Posted:
#51
Quote Originally Posted by JUSTWINNERZ12:
They did have an “extra” timeout because of the 2 minute warning. If they went for it on 2nd down etc, it would be gone. however, most coaches would also realize who the QB is in Rodgers and understand they probably should have gone for a TD then an onside
They did have an “extra” timeout because of the 2 minute warning. If they went for it on 2nd down etc, it would be gone. however, most coaches would also realize who the QB is in Rodgers and understand they probably should have gone for a TD then an onside
No, the chance of getting an onside is less than 10%. And it is not a guarantee that they get a TD first. They could run 3 more plays and not get anything except time off the clock.
Going for a TD first = 75% chance to get a TD + 50% to get the 2pt conversion + 10% to get an onside + 70% to get a FG = 2.5%
FG first = 95% make FG + 80% to get a 3 and out + 25% to get TD +50% to get 2pt conversion = 10%
And there is very little chance GB throws the ball so it doesn't matter much who the QB is.
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