I like them both - but my analysis puts primary emphasis on winners and spreads. The secondary output is overs and unders. So results are less precise.
Philly will definitely take shots downfield.... If Hurts has time to let his receivers get downfield.
I feel like that is the most important of everything I posted, and will get the least attention.
People will pick out a phrase of how I think the game will go rather than the above idea.
Well....
Because at current lines there is a 43.5% chance of the Niners coving the ML, and a 49.5% chance of covering +2.5%.
You can say that the spread wont matter all you want.... It is kind of like saying at a craps table "he will never roll snake eyes" - but there is roughly a 6% chance that the Eagles win and the Niners cover.
Thats why you take the points.
Good info
Sure I am. But as I stated, I have adapted a little bit away from the Bengals O line narrative that I have been telling for 1+ years now. Burrow has proven me wrong over and over and over.
That is correct. And by design.
I am not a meteorologist. I am also not someone who has the ability to correctly quantify the effect of different types of weather on a games outcome.
I realize everyone at covers looks at weather and speculates on how it will affect the game. Show me the data. Show me how it affects the game. Show me what weather affects what aspects of the game.
Until then - I keep an eye on weather like everyone else - but unless it is extreme (which it is not in these 2 games) - I have it as factor 101 on my list of 100.
@vanzack
Chiefs defense is predicated on stopping the run. Their secondary is weaker than buffalo’s and buffalo got shredded.
I have cinci vs sf sb matchp ticket at almost +1400, hedged to ensure positive equity no matter what happens.
Burrow gets the ball out as fast as Brady, that’s why the non existent bills pass rush sans von miller wasnt a factor and why it was an overstated “factor in the bills favour”. While KC’s pass rush I predict will be a little more effective than Buffalo’s, Burrow’s speed at processing decisions quickly thru his progressions is the great equalizer.
Eagles looked great last week, but Niners formula to winning is running it down their throats which is philly’s relative weakness. BOL
Are you angry about the weather?
You are definitely an intense operator.
it won't...mid 50's at kickoff to mid 40's by 4th, some clouds and 10+ish mph wind
So many of these games are decided by events that can't be handicapped such as turnovers, penalties (both called and non-called), and in-game injuries. Even great analysts such as Van can't script these into their decisions. Not getting tempted into playing big on these games is great advice.
This is all true, but the caveat is just because one gambler or handicapper can’t find an edge it doesn’t mean an edge doesn’t exist.
Established in 1995,
It's a forum. Correct? 
@vanzack
u reoo i,
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