Glad to see you on Boyzz again..only disagree on Jax..they're DUE to Not Coming back finally..Sunshine finally gets shown the door.great future for that kid.
Believe we'll have another Boys vs Eagles for NFC crown and the neutral field featuring Chefs vs either one...preferably da Bills...
Thanks for posting early 
The AFC Championship game will be played on a neutral field, only if it features the Chiefs vs Bills. The Bengals would have to travel to Kansas City.
@vanzack
hey man, just looking to hear WHY so strong on the cowboys here, and also why the fade on KC? I'll just start with the thing that means nothing. Last season wildcards blowouts were 4-2 with the two loses one score games. Flip the script, this year it was ONE SCORE games that went 4-2 in wildcard. SO last season, again has no bearing other than an NFL script, the two wildcard one score WINNERS being CIN,SF going on to win again in Divisional by tight FG games each and both on Saturday. All this just means my brain went haywire but I can connect a dot or two here in this current scenario.
Dallas hasn't played a money worthy game since week 13 at home to colts. You have to remember Dallas was 7-1 @ Home and Really an average team on the road 4-4. Throw out week 18 as some believe it was 60% effort. They went to Nashville and caught Dobbs without Henry, went into Live Dog Jax and lost in OT on a tipped pass by Dak trying to make plays happen. Since the McCarthy meltdown at GB, they dominated Vikings (big deal right but had 5 sacks?). I did read somewhere that Dallas has played playoff teams down the stretch as a knock-on Purdy.
DAL has played IND,HOU,@jax(still a dud at this game),PHI(on 3rd road/Minshew),@ten(w/o Henry & Dobbs qb),@was(3rd string qb), then they travel to dominate @tampa lifeless Brady. WOW 3 straight backup QB's and then washed up TB12, now DAL on 4th straight ROAD and another Backup QB who is better than jimmy G so far
SF with Purdy play vs Tua, TB 12, Geno, Wentz
,Stidham 1st start, Blough. I can see the last 3 QB's but 1st 3 are playoff QB's.
My thoughts are both Tight Ends should have the go to plays in this game, Schultz and Kittle. Would like to know your view.
Keep the other short here, sorry to blow up the thread. Jax last 2 road were @nyj,@hou and this last game in Jax vs the Bolts worst of their worst collapse's. Just ask a Charger fan. 4 INT's and a fumble, ONLY 19 rushing yards vs TEN, this to me looks like KC/LV 31-13
Chiefs / Jax notes...
I was on the Chargers last week (still recovering). While it was a very bad beat because of the game flow, Jax did play better end to end. Much better actually - only nullified by the 5 turnovers. It is almost impossible to believe a team lost an NFL game with a 5 turnover margin... But here we are.
The Chiefs offense is very similar in style to the Chargers, just much more skilled. The issue for the Jags this game is their pass defense, which will have to do well in the secondary against Mahomes - the Chiefs are 8th in the league in pressure rate - and they will certainly need to get to Mahomes to be successful. The Chiefs are #1 in the NFL in pass block win rate.
The key for the Jags offense is giving Lawrence time. They are 5th in the NFL in fewest sacks allowed. The Jags will need to be successful in the air to stay close.
There are just too many ways to covers 9 points in the NFL - but the way you dont cover 9 is if you cant score. Seems simple, but if your offense can move the ball the backdoor cover becomes available, as does keeping it close the whole way.
I have Jax covering 9 at 61% of the time, with a fairly low standard deviation. I like those numbers. My eye test would be to stay away, but the numbers are pointing me to the Jags here.
Chiefs 28-24
That is incorrect! Without the coinflip rule, the Bengals would have clinched the division, but would have still been playing for homefield in THIS game! I assure you... they would have been very motivated to get that. They might have rested players midway through the 4th quarter when it was clear Buffalo had their game wrapped up... at best.
van , you’re brad Pitt , only immensely better looking and way better at picking winners and wives , and everybody in here is coming at you like the paparazzi , snapping photos , saying that you have a nice butt , complimenting you on your latest movie slash winning selections , and some are even trying to confuse and overwhelm you with the cat calls and the repeated flashing of the blinding camera light gynecomastia man tit meat grievances that wobble for what seems like forever in your threads like a quarter thrown onto a table that just doesn’t want to lay down like it’s a bratty kid causing problems way passed his bedtime ,
and the worst part about it is , is that after these big dude booby flopouts happen these entitled motherfuckers don’t even have the decency , common sense , or courtesy , to put on a bra that fits ,
and they keep showcasing their fat guy breast cleavage around like so many of those Lakers Championship trophies that sit on display in those glass cases at that building that’s known as “ the whatever company that most recently just forked over a boatload of money to obtain the naming rights to it “ , so that all the paid fans in attendance can see and enjoy the purple and gold glory of yesteryear…..
what I’m trying to say is …. we’ll , I don’t know what I’m trying to say , because I’m trying to solve this Rubik’s Cube here in my hands in under two minutes while I type this , and the challenge seems insurmountable , like crossing the street in Frogger unscathed and not being relegated to a flattened booger colored mess , and it’s really fucking with my concentration dogg….
oh yeah , people need to fully appreciate you for both your gifts AND flaws because nobody is perfect . Even the most beautiful woman in the world lays a fat Shit in the toilet that’s long and circles around the hole at the bottom making it unflushable from time to time . We need to accept our heroes for their faults also . I mean c’mon , you bring some Kryptonite around Superman and he just turns into a worthless bitch ya know ?
it breaks my heart .
Some of these ungrateful wicked lost soul only spectating not living life assholes seem to be buzzing around you like it’s a July 4 picnic , and you’re just sitting there at the table trying to enjoy a good old fashioned all American hotdog made of cow labia and sphincter bits but you just can’t , because you’re always having to stop your eating process and Kung Fu swat away the silly annoyance of it all ….
so keep doing you . My only caveat is that you must be careful using the multiple user and sad alias fuck response because although it may have validity there are just too many holes in that defense . And it can be turned and tossed over multiple times , at varying angles , and fucked repeatedly over and over again in each one of them . With that being said , you are a class act , and I thank you for all the extra income you have given me this year because I have been following along through good and bad , like always , and you keep on never ceasing to disappoint , year after year , as always ……
through the ups and downs , good times and bad , through sickness and in health , this is a marriage , between your expertise and my greed , may they live long in happiness together forever , bearing the fruit of complete satisfaction , till eternity ….
sincerely yours , spockgato
This is what I wrote:
"I was on the Chargers last week (still recovering). While it was a very bad beat because of the game flow, Jax did play better end to end. Much better actually - only nullified by the 5 turnovers."
Read it twice. Maybe the nicest compliment I have received in 20 years here.
A few things... I am vegan. Have been for about 15 years. So no animal sphincters in my food please.
I watched a really good documentary on one of the many streaming services out there and I am too lazy to look up which one on the Rubiks cube and the competitions. Fascinating. Genius level brains who have getting laid as like 100th on their life priority lists. I can only imagine how successful I would have been if I didnt have the need to scratch some p*ssy as my life force from the ages of 14 to 30, but instead I wasted countless hours searching instead of solving rubiks cubes and similar productive ventures. Hence - I am a degenerate who makes a living predicting the future and swatting flies away from my picnic vegan sandwich here at covers. What a life right? Check out the documentary in case you havent already.
My experience at Covers has taught me a lot. I always talk about learning here - and that is the truth. One thing that I never expected to learn, but has been the top learning experience of posting at Covers - is the incredible expectations on the taker side of the free giver / free taker equation. It is never good enough. I think social media in general has brought this to the forefront - and it is such a widespread human trait - in every corner of every industry and the interwebs and real life. The choosing beggar syndrome. I mean I had a pretty good year - wire to wire this year - and still have threads started with people just trying to shoot their shot at me. Like pee wee herman trying to play shaq at one on one - I just sit back and laugh until they decide to make their move - and then swat the ball and them in to the stands. But it gets old.
You just cant win. You post winners, and then someone has issues with your unit sizes. You post current lines - something nobody here does - for all games all at once - which nobody here does - you keep a record - which nobody here does - and you win - which is very rare over a season here - and they still act like a pebble in your shoe. Its not like my covers posts are bringing sand to a beach. There are some here who know their sh*t, but most are cavemen looking up at the stars who are being brought an Iphone and all they do is throw it in the cave fire and then go on to make scrawlings on the wall that describe how they just burned this contraption that got in the way of their mastodon hunt.
But I get it. Its all good. I continue to do it. I get approached at least 5 times a year about different types of offers - mostly from those unseemly underworld of the tout industry - but a lot legit also. I can never get over the hump of saying "once I start charging for my services, I have a responsibility". Right now I have none - and I do what I want - and I really do bet enough to make more money than anyone could offer me. So far. Who knows.
So I get up, put on my Sears and Roebuck $99 suit, grab my briefcase and head to my office and log on to a world where the other half lives. The half that are struggling to figure out a world they dont understand, but are more than willing to take shots like Daniel Boone at a racoon convention.
But I do my thing - because it is my thing. When it gets old, my yacht will sail in to other waters. Right now - the yacht is on calm seas and the bitches are still interested in yacht life - and a life most don't lead. So fire up those vegan hot dogs, and swat those flies. This is the life I choose.
Thanks.
It is very tough for me to post soccer the way I bet it. It is so different than football because of lineups, and the different lines available. I have tried and have yet to find the sweet spot for posting - with all of the constraints posting brings - like timing, lines, prices, etc.
I can post with NFL all at the same time, all with current lines - and still do well with posted record. Not as good as I can do in real life - because in real life I can grab lines on a Tuesday and sell it on a Thursday for a better one - here I am relegated to what those lines are at a given time point. I just cant figure out how to do this in soccer - at least for the way I do it.
I lurk a lot in the soccer forum but I also respect all of the guys over there doing their thing week in and week out - and I dont want to bring the vanzack circus to something that looks like they dont want the circus in town.
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