I've done great all year , now it's TIME , but I'm so nervous lol.. I just want to hear from ya what would u pick? I have to pick 5 teams ATS ALL I NEED IS 3 TO HIT AND I HIT THE $$$
SO far i was leaning on the Giants and for some reason i think WASHINGTON gonna put up a fight and cover.. so if u have time let me know what would ya do thanks , good luck to all this week and HAPPY NEW YEARS !!
and they give me the spread early this week and it doesn't change...
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
I've done great all year , now it's TIME , but I'm so nervous lol.. I just want to hear from ya what would u pick? I have to pick 5 teams ATS ALL I NEED IS 3 TO HIT AND I HIT THE $$$
SO far i was leaning on the Giants and for some reason i think WASHINGTON gonna put up a fight and cover.. so if u have time let me know what would ya do thanks , good luck to all this week and HAPPY NEW YEARS !!
and they give me the spread early this week and it doesn't change...
If you ONLY need 3 of 5 wins - that means 2 ties and 2 might win as long as next guy doesn't go 5-0 (unlikely).
Why not do:
Team A, Team A opponent
Team X, Team X opponent
Team *
You will definitely go 2-2 in the first 4 picks - and you have a 50% chance of going 3-2 here.
If you randomly pick 5 games, you have 50% chance of going 3-2 or better
(half the distributions are 3-2, 4-1, 5-0 and half distributions are 0-5, 1-4, 2-3).
But, in THIS SPECIFIC case you don't care about 4-1 or 5-0 - so why not CLUMP all your 50% into 1 game - and WORST CASE you go 2-3 which is IMPORTANT b/c that MOST LIKELY wins anyways too.
Good luck!!!
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I GOT GREAT IDEA, please read!!!
If you ONLY need 3 of 5 wins - that means 2 ties and 2 might win as long as next guy doesn't go 5-0 (unlikely).
Why not do:
Team A, Team A opponent
Team X, Team X opponent
Team *
You will definitely go 2-2 in the first 4 picks - and you have a 50% chance of going 3-2 here.
If you randomly pick 5 games, you have 50% chance of going 3-2 or better
(half the distributions are 3-2, 4-1, 5-0 and half distributions are 0-5, 1-4, 2-3).
But, in THIS SPECIFIC case you don't care about 4-1 or 5-0 - so why not CLUMP all your 50% into 1 game - and WORST CASE you go 2-3 which is IMPORTANT b/c that MOST LIKELY wins anyways too.
I GOT GREAT IDEA, please read!!!If you ONLY need 3 of 5 wins - that means 2 ties and 2 might win as long as next guy doesn't go 5-0 (unlikely).Why not do:Team A, Team A opponentTeam X, Team X opponentTeam *You will definitely go 2-2 in the first 4 picks - and you have a 50% chance of going 3-2 here.If you randomly pick 5 games, you have 50% chance of going 3-2 or better(half the distributions are 3-2, 4-1, 5-0 and half distributions are 0-5, 1-4, 2-3).But, in THIS SPECIFIC case you don't care about 4-1 or 5-0 - so why not CLUMP all your 50% into 1 game - and WORST CASE you go 2-3 which is IMPORTANT b/c that MOST LIKELY wins anyways too.Good luck!!!
u have to pick 5...
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Quote Originally Posted by kvs23:
I GOT GREAT IDEA, please read!!!If you ONLY need 3 of 5 wins - that means 2 ties and 2 might win as long as next guy doesn't go 5-0 (unlikely).Why not do:Team A, Team A opponentTeam X, Team X opponentTeam *You will definitely go 2-2 in the first 4 picks - and you have a 50% chance of going 3-2 here.If you randomly pick 5 games, you have 50% chance of going 3-2 or better(half the distributions are 3-2, 4-1, 5-0 and half distributions are 0-5, 1-4, 2-3).But, in THIS SPECIFIC case you don't care about 4-1 or 5-0 - so why not CLUMP all your 50% into 1 game - and WORST CASE you go 2-3 which is IMPORTANT b/c that MOST LIKELY wins anyways too.Good luck!!!
I GOT GREAT IDEA, please read!!!If you ONLY need 3 of 5 wins - that means 2 ties and 2 might win as long as next guy doesn't go 5-0 (unlikely).Why not do:Team A, Team A opponentTeam X, Team X opponentTeam *You will definitely go 2-2 in the first 4 picks - and you have a 50% chance of going 3-2 here.If you randomly pick 5 games, you have 50% chance of going 3-2 or better(half the distributions are 3-2, 4-1, 5-0 and half distributions are 0-5, 1-4, 2-3).But, in THIS SPECIFIC case you don't care about 4-1 or 5-0 - so why not CLUMP all your 50% into 1 game - and WORST CASE you go 2-3 which is IMPORTANT b/c that MOST LIKELY wins anyways too.Good luck!!!
thanksfor the info,,, so far I have 2 picks VIKINGS- BROWNS... LET ya know my 5 by tomorrow thank ya.
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Quote Originally Posted by kvs23:
I GOT GREAT IDEA, please read!!!If you ONLY need 3 of 5 wins - that means 2 ties and 2 might win as long as next guy doesn't go 5-0 (unlikely).Why not do:Team A, Team A opponentTeam X, Team X opponentTeam *You will definitely go 2-2 in the first 4 picks - and you have a 50% chance of going 3-2 here.If you randomly pick 5 games, you have 50% chance of going 3-2 or better(half the distributions are 3-2, 4-1, 5-0 and half distributions are 0-5, 1-4, 2-3).But, in THIS SPECIFIC case you don't care about 4-1 or 5-0 - so why not CLUMP all your 50% into 1 game - and WORST CASE you go 2-3 which is IMPORTANT b/c that MOST LIKELY wins anyways too.Good luck!!!
thanksfor the info,,, so far I have 2 picks VIKINGS- BROWNS... LET ya know my 5 by tomorrow thank ya.
Yes exactlyPick Giants and CowboysPick Chicago and MinnesotaDefinitely 2-2.Coin flip other game. That's fine as 50% chance - that's what you want for going 3-2.
And I like that if the line moves in Vegas it wont move on mine , set spread so I'm waiting on all the nfl news lol..
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Quote Originally Posted by kvs23:
Yes exactlyPick Giants and CowboysPick Chicago and MinnesotaDefinitely 2-2.Coin flip other game. That's fine as 50% chance - that's what you want for going 3-2.
And I like that if the line moves in Vegas it wont move on mine , set spread so I'm waiting on all the nfl news lol..
Bill will most likely scheme his mind off here and not let off the pedal
for obvious reasons..I believe NE beat Jets by 14 @ Jets week 12 now they’re playing in NE..both teams have injuries and or key players out but I’ll take the better coach..it’s a big spread but I feel confident placing a wager on NE in this position..
I would say KC as well @-14 against Oakland especially after a huge emotional game..but the time slot for KC is a later one and if the Patriots win or have a nice lead they might let off the gas..
Good Luck to you
Winning isn’t everything.. It’s the Only thing.
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NE -13.5
Bill will most likely scheme his mind off here and not let off the pedal
for obvious reasons..I believe NE beat Jets by 14 @ Jets week 12 now they’re playing in NE..both teams have injuries and or key players out but I’ll take the better coach..it’s a big spread but I feel confident placing a wager on NE in this position..
I would say KC as well @-14 against Oakland especially after a huge emotional game..but the time slot for KC is a later one and if the Patriots win or have a nice lead they might let off the gas..
What I meant to say is KC should win @ home but Oakland is ticking upward and if KC let’s off the gas @-14 while they’re winning or have a nice lead giving up a back door cover that to me has a higher probability of losing rather than NE@-13.5
Winning isn’t everything.. It’s the Only thing.
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What I meant to say is KC should win @ home but Oakland is ticking upward and if KC let’s off the gas @-14 while they’re winning or have a nice lead giving up a back door cover that to me has a higher probability of losing rather than NE@-13.5
What I meant to say is KC should win @ home but Oakland is ticking upward and if KC let’s off the gas @-14 while they’re winning or have a nice lead giving up a back door cover that to me has a higher probability of losing rather than NE@-13.5
thanks I appreciate this info, my mind has been wondering all week about these games lol..
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Quote Originally Posted by ChOmP:
What I meant to say is KC should win @ home but Oakland is ticking upward and if KC let’s off the gas @-14 while they’re winning or have a nice lead giving up a back door cover that to me has a higher probability of losing rather than NE@-13.5
thanks I appreciate this info, my mind has been wondering all week about these games lol..
I've done great all year , now it's TIME , but I'm so nervous lol.. I just want to hear from ya what would u pick? I have to pick 5 teams ATS ALL I NEED IS 3 TO HIT AND I HIT THE $$$ SO far i was leaning on the Giants and for some reason i think WASHINGTON gonna put up a fight and cover.. so if u have time let me know what would ya do thanks , good luck to all this week and HAPPY NEW YEARS !! and they give me the spread early this week and it doesn't change...
so this is what I think I'm going with... buffalo -3.5 Atlanta +1 new England -13.5 Kansas city -13.5 Minnesota -4.5 remember the line doesn't change on my league tell me what ya think.. I think new England gonna win and cover making Kansas city having to play to keep the #1 seed that's my thought process..
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Quote Originally Posted by AMPONE:
I've done great all year , now it's TIME , but I'm so nervous lol.. I just want to hear from ya what would u pick? I have to pick 5 teams ATS ALL I NEED IS 3 TO HIT AND I HIT THE $$$ SO far i was leaning on the Giants and for some reason i think WASHINGTON gonna put up a fight and cover.. so if u have time let me know what would ya do thanks , good luck to all this week and HAPPY NEW YEARS !! and they give me the spread early this week and it doesn't change...
so this is what I think I'm going with... buffalo -3.5 Atlanta +1 new England -13.5 Kansas city -13.5 Minnesota -4.5 remember the line doesn't change on my league tell me what ya think.. I think new England gonna win and cover making Kansas city having to play to keep the #1 seed that's my thought process..
I've done great all year , now it's TIME , but I'm so nervous lol.. I just want to hear from ya what would u pick? I have to pick 5 teams ATS ALL I NEED IS 3 TO HIT AND I HIT THE $$$ SO far i was leaning on the Giants and for some reason i think WASHINGTON gonna put up a fight and cover.. so if u have time let me know what would ya do thanks , good luck to all this week and HAPPY NEW YEARS !! and they give me the spread early this week and it doesn't change...
so this is what I think I'm going with... buffalo -3.5 Atlanta +1 new England -13.5 Kansas city -13.5 Minnesota -4.5 remember the line doesn't change on my league tell me what ya think.. I think new England gonna win and cover making Kansas city having to play to keep the #1 seed that's my thought process..
Substitute Falcons for the Giants
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Quote Originally Posted by AMPONE:
Quote Originally Posted by AMPONE:
I've done great all year , now it's TIME , but I'm so nervous lol.. I just want to hear from ya what would u pick? I have to pick 5 teams ATS ALL I NEED IS 3 TO HIT AND I HIT THE $$$ SO far i was leaning on the Giants and for some reason i think WASHINGTON gonna put up a fight and cover.. so if u have time let me know what would ya do thanks , good luck to all this week and HAPPY NEW YEARS !! and they give me the spread early this week and it doesn't change...
so this is what I think I'm going with... buffalo -3.5 Atlanta +1 new England -13.5 Kansas city -13.5 Minnesota -4.5 remember the line doesn't change on my league tell me what ya think.. I think new England gonna win and cover making Kansas city having to play to keep the #1 seed that's my thought process..
I've done great all year , now it's TIME , but I'm so nervous lol.. I just want to hear from ya what would u pick? I have to pick 5 teams ATS ALL I NEED IS 3 TO HIT AND I HIT THE $$$ SO far i was leaning on the Giants and for some reason i think WASHINGTON gonna put up a fight and cover.. so if u have time let me know what would ya do thanks , good luck to all this week and HAPPY NEW YEARS !! and they give me the spread early this week and it doesn't change...
picks are in and lock..
Minnesota -4.5
Indiana -3
Philadelphia -6.5
Kansas city -13.5
L.A. chargers -6.5
wish my luck Haha come on luck and Indiana.. good luck to all.
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Quote Originally Posted by AMPONE:
I've done great all year , now it's TIME , but I'm so nervous lol.. I just want to hear from ya what would u pick? I have to pick 5 teams ATS ALL I NEED IS 3 TO HIT AND I HIT THE $$$ SO far i was leaning on the Giants and for some reason i think WASHINGTON gonna put up a fight and cover.. so if u have time let me know what would ya do thanks , good luck to all this week and HAPPY NEW YEARS !! and they give me the spread early this week and it doesn't change...
picks are in and lock..
Minnesota -4.5
Indiana -3
Philadelphia -6.5
Kansas city -13.5
L.A. chargers -6.5
wish my luck Haha come on luck and Indiana.. good luck to all.
I GOT GREAT IDEA, please read!!!If you ONLY need 3 of 5 wins - that means 2 ties and 2 might win as long as next guy doesn't go 5-0 (unlikely).Why not do:Team A, Team A opponentTeam X, Team X opponentTeam *You will definitely go 2-2 in the first 4 picks - and you have a 50% chance of going 3-2 here.If you randomly pick 5 games, you have 50% chance of going 3-2 or better(half the distributions are 3-2, 4-1, 5-0 and half distributions are 0-5, 1-4, 2-3).But, in THIS SPECIFIC case you don't care about 4-1 or 5-0 - so why not CLUMP all your 50% into 1 game - and WORST CASE you go 2-3 which is IMPORTANT b/c that MOST LIKELY wins anyways too.Good luck!!!
Genius idea and you should have taken this advice, Ampone!
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Quote Originally Posted by kvs23:
I GOT GREAT IDEA, please read!!!If you ONLY need 3 of 5 wins - that means 2 ties and 2 might win as long as next guy doesn't go 5-0 (unlikely).Why not do:Team A, Team A opponentTeam X, Team X opponentTeam *You will definitely go 2-2 in the first 4 picks - and you have a 50% chance of going 3-2 here.If you randomly pick 5 games, you have 50% chance of going 3-2 or better(half the distributions are 3-2, 4-1, 5-0 and half distributions are 0-5, 1-4, 2-3).But, in THIS SPECIFIC case you don't care about 4-1 or 5-0 - so why not CLUMP all your 50% into 1 game - and WORST CASE you go 2-3 which is IMPORTANT b/c that MOST LIKELY wins anyways too.Good luck!!!
Genius idea and you should have taken this advice, Ampone!
I've done great all year , now it's TIME , but I'm so nervous lol.. I just want to hear from ya what would u pick? I have to pick 5 teams ATS ALL I NEED IS 3 TO HIT AND I HIT THE $$$ SO far i was leaning on the Giants and for some reason i think WASHINGTON gonna put up a fight and cover.. so if u have time let me know what would ya do thanks , good luck to all this week and HAPPY NEW YEARS !! and they give me the spread early this week and it doesn't change...
picks are in and lock.. Minnesota -4.5 Indiana -3 Philadelphia -6.5 Kansas city -13.5 L.A. chargers -6.5 wish my luck Haha come on luck and Indiana.. good luck to all.
I did it hit my 3 picks woooooo money in the bank
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Quote Originally Posted by AMPONE:
Quote Originally Posted by AMPONE:
I've done great all year , now it's TIME , but I'm so nervous lol.. I just want to hear from ya what would u pick? I have to pick 5 teams ATS ALL I NEED IS 3 TO HIT AND I HIT THE $$$ SO far i was leaning on the Giants and for some reason i think WASHINGTON gonna put up a fight and cover.. so if u have time let me know what would ya do thanks , good luck to all this week and HAPPY NEW YEARS !! and they give me the spread early this week and it doesn't change...
picks are in and lock.. Minnesota -4.5 Indiana -3 Philadelphia -6.5 Kansas city -13.5 L.A. chargers -6.5 wish my luck Haha come on luck and Indiana.. good luck to all.
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and you should have taken this advice, Ampone! 
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