My Game Of The Year NFL week #11

First I want to say that I realize this will be a public pounder but as you know the public can be the right side on any given week obviously.

Colts -1 or +1 whatever line you get up to -10 I would hammer

Baltimores offensive line and Joe Flacco has not been in sync the past couple of weeks and Joe has now had two consecutive games that he has had pressure in his face by sub par pass rushing teams in Cinci and Cleveland. I do not see things getting better this week with Indys pass rush coming at Joe Flacco (I believe its finally catching up to the Ravens their lack of options at WR they decided not to pick up a named speedy reciever and now they are stuck with a veteran in mason who is about to retire and a butterfinger in Mark Clayton). I feel sorry for Joe Flacco because I believe he is a really good QB he just usually has nowhere to throw the football. Their TE Todd Heap is banged up this week this well as his back injury has been reaggrivated.

Now lets look at the biggest problem for Baltimore especially when they play the Colts. The Ravens secondary has struggled against any QB that is able to throw the ball down the field and this week they get Peyton Manning and Reggie Wayne the Ravens CBs Foxworth/Washington cannot cover anyone without causing a defensive pass interference. The Ravens will get Ngata back but weather he will be at 100% we dont really know. Terrell Suggs is out for maybe the remainder of the season and this is a huge blow to the Ravens defense. (I bet Peyton Manning breathed a sigh of relief as soon as he found out about his MCL tear)

Finally I have watched Peyton Manning read Baltimore Defense like a book over the past few years and this is when we actually had a schemer like Rex Ryan behind the wheel. This year the Ravens defense is not the same without him and our Blitzing has been basically non existant against decent offensive lines. Manning will drive down the field and convert 3rd and whatevers to Dallas Clark at will all day.

I only see two possibiltys of how the Ravens stay in this game one is because the Colts basically come and intentionally give the game away to Baltimore because they dont feel like keeping a perfect record (LOL dont see this happening) or maybe more likely but I still dont see it happening is Ray Rice absolutly has a monster day and runs the distance of the entire field 2 or 3 times.

I really hate to bet against my team but I feel like I have been here too many times and I know how this will play out this week.

Good luck will add more thoughts later I just dont feel like writting more right now

lol, you need to change your picture and your name.

bet your whole account on it, it's a loser

Interesting thoughts thanks for the input. I will be picking up my money at 4 pm on Sunday.

Maybe because my strongest plays come from it? I do not always bet against them and I usually dont bet with or against them but this spot is too huge for me to pass up on a big payday.

Can't say I disagree here, just won't be a GOY type for me. Best of luck.

I'm trying to help you out.

Your analysis is flawed but do what you want it is your money.

Did the Ravens hire a new secondary that I do not know about? Did they replace Terrell Suggs with a better pass rusher? Is Peyton Manning sitting this game out? What am I missing bro?

Or did the Ravens secretly trade for Chad Ochocinco?

Oh wait I know the Ravens are at home and they hate the colts so they will step it up this week....

Just like last time...

With Manning leading the way, the Indianapolis Colts strolled back into the postseason by building a 30-point lead in the second quarter en route to a 44-20 victory over the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday night. Interestingly enough the Ravens didnt have Samari Rolle in this game just like they wont have him this week. Peyton is going to pick on our lowly CBs all day long.

Quote Originally Posted by byharleyjames:

Is vegas GIVING money away this week?   I agree, it does look juicy on the surface but someone tell me why is this line so low?

I think it has to do with the public perception of Baltimore after their 3-0 start and then their next 3 games came down to the wire and easily could have been 6-0... Ravens have yet to be a dog anytime this year... With Baltimore at home I guess Vegas feels they will get enough action on both sides with the line where it is.

 The AFC West's cb rejects of Dominique Foxworth and Fabian Washington.

When your secondary is as bad as the Baltimore Ravens right now you are not going to contain Peyton Manning the entire game especially with Terrell Suggs out and no Rex Ryan to give blitz schemes that will work. Peyton Manning ALWAYS prepares and comes to play so for Baltimore to stay in this they will need some lucky turnovers and huge plays on special teams and BIG RUNS from Ray Rice.