But yes I agree....he is a step up over Derek Anderson....who isnt?? But Covers main page showing 98% on AZ ml??!!!!!! WOW is all I have to say to that
The reason for all the ML love is probably becuase of how great teams have been coming off a bye. Most of them have been winning SU and could be a reason everyone is on the ML. I think it will be a close game and would not take the ML becuase IMO the safer bet is in the +6
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Quote Originally Posted by DUBLUP:
But yes I agree....he is a step up over Derek Anderson....who isnt?? But Covers main page showing 98% on AZ ml??!!!!!! WOW is all I have to say to that
The reason for all the ML love is probably becuase of how great teams have been coming off a bye. Most of them have been winning SU and could be a reason everyone is on the ML. I think it will be a close game and would not take the ML becuase IMO the safer bet is in the +6
STL has been very bad on the road this year, especially in comparison to how they play at home. Last week’s results I’ve given value to the TB lines. The Bucs loss to the Saints and the Rams big SU win against a horrible road team in the Chargers, gives the public perception that the rams are better than they actually are.
As for the matchups the Rams win this game if Jackson has a good game.Bradford is a good QB and I like him a lot but like I said, Jackson is the key to the game.A big reason aside from the perception angle, as to why I like the Bucs is that I think their D-line keeps Jackson in check.They will force Bradford into some tough 3rd and longs and force him to throw it to some talentless receivers.
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Got another one locked in.
TB -2.5
STL has been very bad on the road this year, especially in comparison to how they play at home. Last week’s results I’ve given value to the TB lines. The Bucs loss to the Saints and the Rams big SU win against a horrible road team in the Chargers, gives the public perception that the rams are better than they actually are.
As for the matchups the Rams win this game if Jackson has a good game.Bradford is a good QB and I like him a lot but like I said, Jackson is the key to the game.A big reason aside from the perception angle, as to why I like the Bucs is that I think their D-line keeps Jackson in check.They will force Bradford into some tough 3rd and longs and force him to throw it to some talentless receivers.
IMO there is a little more value on the bears just because so many people got burned by them losing to a horrible road team in the Seahawks.Then everyone saw how Redskins lose by just 3 to Manning and his Colts.To the public, the Skins look like a sexy pick getting 3 points after big wins vs Green Bay and Philly.The skins also had no reason for being in the game vs the colts as Colts played horrible in the 2nd half.Everyone seems to be lining up to bet on the Skins and due to these angles, I believe you are getting some value from the home team here.
As for the matchup I really like how Chicago has a solid run defense and Shanahan loves to pound the rock.This was the reason for their little bit of success they had vs the colts.This will not be the case this weekend as the Bears will dominate the Skins O-line and stop the run and put old man McNaab on his back. If they can get to him and force McNaab to make some bad throws and a couple mistakes, you can see Chicago dominate the time of possession.
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Chi -2.5
IMO there is a little more value on the bears just because so many people got burned by them losing to a horrible road team in the Seahawks.Then everyone saw how Redskins lose by just 3 to Manning and his Colts.To the public, the Skins look like a sexy pick getting 3 points after big wins vs Green Bay and Philly.The skins also had no reason for being in the game vs the colts as Colts played horrible in the 2nd half.Everyone seems to be lining up to bet on the Skins and due to these angles, I believe you are getting some value from the home team here.
As for the matchup I really like how Chicago has a solid run defense and Shanahan loves to pound the rock.This was the reason for their little bit of success they had vs the colts.This will not be the case this weekend as the Bears will dominate the Skins O-line and stop the run and put old man McNaab on his back. If they can get to him and force McNaab to make some bad throws and a couple mistakes, you can see Chicago dominate the time of possession.
matt moore coming off of a concusion. Prior to that, he's been stinking anyway. It's hard to go Panthers
I like Carolina more becuase he got alot of rest. Also im not as down on Matt Morre as others. He isn't doing that good this year, but if he can return to last years form and show some promise, i think he is decent. Plus this play is on the value of the line and what i think it should be.
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Quote Originally Posted by Raidernator76:
matt moore coming off of a concusion. Prior to that, he's been stinking anyway. It's hard to go Panthers
I like Carolina more becuase he got alot of rest. Also im not as down on Matt Morre as others. He isn't doing that good this year, but if he can return to last years form and show some promise, i think he is decent. Plus this play is on the value of the line and what i think it should be.
I don't think either team is any good, but the road win the Seahawks had at Chicago definitely inflates a line by about 2 points. Seattle is a good home team and that is the only negative remark I have on this play.However, ARI is coming off the bye which gives Max Hall some extra time to get a better grasp on the offense.The thing I like about Max Hall is that he is a scrappy player and give his body for every yard he gets.I like him a lot better than Derek Anderson.The key to this game for me is getting the ball to Fitzgerald.I look for him to have a big game and I like Max Hall to get the ball in his hands
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Ari +6
I don't think either team is any good, but the road win the Seahawks had at Chicago definitely inflates a line by about 2 points. Seattle is a good home team and that is the only negative remark I have on this play.However, ARI is coming off the bye which gives Max Hall some extra time to get a better grasp on the offense.The thing I like about Max Hall is that he is a scrappy player and give his body for every yard he gets.I like him a lot better than Derek Anderson.The key to this game for me is getting the ball to Fitzgerald.I look for him to have a big game and I like Max Hall to get the ball in his hands
really miami... obviously u haven't seen pitts defense. lol miami. I will personally send u a money order for 10 bucks to buy you a beer if that happens
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really miami... obviously u haven't seen pitts defense. lol miami. I will personally send u a money order for 10 bucks to buy you a beer if that happens
A lot of people will think the Niners are a decent team after looking at the box score from this past week.They covered the spread and won the game.Now its time for the Niners to turn it around and win the division like everyone predicted.Not so fast.They beat a decent team with a horrible QB in Jason Cambell.However, the niners looked horrible.Believe me, I was on the niners last week but would love to fade them here.The odds makers tell me that the Niners are a better team than the Panthers by 6 points.NO way.How in the world they had this line come out and have the Niners as road favorites to anyone is beyond me.I think both of teams are bad but I think you get some great value here with the Panthers.If the panthers can run the ball effectively and open up the big plays for steve smith, I like this play from a perception and matchup standpoint.
No way the 49'ers fly back home after this game, guess they have their bags packed
No way the 49
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Quote Originally Posted by KC_Sports:
Just locked this one in
Car +3
A lot of people will think the Niners are a decent team after looking at the box score from this past week.They covered the spread and won the game.Now its time for the Niners to turn it around and win the division like everyone predicted.Not so fast.They beat a decent team with a horrible QB in Jason Cambell.However, the niners looked horrible.Believe me, I was on the niners last week but would love to fade them here.The odds makers tell me that the Niners are a better team than the Panthers by 6 points.NO way.How in the world they had this line come out and have the Niners as road favorites to anyone is beyond me.I think both of teams are bad but I think you get some great value here with the Panthers.If the panthers can run the ball effectively and open up the big plays for steve smith, I like this play from a perception and matchup standpoint.
No way the 49'ers fly back home after this game, guess they have their bags packed
kc sports, so u think SF wins SU or AZ as i see the crazy nbrs w/AZ as of now! i hit 13-1 on SU contest we have at work & am on the fence w/this game seeing how all teh teams off a bye play. thanks for ur input!
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kc sports, so u think SF wins SU or AZ as i see the crazy nbrs w/AZ as of now! i hit 13-1 on SU contest we have at work & am on the fence w/this game seeing how all teh teams off a bye play. thanks for ur input!
really miami... obviously u haven't seen pitts defense. lol miami. I will personally send u a money order for 10 bucks to buy you a beer if that happens
First of all, I love the Pittsburg, just not this week. Writeup to come.
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Quote Originally Posted by gamereaper:
really miami... obviously u haven't seen pitts defense. lol miami. I will personally send u a money order for 10 bucks to buy you a beer if that happens
First of all, I love the Pittsburg, just not this week. Writeup to come.
I haven’t placed this bet yet because im waiting for the line to move.I think the public will be all over Pitt as they are a good team and will allow me to get a better number at 3.5.If not I still like it at 3.
The Fish are coming off a nice win vs the Pack and before their buy had a couple big losses in primetime.The Steelers come off a big blowout win vs the Browns in which they covered the 2 TD spread.This sets up some value on Miami for public perception view as I have the Steelers a 3-4 point favorite on a neutral field.However, they are playing this game in Miami and I don’t think the Steelers are 6 points better than the Dolphins.
First of all let me say this, I love Pittsburg.They are a great team and love the way they draft, call plays, execute those plays, play defense, run well, good on special teams, and play smart.However, this team could make the playoffs if I were the QB.I dislike Big Ben and for that reason, is a big reason why I am making a play on the Fish.The Dolphins have a solid D that I believe will frustrate the hell out of Big Ben.He will throw some picks and set up the bad field position for his defense.I think this becomes a close game and will gladly take the 3.5.
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Miami +3
I haven’t placed this bet yet because im waiting for the line to move.I think the public will be all over Pitt as they are a good team and will allow me to get a better number at 3.5.If not I still like it at 3.
The Fish are coming off a nice win vs the Pack and before their buy had a couple big losses in primetime.The Steelers come off a big blowout win vs the Browns in which they covered the 2 TD spread.This sets up some value on Miami for public perception view as I have the Steelers a 3-4 point favorite on a neutral field.However, they are playing this game in Miami and I don’t think the Steelers are 6 points better than the Dolphins.
First of all let me say this, I love Pittsburg.They are a great team and love the way they draft, call plays, execute those plays, play defense, run well, good on special teams, and play smart.However, this team could make the playoffs if I were the QB.I dislike Big Ben and for that reason, is a big reason why I am making a play on the Fish.The Dolphins have a solid D that I believe will frustrate the hell out of Big Ben.He will throw some picks and set up the bad field position for his defense.I think this becomes a close game and will gladly take the 3.5.
kc sports, so u think SF wins SU or AZ as i see the crazy nbrs w/AZ as of now! i hit 13-1 on SU contest we have at work & am on the fence w/this game seeing how all teh teams off a bye play. thanks for ur input!
Well i think Zona stays in this game but i believe Seattle gets the Win in a close game. I would take Sea in a SU contest but to lay the 6 points vs the division rival is alittle to much for me. Hence the reason why i think this line has about 2 points of value.
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Quote Originally Posted by mrod112:
kc sports, so u think SF wins SU or AZ as i see the crazy nbrs w/AZ as of now! i hit 13-1 on SU contest we have at work & am on the fence w/this game seeing how all teh teams off a bye play. thanks for ur input!
Well i think Zona stays in this game but i believe Seattle gets the Win in a close game. I would take Sea in a SU contest but to lay the 6 points vs the division rival is alittle to much for me. Hence the reason why i think this line has about 2 points of value.
Here is most likely going to be the last game i bet this week. Unless something jumps out at me for Sunday night and i can post from my phone from vegas. I will complile all the writeups and picks in 1 post tomorrow to make it easy on people to find.
SD -2.5
I like this play from a public perception angle. The stock couldn't be lower for the chargers after losses to the raiders and the rams, while the stock on the patriots probably couldn't be much higher after a big win in Miami (which was a fluke due to their special teams and defensive scoring ), and their win against the ravens.However, the Ravens gave that game to the Pats and they had no business winning that game. They blew a 10pt 4th quarter lead.That win now creates the perception that the Patriots are back to their winning ways.
As for the actual matchup, the Pats D is just horrible.The best QB they have faced is Flacco and even then they had the bye week to prepare for them.The Bills and Fitzpatrick scored almost at will on them.I believe Rivers will be able to pick apart the patriots defense.The chargers are also a very good team at home.They have a top rated D and a good Offense.There are two reasons that do scare me and that is the health of Gates (if anyone has any further news on Gates, please let me know) and the chargers lack of talent on special teams.If Gates plays and the Chargers can fix their problems on Special teams, I really like the Chargers to beat the Pats by more than 3.
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Here is most likely going to be the last game i bet this week. Unless something jumps out at me for Sunday night and i can post from my phone from vegas. I will complile all the writeups and picks in 1 post tomorrow to make it easy on people to find.
SD -2.5
I like this play from a public perception angle. The stock couldn't be lower for the chargers after losses to the raiders and the rams, while the stock on the patriots probably couldn't be much higher after a big win in Miami (which was a fluke due to their special teams and defensive scoring ), and their win against the ravens.However, the Ravens gave that game to the Pats and they had no business winning that game. They blew a 10pt 4th quarter lead.That win now creates the perception that the Patriots are back to their winning ways.
As for the actual matchup, the Pats D is just horrible.The best QB they have faced is Flacco and even then they had the bye week to prepare for them.The Bills and Fitzpatrick scored almost at will on them.I believe Rivers will be able to pick apart the patriots defense.The chargers are also a very good team at home.They have a top rated D and a good Offense.There are two reasons that do scare me and that is the health of Gates (if anyone has any further news on Gates, please let me know) and the chargers lack of talent on special teams.If Gates plays and the Chargers can fix their problems on Special teams, I really like the Chargers to beat the Pats by more than 3.
I backed Miami a lot this year, including last week and I've learned a lot about this team. They are very talented and Henne can be solid but he often makes ill-advised throws that just kills drives and momentum. And going up against this Pitt D I see that happening. They also have no killer instinct and don't know how to take advantage of momentum. A large part of that has to do with Henne's decision making, play calls by the coaches and just mental break downs. I like Miami but I cannot bet them against a great D in Pitt who should force Miami into multiple TO. GL on your card.
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I backed Miami a lot this year, including last week and I've learned a lot about this team. They are very talented and Henne can be solid but he often makes ill-advised throws that just kills drives and momentum. And going up against this Pitt D I see that happening. They also have no killer instinct and don't know how to take advantage of momentum. A large part of that has to do with Henne's decision making, play calls by the coaches and just mental break downs. I like Miami but I cannot bet them against a great D in Pitt who should force Miami into multiple TO. GL on your card.
I like the TB pick....as well as CHI, and MIA....not diggin the Bills or AZ...the Bills with 14 though, MAYBE can squeek a cover in there, but Im still saying the Hawks are guarantee cover 6 pts against AZ. Poor Max Hall has never experienced anything as loud as Qwest Field and he will definitely make mistakes. Im pretty confident Seattle will win by 10 minimum.
NE/SD game is tough....Im definitely staying away from that one. Both high powered offenses to judge. Could go either way.
BOL in all your picks tho!
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I like the TB pick....as well as CHI, and MIA....not diggin the Bills or AZ...the Bills with 14 though, MAYBE can squeek a cover in there, but Im still saying the Hawks are guarantee cover 6 pts against AZ. Poor Max Hall has never experienced anything as loud as Qwest Field and he will definitely make mistakes. Im pretty confident Seattle will win by 10 minimum.
NE/SD game is tough....Im definitely staying away from that one. Both high powered offenses to judge. Could go either way.
Here is most likely going to be the last game i bet this week. Unless something jumps out at me for Sunday night and i can post from my phone from vegas. I will complile all the writeups and picks in 1 post tomorrow to make it easy on people to find.
SD -2.5
I like this play from a public perception angle. The stock couldn't be lower for the chargers after losses to the raiders and the rams, while the stock on the patriots probably couldn't be much higher after a big win in Miami (which was a fluke due to their special teams and defensive scoring ), and their win against the ravens.However, the Ravens gave that game to the Pats and they had no business winning that game. They blew a 10pt 4th quarter lead.That win now creates the perception that the Patriots are back to their winning ways.
As for the actual matchup, the Pats D is just horrible.The best QB they have faced is Flacco and even then they had the bye week to prepare for them.The Bills and Fitzpatrick scored almost at will on them.I believe Rivers will be able to pick apart the patriots defense.The chargers are also a very good team at home.They have a top rated D and a good Offense.There are two reasons that do scare me and that is the health of Gates (if anyone has any further news on Gates, please let me know) and the chargers lack of talent on special teams.If Gates plays and the Chargers can fix their problems on Special teams, I really like the Chargers to beat the Pats by more than 3.
Malcom Floyd will miss this game, Gates will likely be questionable, Legadu Nanee and Ryan Mathews are also question marks... Pats are above average stopping the run, so that kind of limits the chargers to attempting to throw to players such as Patrick Crayton and Buster Davis. The game should be close with the pats coming off a huge win and traveling across country but with all the injury problems SD could face, its tough to have any confidence in them.
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Quote Originally Posted by KC_Sports:
Here is most likely going to be the last game i bet this week. Unless something jumps out at me for Sunday night and i can post from my phone from vegas. I will complile all the writeups and picks in 1 post tomorrow to make it easy on people to find.
SD -2.5
I like this play from a public perception angle. The stock couldn't be lower for the chargers after losses to the raiders and the rams, while the stock on the patriots probably couldn't be much higher after a big win in Miami (which was a fluke due to their special teams and defensive scoring ), and their win against the ravens.However, the Ravens gave that game to the Pats and they had no business winning that game. They blew a 10pt 4th quarter lead.That win now creates the perception that the Patriots are back to their winning ways.
As for the actual matchup, the Pats D is just horrible.The best QB they have faced is Flacco and even then they had the bye week to prepare for them.The Bills and Fitzpatrick scored almost at will on them.I believe Rivers will be able to pick apart the patriots defense.The chargers are also a very good team at home.They have a top rated D and a good Offense.There are two reasons that do scare me and that is the health of Gates (if anyone has any further news on Gates, please let me know) and the chargers lack of talent on special teams.If Gates plays and the Chargers can fix their problems on Special teams, I really like the Chargers to beat the Pats by more than 3.
Malcom Floyd will miss this game, Gates will likely be questionable, Legadu Nanee and Ryan Mathews are also question marks... Pats are above average stopping the run, so that kind of limits the chargers to attempting to throw to players such as Patrick Crayton and Buster Davis. The game should be close with the pats coming off a huge win and traveling across country but with all the injury problems SD could face, its tough to have any confidence in them.
Panthers are 1-4 ATS this year. Maybe they are due, the trend is not. BOL on this one, ima stay off.
Panthers are a bad team right now but so are the niners. The thing i like is that noone on the Niners can stop Steve Smith. I live in California and watch every game. The SF linebackers are good but the corners are overated and slow. I can see why you can stay away because this game is bound to be an ugly one.
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Quote Originally Posted by gmoney58:
Panthers are 1-4 ATS this year. Maybe they are due, the trend is not. BOL on this one, ima stay off.
Panthers are a bad team right now but so are the niners. The thing i like is that noone on the Niners can stop Steve Smith. I live in California and watch every game. The SF linebackers are good but the corners are overated and slow. I can see why you can stay away because this game is bound to be an ugly one.
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kc sports, so u think SF wins SU or AZ as i see the crazy nbrs w/AZ as of now! 
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