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GAME OF THE CENTURY.... Seahawks vs Saints

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mischkin04

Banned

Joined: Jan, 2010

Posts: 1728

Posted: Jan. 6, 2011 - 7:23 PM ET #51

Can't wait for the game of the century this weekend.

Which one is it again?

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TicTac_Bucinski

Prospect

Joined: Dec, 2010

Posts: 152

Posted: Jan. 6, 2011 - 7:36 PM ET #52

Quote Originally Posted by mischkin04:

Can't wait for the game of the century this weekend.

Which one is it again?

Yo mischkin04 were do you find the pics of this hot ass broads?

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TicTac_Bucinski

Prospect

Joined: Dec, 2010

Posts: 152

Posted: Jan. 6, 2011 - 7:51 PM ET #53

Quote Originally Posted by HunterPrice:

Who gives a crap what the general public thinks???? They aren't the one's putting cash down on the game and thus the Pirates of the Caribbean could give two shits what they think.

I'm just having some fun with playing around this "false reverse trap" crap, generally I don't really believe in this kind of stuff. However if we assume there is such a thing it matters greatly what the general public is betting on that's the whole point of the trap I'm talking about.

So what I'm thinking is they set the line around 10.5. This makes the whole public start to think oh crap only 10.5 this line should be 14 and it's a reverse trap and they start pounding the books on the Saints. In reality though the reverse trap is false, the line should be something like 6 points. Think about it why did the Falcons a team on par with the Saints come in just a few weeks back to play the hawks at only -5.5 or -6? Of course the Falcons won by 16 points so that might have something to do with this line.

Bottom line I'm just bouncing around a few things. I wish the BOL to everyone on here and even if you happen to lose on this one I hope overall you come out a winner.

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JoeV55

Veteran

Joined: Jan, 2005

Posts: 2638

Posted: Jan. 6, 2011 - 9:33 PM ET #54

Just like I thought down to 10, I originally thought MAYBE it would go to 9.5 but I don't see that happening, cause then NO would get pounded. I see it staying at 10 till few hours before kickoff then it'll be back to 10.5

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Firebird27

Rookie

Joined: Sep, 2009

Posts: 612

Posted: Jan. 7, 2011 - 12:45 AM ET #55

Quote Originally Posted by TicTac_Bucinski:

I'm just having some fun with playing around this "false reverse trap" crap, generally I don't really believe in this kind of stuff. However if we assume there is such a thing it matters greatly what the general public is betting on that's the whole point of the trap I'm talking about.

So what I'm thinking is they set the line around 10.5. This makes the whole public start to think oh crap only 10.5 this line should be 14 and it's a reverse trap and they start pounding the books on the Saints. In reality though the reverse trap is false, the line should be something like 6 points. Think about it why did the Falcons a team on par with the Saints come in just a few weeks back to play the hawks at only -5.5 or -6? Of course the Falcons won by 16 points so that might have something to do with this line.

Bottom line I'm just bouncing around a few things. I wish the BOL to everyone on here and even if you happen to lose on this one I hope overall you come out a winner.

Atlanta was -5.5 point favorite in Seattle because that game was their 3rd straight on the road and the 2 prior were against division opponents. Atlanta, until this year, historically has not been very good away from the Georgia Dome, and the biggest road number they had to cover was 7 at Carolina.

Now, onto Saints/Seahawks. Saints are tasked with covering the same number they covered when they played the Seahawks at home back in Nov. They won the game and beat the spread, but let's be honest fellas, they didn't kill it. Now they have to beat the same number in a very tough road venue, outdoors, potential sucky weather, and with key guys banged up or not playing.

Seattle has been awful when they lose, but they do have a quality win against the Bears on the road and did what they had to do to get into the playoffs beating the Rams.

If it comes down to the 4th quarter and the Saints need a score, Saints will win, but I think the Seahawks do just enough to stick around and keep it tight. Both teams are going to be turning it over and both teams will get big returns on special teams. The Edge goes to Mare in the kicking game as Hartley has been erratic and you wonder how well he will kick outdoors in the slop.

The key for Seattle is Run the ball, pressure Brees, and for Hasselbeck not to screw it up. I'm sure Whitehurst will be warming up in the bullpen if Hasselbeck turns it over early or if the offense isn't moving.

The Saints have to put all of the factors out of their control aside and play their game. Make it a space game and chuck it all over the yard while giving it to (gulp) Julius Jones just to keep the Seattle defense honest.

My only concern with taking the points is what if the Saints get up big and have the spread covered early. Hasselbeck will charged with having to throw them back into the game and it could get really ugly really fast. It's more important that Seattle strike first, just like they did against the Rams and then play tough Defense. If the Saints are down 7, 10 or (God forbid) 14 early, I don't see them worried. They will just go back to work on Offense and do what they do which will be good for the Over.

My lean is Seattle across the board
+10.5, Ovr 44.5, Parlay the +10.5 Ovr 44.5

BOL.

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MoneyShot

MVP

Joined: May, 2003

Posts: 18451

Posted: Jan. 7, 2011 - 1:30 AM ET #56

Hawks

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IlikeDawgs

Rookie

Joined: Mar, 2009

Posts: 933

Posted: Jan. 7, 2011 - 1:35 AM ET #57

i just cant figure out why ppl around here are so excited to be catching 10 with a team that has 9 losses by more than 2 tds, not saying im a big fan of laying 10 on the road ever but there just no way i could back sea in this game...

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GolfNGrind

Rookie

Joined: Nov, 2009

Posts: 901

Posted: Jan. 7, 2011 - 4:17 AM ET #58

Quote Originally Posted by yankees2k6:

game of the century... 1 unit bet.

I know you have to take a shoe off to count there, but he is betting 11 units..derrrr

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Doyer

Prospect

Joined: Oct, 2010

Posts: 184

Posted: Jan. 7, 2011 - 5:47 AM ET #59

Quote Originally Posted by JoeV55:

Yes the headline is annoying and yes this will be the biggest bet of my life... I'm an average 1-2 unit bet kind of guy and this bet will be 10 units

First and foremost this line is OFF, WAY OFF. As many are predicting a NO Saint blowout

Not one for write ups, so I'll just bring up alot of factors that should have the Seahawks covering/winning outright

-Travel, noise, field condiotions... Flying to westcoast(check), one of the toughest places to play(check), 40 degrees with some rain against a team that plays in a dome(check)

-First meeting the Seahawks held there own, they kicked 4 FG's . Had 1 or hell even 2 of those drives resulted in 7 we would be looking at a different game. O, and lets not forget Lynch also lost 2 fumbles as well.

- Saints O vs Hawks D...Saints come into this game as the most beat up teams to enter the playoffs this year. With recent news of Ivory AND Thomas out that leaves JULIUS JONES yes THAT GUY to shoulder the load with Bush coming in on 3rd downs. Hawks were also missing there big DT Chris Cole in the first meeting. Also as well Jimmy Graham is dealing with an ankle injury as well and he to as well might miss the game. Seahawks D has some SOLID names on D they just been playing down, why? I have no idea injuries? 1st year all playing together? I dont know but I expect this unit to play up to there abilities this saturday

Hawks O vs Saints D... Hoping that Hassle plays but if Whitehurst plays its not much of a drop off (Hassle injury) also Charlie can run out of the pocket if need be so thats an updgrade. Hawks should HOPEFULLY be able to move the ball, Jenkins is also questionable coming into the game. It's going to be ALOT of dumps, screens, play actions and when need it to be the occasional shot deep. I'll take my chances with the Hawks O vs Saints D in this weather condition.

SPECIAL TEAMS.. Hawks have one of the best punters and return man in the game, Leon Washington is a threat to take it to the house ANYTIME he touches the ball, same can be said about Reggie as well but he also has his fair share of dropsies. This could be an even more big factor with poor conditions. Mare has been consistent all year as well and Hartley was hit and miss this year.

My prediction.. 24-20 Seahawks. Drew Brees gets the ball at the 30 with about 2mins, drives down the field but eventually gets picked off by the Rook Earl Thomas.

I feel like I'm missing something and if I'am I'll add to it later

Seahawks +10.5 for 10 units Seahawks +450 for 1 unit

Also have a feeling this line will go down to about 9.5 or 10

Good Luck all, bash or comment as you may

MY DUDE!!