I absolutely love the falcons +13 play And would make it POY type bet...
You may win your bet, but for anyone to make a POY against the hottest team in the NFL has to get their head examined. Again, you may win, but win or lose, this is ridiculous. Why do that? There are a million other games to bet on and you want this one as a POY? I will never understand this place.
Good luck with your play.
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Quote Originally Posted by bpickin:
I absolutely love the falcons +13 play And would make it POY type bet...
You may win your bet, but for anyone to make a POY against the hottest team in the NFL has to get their head examined. Again, you may win, but win or lose, this is ridiculous. Why do that? There are a million other games to bet on and you want this one as a POY? I will never understand this place.
Btw my Dallas bet was -7 -120 not -7.5, but I like it at 7.5 or better... my falcons bet is at 13 and if I can get 13 at the last minute if Dallas covers I’ll mod up even more...
Falcons +13 is my favorite play of the year. They let off the gas pedal and gave that game to Dallas planning to come in and play on thanksgiving against who else but the hottest team in football division rival who with a win can make a difference... (not saying they will win, but anyone who says that line isn’t super inflated is NUTS)
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Btw my Dallas bet was -7 -120 not -7.5, but I like it at 7.5 or better... my falcons bet is at 13 and if I can get 13 at the last minute if Dallas covers I’ll mod up even more...
Falcons +13 is my favorite play of the year. They let off the gas pedal and gave that game to Dallas planning to come in and play on thanksgiving against who else but the hottest team in football division rival who with a win can make a difference... (not saying they will win, but anyone who says that line isn’t super inflated is NUTS)
I love the people that say you can’t use a dog as POY.
You are missing the point. It's not that you can't use a dog, and I'm not even saying that your bet won't win. It might very well win. But to make a POY against the Saints right now is just nuts. Would it shock you if the Saints won the game 45-24 or something along those lines?
If I am picking a dog as a game of the year type of play, it's going to be a HOME dog who I think will win the game OUTRIGHT. It's not going to be a ROAD DOG, on a short week, who hasn't played well at all this year, and is going to play the hottest team in the League! If what I am saying doesn't make sense to you, then I cannot help you.
Good luck.
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Quote Originally Posted by bpickin:
I love the people that say you can’t use a dog as POY.
You are missing the point. It's not that you can't use a dog, and I'm not even saying that your bet won't win. It might very well win. But to make a POY against the Saints right now is just nuts. Would it shock you if the Saints won the game 45-24 or something along those lines?
If I am picking a dog as a game of the year type of play, it's going to be a HOME dog who I think will win the game OUTRIGHT. It's not going to be a ROAD DOG, on a short week, who hasn't played well at all this year, and is going to play the hottest team in the League! If what I am saying doesn't make sense to you, then I cannot help you.
i wouldnt play the falcons +21, i would rather tease the saints down to less than a td. Saints have no chill right now, they are fighting for home field through out the NFC playoffs with the rams
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i wouldnt play the falcons +21, i would rather tease the saints down to less than a td. Saints have no chill right now, they are fighting for home field through out the NFC playoffs with the rams
You are missing the point. It's not that you can't use a dog, and I'm not even saying that your bet won't win. It might very well win. But to make a POY against the Saints right now is just nuts. Would it shock you if the Saints won the game 45-24 or something along those lines?
If I am picking a dog as a game of the year type of play, it's going to be a HOME dog who I think will win the game OUTRIGHT. It's not going to be a ROAD DOG, on a short week, who hasn't played well at all this year, and is going to play the hottest team in the League! If what I am saying doesn't make sense to you, then I cannot help you.
Good luck.
I totally get what you are saying. fair enough, however my bet is against the saints like you said.. it’s more of a bet against saints then it is on falcons... falcons are the team on the other end of it tho... the saints are flying way too high right now (not complaining either because they made me a lot of money) but Thursday night they will get a fight and the team against them gets the money. This week it is the falcons +13. Line shouldn’t be higher then 7-10 absolute max against. Division foe who usually splits games with them... yes falcons have been crap this year, but this kind of game is where the team comes to life...
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Quote Originally Posted by JS12:
You are missing the point. It's not that you can't use a dog, and I'm not even saying that your bet won't win. It might very well win. But to make a POY against the Saints right now is just nuts. Would it shock you if the Saints won the game 45-24 or something along those lines?
If I am picking a dog as a game of the year type of play, it's going to be a HOME dog who I think will win the game OUTRIGHT. It's not going to be a ROAD DOG, on a short week, who hasn't played well at all this year, and is going to play the hottest team in the League! If what I am saying doesn't make sense to you, then I cannot help you.
Good luck.
I totally get what you are saying. fair enough, however my bet is against the saints like you said.. it’s more of a bet against saints then it is on falcons... falcons are the team on the other end of it tho... the saints are flying way too high right now (not complaining either because they made me a lot of money) but Thursday night they will get a fight and the team against them gets the money. This week it is the falcons +13. Line shouldn’t be higher then 7-10 absolute max against. Division foe who usually splits games with them... yes falcons have been crap this year, but this kind of game is where the team comes to life...
i think skins with Mc coy coming home win outright glta
A couple weeks ago the bills were playing at jets with the same line and the backup qb came in and won SU at 1pm nice and quietly.
This week you have skins at Dallas on main stage with a backup qb again on the road, but the result will not be the same. Dallas will make a statement at home to show everyone that they weren’t just “lucky” against garbage eagles and weren’t just “lucky” against supposedly garbage falcons... Dallas wins by 10+
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Quote Originally Posted by Lowme:
love the falcon play but ...
i think skins with Mc coy coming home win outright glta
A couple weeks ago the bills were playing at jets with the same line and the backup qb came in and won SU at 1pm nice and quietly.
This week you have skins at Dallas on main stage with a backup qb again on the road, but the result will not be the same. Dallas will make a statement at home to show everyone that they weren’t just “lucky” against garbage eagles and weren’t just “lucky” against supposedly garbage falcons... Dallas wins by 10+
Saints-Falcons game is Thursday night football, which home teams have been dominating this year. Do you think this trend will not apply?
r
You are absolutely correct, however I truly think the line is nuts and I will take advantage of it. not to mention second half of season closer to ethe end and now you have division dogs who are pretty solid on Thursday as it comes closer to crunch time...
Also Dallas -7.5 doesn’t scare me. On Monday I had rams -3 and moneyline which I posted bears and rams all week in multiple threads. The people who grabbed 3.5 were very lucky. This week you have a similar scenario, but I think the folks grabbing the extra half or buying the half now won’t get he same result. I think Dallas wins by double digits in a PRIMETIME statement game letting people know they want to represent the NFC... not saying they will do anything, but these are the times and games where teams need to bring something to the table...
I think maybe we have rams/pats Super Bowl and rams with young qb beat pats with older Brady just like young Brady beat rams a long time ago... it’s worth thinking g about for sure... and I don’t have futures on either team because the value was never there, but I do plan on hedging my other teams come playoffs time... it will be interesting to see how the games unfold. I loved chargers preseason and hammered them RSW afc and super bowl, but I plan on hedging the minute I have the chance... I also had lions over 7.5 probably RIP lol. I have some other sweet futures, but I plan to hedge everything. Last year I had rams 125-1 and didn’t hedge against Atlanta (getting huge moneyline to boot) and I will never do that again... eagles won it all so I made a lot of money, but I got greedy and left a bunch of money on the table. I learned my lesson
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Quote Originally Posted by CoreyPaus:
Bpickin,
Saints-Falcons game is Thursday night football, which home teams have been dominating this year. Do you think this trend will not apply?
r
You are absolutely correct, however I truly think the line is nuts and I will take advantage of it. not to mention second half of season closer to ethe end and now you have division dogs who are pretty solid on Thursday as it comes closer to crunch time...
Also Dallas -7.5 doesn’t scare me. On Monday I had rams -3 and moneyline which I posted bears and rams all week in multiple threads. The people who grabbed 3.5 were very lucky. This week you have a similar scenario, but I think the folks grabbing the extra half or buying the half now won’t get he same result. I think Dallas wins by double digits in a PRIMETIME statement game letting people know they want to represent the NFC... not saying they will do anything, but these are the times and games where teams need to bring something to the table...
I think maybe we have rams/pats Super Bowl and rams with young qb beat pats with older Brady just like young Brady beat rams a long time ago... it’s worth thinking g about for sure... and I don’t have futures on either team because the value was never there, but I do plan on hedging my other teams come playoffs time... it will be interesting to see how the games unfold. I loved chargers preseason and hammered them RSW afc and super bowl, but I plan on hedging the minute I have the chance... I also had lions over 7.5 probably RIP lol. I have some other sweet futures, but I plan to hedge everything. Last year I had rams 125-1 and didn’t hedge against Atlanta (getting huge moneyline to boot) and I will never do that again... eagles won it all so I made a lot of money, but I got greedy and left a bunch of money on the table. I learned my lesson
Thanks for sharing!!! Which is your stronger system? Thanks
My for and against system has made me a lot of money over the years. Last year it lost with bears at eagles and eagles won it all. This year it lost with cardinals at rams like week 3 I think. Cards were +13 (when I bet it) just like last year bears loser (do rams win it all) hmmm
and this is my first season using the REVERSE system (so far it is 100% with 4 bets this season)
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Quote Originally Posted by BPNJ:
Thanks for sharing!!! Which is your stronger system? Thanks
My for and against system has made me a lot of money over the years. Last year it lost with bears at eagles and eagles won it all. This year it lost with cardinals at rams like week 3 I think. Cards were +13 (when I bet it) just like last year bears loser (do rams win it all) hmmm
and this is my first season using the REVERSE system (so far it is 100% with 4 bets this season)
My for and against system has made me a lot of money over the years. Last year it lost with bears at eagles and eagles won it all. This year it lost with cardinals at rams like week 3 I think. Cards were +13 (when I bet it) just like last year bears loser (do rams win it all) hmmm
and this is my first season using the REVERSE system (so far it is 100% with 4 bets this season)
Lol that doesn't sound good. They were both +13 like the Falcons?
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Quote Originally Posted by bpickin:
My for and against system has made me a lot of money over the years. Last year it lost with bears at eagles and eagles won it all. This year it lost with cardinals at rams like week 3 I think. Cards were +13 (when I bet it) just like last year bears loser (do rams win it all) hmmm
and this is my first season using the REVERSE system (so far it is 100% with 4 bets this season)
Lol that doesn't sound good. They were both +13 like the Falcons?
I would say a nice 3 teamer for thanksgiving would be:Detroit +3.5Dallas-7.5 (now 7 -110) was -120Atlanta +13
oh oh....Dallas is a favorite and Vegas made them a better buy....it smells like redskins I'll win this outright. I'm with you for Falcons and Detroit.... But going to have to take a pass with the cowboys / redskins game.
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Quote Originally Posted by bpickin:
I would say a nice 3 teamer for thanksgiving would be:Detroit +3.5Dallas-7.5 (now 7 -110) was -120Atlanta +13
oh oh....Dallas is a favorite and Vegas made them a better buy....it smells like redskins I'll win this outright. I'm with you for Falcons and Detroit.... But going to have to take a pass with the cowboys / redskins game.
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