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New England - biggest play of the year for me...

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Prospect
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Posted: #1
This line might be threatening to some bettors, 3 TD margin you'd say... The Colts should cover this...Well, you are far off my friends if you think that this game will not be what happened to Indy in New Orleans - maybe not with such difference, but I don't see this game with less than 30 points win for the Patriots. You see, I was searching additional HC, but no bookie where I have accounts have offered additionals. That's obviously why, so I will just settle with the -20.5 points margin
so first bet for the weekend:
10 K on -20.5 at + 103...The biggest play so far for me this year, I don't think anything can happen in this game, except for the Pats killing the Colts - I see this game 50+ for the Patriots - 10 (at the most) for the Colts...GL I will post more plays later this week
 
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Posted: #2
I do not doubt a beating will take place in Foxboro, but do you see Colts getting any garbage pts for the back door? Does Brady play the whole game? I wanna take it as well...21 pts @ home vs a heated rival. I say run it up on these Colt bitches!!

I'm with you, I was hesitant bout the huge line but the more I think about it the more i like it.


BOL
 
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Posted: #3
I'd like this thread more if your avatar wasn't a NE player

Having said that...I can't disagree

as of now...its a no play for me though...just too many points
 
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Posted: #4
Oh man, I am a big NE fan, but this season I have won more than 35K on New England's games alone, so don't worry I know my team and there is no way they won't cover this. And about Brady been taken out in the 4th - I am considering this also, but there should be at least 40 points difference till then, and they only got Brady out last week because they were visiting, you saw what Drew Brees did to those poor poor Colts, so I don't think Brady will be put out...They will play for their crowd and they will score as much as they can. 
Another good play 
NE -13.5 1st half HC - even money...
 
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Posted: #5
Favorite New England are 0-3 in those previous three 20 or more pointspread situations, also they did not cover 22 pts spread against Dolphins in 2007 (Pats 28, Dolphins 7). It's very hard for a team to cover that over 20 pts spread, but good luck.
 
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Posted: #6

Will play NE this sunday but it wont be my play of the year

 

 
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Posted: #7

I haven't made a bet in a while, say 5 weeks, but I saw an NFL spread of 20 points and thought, How can anyone not hit that? I remember the Pats had a 21 point spread to Miami in 2008, they were blowing them out, but Brady came out and Miami got some momentum to cover that spread.

Pats D sucks too , remember that. Vince Young threw for 400 years on them!

 
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Posted: #8
OK, that kind of thinking is the losing kind, right there noneed4luck - don't fuckin' care about stats in this game, just because 3 years ago Patriots didn't cover the spread vs the Dolphins, so you're saying they won't cover it now??? Wow, that's some logic. Have you watched the Patriots lately? And have you watched Indianapolis? The Patriots were capable to beat the Jets in New York with 21 points and smashed Philly in Philadelphia with 18, so you're saying that this offense will not score at least 40 points at Foxborough? So that gives the "sucky d-fense" that the Pats have 3 TD to be scored by the Colts (which is beyond dreamie in my eyes), so that's why I am saying you better play the HC rather than the totals. Because this game might turn out to be KFC again - 33-3 still 30 points diff...Whatever, you can play anything I am saying that this game is as sure as they get, I don't force you to play anything.
 
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Posted: #9
The Patriots never show mercy and keep scoring up to the final bell as we saw against KC. This one should cover but Colts will be playing hard as one win like this can make a horrible season a little brighter. Probably within 7 at half and then Patriots run away with it after adjustments.
 
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Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by NONEED4LUCK:

I haven't made a bet in a while, say 5 weeks, but I saw an NFL spread of 20 points and thought, How can anyone not hit that? I remember the Pats had a 21 point spread to Miami in 2008, they were blowing them out, but Brady came out and Miami got some momentum to cover that spread.

Pats D sucks too , remember that. Vince Young threw for 400 years on them!



If it wasnt for that garbage td at the end, the Patriots would have covered a 21 pt line..................

Also, you shouldnt compare the Pats of this year with the Pats the year they went undefeated. 1) The pats that year were playing decent teams & were destroying them up to like week 9 covering every game so the odds makers finally caught up with them, like the market.......

2) This line doesnt reflect how well the Patriots are playing as much as it reflects how terrible the Colts are..........Colts are in shambles & if the Pats dont win by a score of 52-10, I will be shocked..............

3) The Pats were playing decent teams back in 2007, the Colts are not even below average, they are pathetic................Colts
 
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Posted: #11
Only thing that scares me in this game is the dog in this series is 5-0 ATS past 5 years "but" those colts teams had Manning & stability..............
 
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Posted: #12

They don't have 20 point NFL spreads for a reason. I know guys woke up, saw the line, and they just hit it because it is 20 points and it is the NFL.

You find me a team that won a 20 point spread and I will eat a little crow, until that, why don't you donate some of that imaginary 10K money to an actual good cause.

I am surprised because it says you have been here since 2007, but still want to hit a -20 spread.

 

 This isn't college. I think a -20 point NFL spread should not be a PMOY!

 
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Posted: #13
OK, german boy, I don't need to convince you anything, I already made my bet, so if you think it's imaginary, you can go fuck yourself (or your imaginary boyfriend). I don't need fuckin' haters here, there were games this season that should've been a 3 TD spread, but the bookies are too big of a box - NO - Colts, GB - Minnesota, NE - KFC - I played all of these on 3 TD margin with huge money, but that's because I know the game, Deutscho... So go fuck Hilde and shut up, that's what real cappers do, they search for a breach in the system, and - that's what bookies do - trap idiots like you to bet on the plus side of those games...So go on idiot, I am pretty good amount of money up from betting and if I judge by your intellect - you can barely make ends meet and lose it all on gambling. So get out of here, I want real cappers opinions here, not some fucked up idiot comparing a game 3 years ago with this one. Get the fuck out of my thread.
 
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Posted: #14

[Quote:  I want real cappers opinions here, not some fucked up idiot comparing a game 3 years ago with this one.  [/Quote]

Most real cappers will be of the opinion that you either take the points in this game or don't play it at all.  I think what you meant to say was you want gullible guppies to come in this thread and tell you what a genius you are.  You might win this bet but it is a loser play.  Good luck.  You're going to need it.    

 
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Posted: #15
No man, I don't need anyone's approval, I just post this bet, so people make money of it. I don't want you to play it, I don't want anyone that has no believe in this play to play it. And I certainly don't need anyone to tell me what a genius I am - I know it So I am extremely confident (as I was last week vs the Eagles, and the week before that vs the KFC, and before that vs the Jets) New England are way way better than the Colts right now, they don't stop scoring till the end and they don't have mercy in their hearts for losers. On the other hand you have Painter, their average score is 14 pts per game, which is awful and the lowest in the league, they allow lots of points, and the Patriots love scoring every single drive. You watched that game vs the Saints - how will this be different?????? So, it is your money, and I have mine, I am just saying that this bet is a lock - it cannot go away right now. It is up to you - do you like money, or are you here just to say what an idiot I am for taking this bet. For me this is a lock play, not a chance in hell NE doesn't cover. And that's that...
 
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Posted: #16
its hard for me to justify going large on a 20point plus spread.  one fumble recovery for a TD, tipped pass pick 6, a blown coverage in secondary, stupid penalty, or special teams TD and 
 
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Posted: #17
Painter has been benched, Orvlosky or whatever his name is will start.............
 
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Posted: #18
Maybe even worse for the Colts, they might not even score at all
 
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Posted: #19
Even with the big spread there is still much more action on NE than Indy.
 
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Posted: #20
Actually I see this line dropping a little bit in the Euro bookies - 20 at bet365, but that's probably because some delusional people are taking the plus side...I think it will go up to 21.5 till Sunday, maybe the public will start taking NE strongly and Vegas will try to take some cash on Indy...Whatever, the fact that no one offers additional HCs on this game says enough for itself...All of the bookies are scared taking money on +140,150 or 160 at -25.5, 29.5 or even 31.5 - I'd take this if I can, but I don't see those HCs anywhere...
 
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Posted: #21

Hope the bet works out for you whitesnake1983.

I'm a huge Pats homer but will avoid this game cuz of the massive spread.  I could see NE winning 49-3 or NE winning 31-20. 

Again, bol.

 

 
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Posted: #22
Cant say which i am going or if i am even playing the game but i had NE last week but i can see some people taking Indy.3 blowouts in row for NE and this is the NFL i can see NE winning by only 14 or something like that but looking at the NO game i think if NE wanted to they could name their score.e will see.Like i said in another post Belichek doesnt lay off the pedal but he is 0-3 in previous 20+ spreads so maybe he does lay off lol
 
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Posted: #23
Howard, hopefully it will be 49-3  At least I hope 
 
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Posted: #24

As a very critical Pats fan, I typically think they will screw things up. This year is no exception

However, this is such a perfect matchup for them. Indy has no secondary. Brady quite conceivably will pass for 500+ yards and 5+ TDs. I do think Orlovsky is an improvement over Painter; but, this guy hasn't played in a long time.

I think this is an epic rout. Something like 52 - 13

 
 
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Posted: #25
Whitesnake I think taking the Pats is a good bet and I will be taking them also this Sunday.  The Colts are horrible and Brady is going to light them up.  I have never bet a line this big in the NFL but I like the Patriots in this game at home vs the Colts. 
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