has well, but Sportrader will certainly try and paint the right picture to make money.
The only thing I see proven in this thread is, the OP does not understand how sports works so therefore the answer is the games are fixed.
Anyone who follows the NBA should know teams place alot of importance on closing out quarters and especially halves like the 1st half, therefore the intensity and energy changes, a team could not maintain that kind of energy for the entire game, they'd wear themselves out by the 3rd quarter so they play hard to close out quarters and halves.
The other thing is, let's say a team shots 50% for the game, well, that does not mean the team shot 50% in every quarter, it does not work that way.
A team could shot 38% in the 1st quarter with fewer points scored therefore the total appears to the ave unsuspecting person to be on pace for a lower scoring game so that rookie bites on the newly adjusted number the book puts-out in game, then the team shots 40% in the 2cd quarter, so once again the unsuspecting person bites again at halftime on another adjusted number put-out by the book.
What is very common is the 2cd half the team will explode and shot 62% and score alot of points in the process. Then in the end the team shots 50% for the game, this is very common for teams on all levels including high school teams, did vegas fix them to ?
Nope, it's not a fix but just how sports works.
What the book does is know all about how it works so when they adjust the line they have a far better idea then the ave person has to the chances a team will shot that 62% in the 2cd half while the unsuspecting square knows nothing and bite like a fish out of water at the adjusted number.
The ave person has little to no-clue how sports betting works and is only a fan of the sport, they follow the sport, they keep up with the sport and reason that this will help them win at sports betting when the hard reality is is, it does not help them win at all but puts them at a disadvantage to the book.
Therefore because they don't understand it, it must be fixed, as if they only things that can exist in the world are things they understand...........................................