51.9999999% nfl capping winners by NFL_brosuf LOL

I can't seem to find the edit button but a correction needs to be made. 

Do not take FL st.   Maryland +17 is the play.  Both fl st and maryland are equal in offense but giving 17 points is just too big. 

All the rest, I wouldn't even touch it.  My strongest chalks ends up being my weakest chalk as the week winds down and as I get smarter. 

Good chalk is Wis.  This team here will not stop playing until they hit their 50 cents marker.  Their offense line is just crazy that creates giants holes for their RB.  Tremendous value for wis backers. 

Another strong value play is Midd Tenn against some no name, bottom of the crop florida atlantic team.  Midd tenn has a decent offense but fl atl?  I don't even remember them getting a touch down.  LOL

and the best part is Midd Tenn only laying -6 points spread.  They can win by a touchdown, the least and we'll win. 

Dude, missed this beautiful thread until now but zipping through your posts made me laugh a bit. Really funny stuff. Sorry about your picks bro, they were really bad. I saw one winner on your list (GB) and like, 5 losers. OUCH. Too bad you had to add that Det. You could have nailed 20% without that one....
The worst thing though is that you have set yourself such a lofty goal of 51%. I mean, you should set your sights on something more reasonable and attainable considering your current level of success...  I propose 35%?    At least you can see 35% from way down where you are now. How you going to find the willpower to shoot for 51% when you can't even see that high from where you are?
Come on man!
I mean, your down there below 20% land right now...it's going to take a lot of hard work and much better picking to raise that percentage. 51% looks like it's just asking for too much.... gotta wake up to reality bro.
I'll root for ya tho. If you can get 2 out of 6 this week you can begin that journey to respectability. Remember that every long journey begins with a single step. It's only Week 7 and if you apply yourself, you might be able to hit 30% in a month or so, and then you'll still have a few more weeks and even the playoffs to achieve ultimate success! 
51%!!!!!!!!!
 
Good luck to you!   

If you need any more pep talks, I'm your man.

GOOO BROSUF!!!   YAY!!!!   GO    GO    GO 

                             

Strong over under leans

cinn over 54.4
No. Illinois under 62
purdue over 47.5
ball st. under 55.5
bowling green over 48.5
navy under 64.5
tulane under 50.5
lsu over 47.5
bama over 46.5
tex tech over 69.5
midd tenn under 49.5
smu over 59.5
stanford over 63
wis over 50

Thanks for words of encouragement tom and you can spam my thread all you want if you feel that my pickings are only for those who have balls to the walls. 

whatever people can say to sway me away from my wagering to save me money, Im down to listen and then to learn some.

I guess I'll take record for week to week.  Keeping total records for being a fading material, I'll get lost with my own creations. 

I'm down, yes but it is a learning curve.  I rather start at the bottom then inch my way up as I'm learning as I go along.  Now if someone is standing at the top and then they starting to sink, more boo to them.   The psychology sounds good on paper. 

My capping skills are so horrible and I'm glad I don't do this for a living.  I'll try to do better for the tailers which is non at this point but if I continue to sink, I'll do folks a favor too since fading material puts money in people's pockets as well. 

Everyone running around here and looking for someone great to tail but no one remembers them fading materials.  I used to fade someone and I made money.  Too bad they don't do football or else my fading picks of theirs will make me look like a pro on here but really now, I'm just a pronoun. 

You know, now that I think about it I was looking at this all wrong. I am really, really sorry. Sincerely.
Now I'm thinking you should shoot for 0%......wait a minute, hear me out. If you're thinking you could be good fade material, well who am I to argue with that? But you are absolutely right!!!! People actually could make good money off of fade material. Just think how popular your thread would be if you could lower your win rate to ZERO!!!!!!     WOW!!    EVERYONE would be looking for your thread first!  From what I've seen, I could not argue that your capping skills are horrible but looked at properly, that is a GIFT!
You could start a service and make some real bank: 
BRO's FADE SERVICE       Solid Gold Baby!!!!
Statistically, picking ZERO is just as hard as 100%, but opposite...so in reality, you would be accomplishing a mind-boggling feat that few could compete with. But you are so close already it makes a lot more sense to shoot for zero than trying to go for a useless and mediocre 51%.I mean, who would care about going 51%.  It's gotta be 100% or 0%. All that in-between stuff is just garbage.
Think about it. ZERO!  You're almost there already!
You may have a new and very lucrative career sitting right around the corner.
Later on, just to switch it up, you could start another service and just give out the picks that are the opposite of yours and give out 100% winners.
For now, just keep it simple.  Zero, be a hero!
Good luck Bro.   

OK, I'll be completely serious with you now and give you some real good advice.
You pretend you are two people. In your mind. Don't try to cut yourself into two or anything stupid like that, just only imagine you are two people.
BRO A   and BRO B
You can have the same personality, none of that matters...don't complicate it man.
So, BRO A is the designated Bettor and BRO B is the designated Bookie.
Got it?
Now to satisfy any betting urges, you (BRO A) place your wagers with yourself (BRO B) and actually hand money over from yourself to yourself. Hide that money somewhere where only you (BRO B) knows where it is.
Not hard, right?
What you will accomplish is two things:
BRO A can be the happy go lucky bettor flushing his money down the drain with shit picks.
BRO B can be the happy bookie collecting the money and building up bank.
See? It's a win-win situation! Everyone's happy!
Now, when BRO A runs out of money, you JUST SWITCH PLACES!
BRO B becomes the bettor and BRO A becomes the bookie! You trade places and the two yous can then see how much fun the other you was having.
Genius!
Later on, the two yous can have a pow-wow and share stories and have a good laugh.

Bro, you're a really good sport so I'm going to share a special, sure-fire secret with you from a purely mathematical, statistical, and probability point of view.
And what I'm about to tell you is no joke.
If you have truly set your heart on picking 50% winners, then you can start achieving that instantly. SERIOUS!!
OK.
Write down the two picks (or 4 if you want to include totals) for each game you want to pick on separate pieces of paper which are identical in size and appearance.
For each pick, whether it's the side or the total, you take your two possible outcomes represented by the two papers with the opposite picks and crumple them up. Make sure you do not know which is which...you don't want your gift of picking losers to influence the outcome. Mix the two papers up until you are sure you have no idea whatsoever of which is which.
So far so good....
Now, you just arbitrarily pick out one of the two pieces of paper, write down the pick....VOILA! You are now instantly on the road to picking 50%.
You are absolutely 100% guaranteed of having the winner exactly 50% of the time over the long haul.
Sure, one week you may wind up with more winners than losers and mess up that 50% goal by picking better than that, but you can rest assured that after several weeks, months, years...you WILL achieve that theoretical 50% point and achieve your dream of 50%.
Forget about handicapping or reading about the matchups or watching games. Why waste time doing all that work when you can simply follow my top secret absolutely guaranteed method of picking 50-50.
If you know anything about math and probabilities, you will know I am not bullshitting you...it's absolutely true.
50% baby....Right Now and forever more!
WOOOOOO
Hope I just made your day BRO.

I'm sorry to say but this is brutal.  Even Popeyes can not beat a Brutal.  LOL

Next time, i'll pick later in the week after I conducted my small sampling research.  So far, I'm picking alright with them dogs. 

Next week, I'll try to hunt for chalks.  It is tough playing dogs for the win.  Horrible football by dogs I'm watching. 

Now back to you jack. 

Originally Posted by nfl_brosuf:

This will be my final calling card and no more adding/changing ect. ect teams.  I spent too much time on capping this bullchit and I still end up losing.  LOL   Omit whatever picks I made during the week.  Leans are not the same as the final countdown picks. 

I like dogs who has an offensive.   Vegas lines are too generous here. 

Tex Tech +30  Looks like a winner so far. 
Washington +21  Loser
Boston College +21  WIN
Tenn +30  Mother effing tenn sux.   How the hell they lose by 1 point even with getting a 30 points spread?  LOL

N. Illinois -14  Mother Effing to this team.  I hate Buffalo. 
Houston -23  Win
Mid Tenn -6 <,--- loving this play...all in   WIN
Wash st. -3  Pending  tie game right now. 

more dog value for your mama

fresno st. +11  Win
bowling green +13  win
Indiana +24  Win
maryland +17  <<--- Possible upset florida state but if that does not happen, I'll take +17.  Mother effing Maryland played like chit.  It ruined my card.   Loser

last one and that's it....

la tech +6.5  Win
army +11  Loser

I think this late card here wins me my 51% capping for the ncaaf week.   Not too shabby.   I wonder what next week will hold. 

the interesting thing about capping ncaaf this week is that I'm learning.

I saw a few games where I thought the vegas line is just way off, which gives the betters the best value 

Tenn +30 is supposedly be a winner but tenn just sux.  Never bet on tenn.  They are just too sad.  Teams that just can not get any points are sad.  Tenn lost by 1 after the spread and the first half, tenn could hang which gives tenn's backer high confidence but they self destructed in the second half.  No point at all for tenn in the second half.  Pathetic. 

Midd Tenn was easy money laying 6 points to a sorry azz team.  I'm just surprised that fl atl even got a few touchdowns. 

Tex tech +30 was easy money but thanks to them losing a few games prior to get such a high spread and I think is a big mistake by vegas odds maker.  If you hold this ticket, it was no sweating throughout.  It was already over when tex tech had 21 in the first half. 

A gift this week was the iowa/indy game.  You know darn well that iowa could have made that touch down in the 5 which will make all indy's backer +24 to lose their card but the unthinkable happen.  Iowa took a knee and killed the clock.  I thought that was funny. 

This week was fun.  I'll try to find more value for next week if possible.  I think I will play more value games from now on.   Well at least these value plays bring me closer to my 51% capping goal. 

On to the NFL Sunday. 



 

Adding

Az  +4 
Indy +14
Oak -3.5
hou +3

I like the value in Denver and Oakland.  I'll be good if I get half right and half wrong.  51% it is.....

3-4 for the week in the nfl.  That is like 42%....yeah baby... 

Although, I prefer it be either 100% or 0%.  There is always next week. 

Held on to my last leg of a 4 teamer parlay with NO under and got blown out on that one.  Did not had the time to hedge since I was so confident that I went out and when I came back during 3rd quarter, it was an OMG I gave up moment.  LOL

If you need a bookie just let me know. As long as you post up front you can bet how ever much you want. Just a sidenote though. The book I have in mind for you is broke and can't afford to pay their winners. This should be ok with you since you don't win...

But hunny, I do win.  At the beginning of this week, my RSI had 4 and a half stars but now, I'm just down to 1 black one.  It means the turning of the times and before I know it, I'll be as cool as you are, drinking Kool aid with that red star for show and tell. 

Let me tail you to win cuz obviously, what I'm doing is making me broke like no joke. 

I know the zebras in the nba means something but does zebras mean anything in the nfl?   Does it really have an effect in a game?   I still think so.  Just look at them calls for the Jets game against the bolts to see what's sup. 

For tonight's game, I Google the name Carl Cheffers
he is the ref for tonight's MNF game and his record shows....

A total of 5 games or 5 weeks he ref.   4 of them is in favor of the home team winning SU.   1 is for the away.

So Jag is the home team and they have a chance to win it by an upset. 

Just sharing thus all.  No biggie. Something to think about. 

My early leans for ncaaf and possible my play when I can buy it at a better line. 

best dogs to cover
syracuse +3
wyoming +15.5
buffalo +6.5
wake forest +7.5
Kansas +28 <--- I love getting this high of a spread here
tulane +16.5
memphis +29 <--- I love getting this high of a spread here
New mexico st. +15

best chalks to cover
Bowling Green -5.5 <-- Im putting this one on everyone of my cards.  The spread here is too generous by vegas and this game here will be a raping game.  Do you know who kent st. is?  They are worse than Florida Atlantic who somehow squeezes 2 touchdown in last week's game against Midd Tenn.  Bowling Green is a caliber team like Midd Tenn.  Get it now before that line will change.  Easy free money here. 

Hawaii -8.5 <-- Buy it down to 7 if you want.  Hawaii will not loose this game straight up to a 1-6 team.  If they win, they will win large.  The Aloha Gods will allow hawaii's QB to win this one easily by double figures.  Hawaii is just a way better team bottom line.

Co St. -2.5  <-- the spread here is just too generous.  If at 2.5, it is like a pk game.  Co st. wins by a field goal and we will win this one.  Who are they playing against?  Oh yes, the horrible UNLV who only won 1 game so far this year. 

Wis -8 <--  How much did Wis gave Michigan st in that one lost?  8 points right?  Now tell me if Ohio State is as good of a caliber as Michigan st as an 8 points dog?  Ohio state is at best, a mediocre team.  Wis lost to mich st.  is fueled by raged and poor Ohio State will get rape this coming weekend.  Wis giving 8 to an unrank team.  That is a big discount there.  Wisconsin is a 50+ points per game team.  Ohio is a 25 points per game team.  8 point spread, u do the math. 

Sharing is caring but I don't care so therefore, I don't share.  LOL

Adding

TCU -12  <-- the battle of christian against Mormon.  The Xtrian gawd will win.   LOL

Marshall -5.5  <,--  I saw how marshall played better at home.  Their fans are like a bunch of community college folks and never a sell out crowd.  UAb is 1-6 and they are horrible especially playing away.  They lost to UCF last week and many people lost their money on such game.  This is a let down game for UAB.  They think they are good now but yeah right, Marshall will get it down quickly.  Marshall is 2-1 at home with the only loss at home is to a ranked team #13 Virginia tech.  UAB is no Virgina tech.  When Marshall loses, they usually come back with a win.  The only back to back loses they have for this season is against virgina tech.  I'm betting on this bi polar team for the win by at least a touch down.  If by a field goal, I'm screwed but hey, at least they get a win which still makes them a bi polar team for winning after a loss.  LOL

Correction in bold.  

start adding zebras to your nfl capping scores because it is a powerful tool. 

Do you believe???   Yes, be a believer. 

adding

tex am -11
west mich -11.5
ul monroe -6

[quote]Bowling Green -5.5 <-- Im putting this one on everyone of my cards.  The spread here is too generous by vegas and this game here will be a raping game.  Do you know who kent st. is?  They are worse than Florida Atlantic who somehow squeezes 2 touchdown in last week's game against Midd Tenn.  Bowling Green is a caliber team like Midd Tenn.  Get it now before that line will change.  Easy free money here. [/quote]

oh crap, early line movement showing sharps money on kent.  It is now down to +4 kent from 6. 

This play here is no longer my strong play.  It has scared written all over it.  I will still play it for small and add it to just 1 of my card. 

Bowling green has something funky about them like injured player(s) and what not to devalue their spread like that.  I take this as a warning so either small play or no play here. 

Oct 29 12:00 PM Oct 29 03:30 PM

CFB CFB CFB

PARLAY (3 TEAMS) (FP) [118] WESTERN MICHIGA -11-110 [160] TEXAS A&M -10½-110 [202] UL MONROE -6-110

50 / 290

Oct 28 08:00 PM Oct 29 06:00 PM

CFB CFB CFB

PARLAY (3 TEAMS) [105] VIRGINIA +13½-110 [110] TCU -13-110 [175] COLORADO STATE -3-105

50 / 297.80

Oct 29 12:00 PM Oct 29 03:30 PM

CFB CFB CFB

PARLAY (3 TEAMS) [119] WAKE FOREST +7-110 [133] ILLINOIS +4½-110 [163] BUFFALO U +6½-110

50 / 290

Oct 29 01:00 PM Oct 29 02:00 PM Oct 29 06:30 PM Oct 29 03:30 PM Oct 29 04:00 PM Oct 29 03:00 PM

CFB CFB CFB CFB CFB CFB CFB

PARLAY (7 TEAMS) [147] KANSAS +28-110 [149] BOWLING GREEN -4-110 [152] NEW MEXICO +30½-110 [155] COLORADO +30½-110 [165] NAVY +20-110 [171] MEMPHIS +29-110 [183] WASHINGTON STAT +36½-110

50 / 4000