NFL Sunday Week 10....

Bol VZ

Hope life is good.

Good luck this week Vanzack like them all except Washington let's grab those money ?? today

 vanzack

good luck 

@Crusher13

 Like your style i took Pitt on a teaser as well. I think they win a close game because of defense and coaching.

GL Today

GL  on your plays @vanzack 

@vanzack

 GL today!!  Hammer ‘em!! 

Wish I saw these earlier.  I'll go steal me some plays 

Rough start to the week. I believe bad streaks happens, but really would love to know how you come up with your bets. I read and track a lot of what you have to say, and betting dogs is key to your success, but the SF 49ers, MIN Vikings, and WAS Commanders were all favs with a fishy dangling line, SF -6.5 was baiting the 7 will cover, MIN with sunshine out at QB for JAC seem like another -7 seem too good to be true, I thought the WAS and PIT game was a coin flip, and all 3 games the pointed matter. The Colts had every chance to cover, but way too many turnovers but that lost seem Ok? Would love to hear your thoughts.

@MRxKrazz

 Don’t think that van gives two shits about public/sharp plays. He has a system that he never strays from and it has probably made him a fortune over the years.

May I interest you in a delicious BTC?

81,450

Thoughts?  I am struggling.  Probably worse than struggling, I suck this season.

Does that mean anything?  No.  I am going to be brutally honest here....  So read on only if you think you can read it unemotionally...

I am down 20 units give or take.  I won 75+ last season.  I have won each season for 7 straight posted, I would say around 600 units.  That is posted.  I do much better personally because I dont have the restrictions I do when I post (all at same time, all for widely available lines etc).

I say the above because it gives context.  Perspective.  I realize if you are a 2024 covers member, and see this joker Vanzack getting all these views and replies and losing almost every week - you think WTF?  But my world - how I live - how I bet - is all down to long term results.  So this season I am down about 20% of what I would feel like would be "uncomfortable" for me.  

But more importantly - these 10 weeks are statistically insignificant.  I could have pretty easily gone 5-0 in the early games, or 0-5.  There has been a lot of that this year.  And 10 weeks is not enough to change something that has been working for me for a decade.  It wouldnt be smart to do so.

So I keep trucking.  I get those who want to stop trucking with me.  No problem.  I understand.  Once again - I am free voice on the internet.  Thats all you should really think of me.  I can assure you I live and breathe this stuff - so it is not due to a lack of effort - and should be understood that even though someone has previously been successful and puts in the time - it guarantees nothing.

For me-

First thing I do each week is look at the the games without the spread, create my own who will win and throw a spread on the game.

Catch any games that is off my prediction.

I do care about public and sharp, although I also understand both sides win.

Fishy lines is another one I pay a lot of attention to, 49ers -6.5 was one, Vikings -7 another one, but so was the Bills who easily covered.

My question is more, going thru the 10+ games on the board each week, how and what triggers a BET? 

No one here have had more success than Van until this season, and for me, someone who loves to really get into this stuff, I am trying to pick his brain with how he comes up with his games. I can say with confidence most cappers here are easy to figure out, but Van is one I can not crack the way he handicaps.

No need to explain Van….
We all know what you’re all about.
Pure Class and an absolute gem/treasure to the covers community. 

Appreciate you very much Van tha man!

@vanzack

 You wouldn’t be too pleased with me right now tho. I’m on my deer stand but I’m just looking at them buddy

You got much? I sold my btc at 48k and holding 12 eth

Hey Van, like most, I appreciate your work  We've all had cold streaks, breaks go against us, etc.    Hang in there it's only half a season, positive regression is due

Sad to see the results this season bro, a lot of cappers are getting cleaned up. I stopped trying to be billy walters years ago and just bet 2 team 6 point parlays AT -110!(tie-push) and not only has my bank thanked me, my stress levels have never been lower. 

eg today I had Steelers + 8.5 / Chargers -2

Also had Arizona +7.5 / Carolina +12 (yes this one falls out of “Wong” parameters but I’m winning at over 79% regardless of parameters)

before anyone tries to have a go at me, I am very situation specific with my bets (eg- no Clev browns, avoid road favs on big win steaks etc)

I don’t blindly bet, I get -110, and my bank account speaks for itself the last 5 years compared to the previous 10, so please anything negative is not needed. 

For a guy who puts in 80 hours a week you spend a lot of time explaining yourself and telling us how much you've won in the past. Do NFL teams, when having a losing season, remind everyone how good they were the last few years?