NFL WEEK 11 / DON'T be a JIVE TURKEY $$$

@DoubleUp4Life

 I took chiefs ML and over 56.5 and raiders +7.5 and over 56.5 so let's hope for chiefs chiefs win 34-31 like the green bay game!

My largest ML chalk wager ever ...Last time I put over $420 + on a -210 ML or larger was 2014..

Thank You and Best of Luck Brother 

Pending Sunday Night Football 

MY MONEY LINE CHALK PLAY OF THE YEAR ...

CHIEFS -345

$1035 /$300

With over $1600 including the previously pending ML parlay this is my Largest CHALK ML ever ..Last time I wagered over $420 on a ML chalk -210 or larger was 2014 ...My implied probability is 85% / ML -567

ML PARLAY -117

$575/500

SAINTS -210

CHIEFS -385

@DoubleUp4Life

Hey buddy!  Big Phins (and NE) LOSS today!   Would love your updated standings and percentages and thoughts on the division?!  Love hearing your opinions!

Great to hear from you !! 

That was a HUGE loss today for our BILLS ...

I now give the BILLS a 83.2 % chance of winning the Divison ..With the COLTS , TITANS , and Browns winning today the Dolphins should be concerned about making the playoffs...

I'll have to do the updated predicted  standings after tonight's game 

Right now I have the BILLS 11-5 , and Dolphins 9-7 

@DoubleUp4Life

 Thanks man! Been following you for years and I wish my degenerate gambling was in check but illinois is legal sports betting cause Illinois needs money but I've been doing same game parlays but I love your write ups and I will continue to follow especially with the Mac!

Sunday night Foitball 

2-0 

That was a $2410 Swing 

RAIDERS WIN =  -$1610

CHIEFS WIN =   +$800

The Wife might have sent me to my cousins for a couple of weeks  ( or at least the basement couch ) had the CHIEFS lost ....

During the 4th quarter she started saying .." It's my ML play of the year "  " I always win these " ....

 MONEY LINE CHALK PLAY OF THE YEAR ...

CHIEFS -345

$1035 /$300

Both defenses looked like they had 1-2+ defenders in the penalty box ..

ML PARLAY -117

$575/500

SAINTS -210

CHIEFS -385

Really appreciate the kindness ...

Discipline is almost impossible for US DEGENERATES ...

Glad sports wagering is becoming legal in more states ....I hate chasing locals around. ..

MAC is a ton of fun , but dangerous...lol 

Sweep your board 

Thanks for posting Brother 

RAMS -2 +205
$100/205 

Couldn't sleep, came back to the Sports book to cash some tickets and bump this wager up to $100...

Still less than a untit and not a suggested wager ..

This is more of a price play ..Game is fairly close to a coin flip in my opinion , and +205 appears to have value 

I know this is hindsight, but that KC ML bet was terrible.  They should have been -125.  Game was basically a coinflip.  That being said, I am happy you won it.  With you on the Rams tonight...+4 , -2.5 +210 and -9.5 +525 (large medium and small)

I know you like making your own picks, but betting on the Westgate teams no one is picking has been paying off for me - 9-2 with Rams pending tonight.

LAR 170

DAL 163

WAS 142

DEN 133

JAX 130 - didn't cover

CLE 121

NYJ 119

HOU 111

BAL 105  -didn't cover but had a 11 pt lead

LV 98

NO 98

CAR 90 

https://www.thespread.com/nfl-super-contest-picks-from-the-las-vegas-hilton

The top 5 went 0-5

KC 461

ATL 454

MIA 444

GB 387

PHI 364

They don't post the picks until Sunday around 9:30AM

I should have checked this week ..Fading that top 5 and playing the others appears to be gold ...

Yeah the Cheifs bet was horrible and I would have been sick had they lost ...

Didnt think it would be close until the end ..Figured KC would be up 14-20 and leave the back door open .

@thorpe

Wow you were spot on Brother 

Great work....

Who do you like tonight ?

@DoubleUp4Life

When I was waiting in line at Seneca, I overheard about 5 people playing the same 5 team parlay - GB, Tenn, KC, Miami, Minnesota - or at least 4 out of those 5 picks...you should hang out at the counter at NF and me at BC for 30 minutes Sunday morning and listen to everyone' picks...I think we would hit 80 percent fading them.

Weather is supposed to be good next Sunday - Bills/Chargers should go way over 53.5 if it is.

I'm right there with you ...

Went up to the casino last night ( couldn't sleep )  put $572/520 down at 53...Wish I would have doubled that., but wanted to bring the MRS. back some money  ..

Already up to 55..Could see this soaring to 57

People assume weather will be terrible this time of year here...

If the weather were bad, I'd hammer the Chargers ML with the Under.  Herbert has to be a better bad weather QB than Allen right now...Oregon has sh-tty weather (but so does Wyoming, why is Allen so bad???)

@thorpe

From what I noticed about Allen in bad weather ( College and Pro ) he often refuses to throw to the easier short target ..Still trying to sling the 30 yard out , or the 25 yard pass between 3 defenders....

Kelly was so good at taking what the defense gave him in the bad weather...He'd screen and dump off  on the defense until they sat  on the short routes , and then he's start throwing 20+ yard passes ...

That total should sky rocket when the sharps see the weather forecast is clear and 50+ degrees ...

WEEK 11 INVESTMENTS

2-2    +$273.60 

Correction 

Woodbine mohawk 

This might be the hardest Pick.4 or 5 I've handicapped in a long time ...

Could lead to a big payout. ...

Or it's just a donation 

40 cent pick 4 

Race 7.    6

Race 8.    2,7,8

Race 9.     6,7,8,9

Race 10.    2,5,7,8,10

Cost 24 

20 cent 

Race 7.   2,7,10

Race 8.    2,8 

Race 9.     6,7,8,9

Race 10.    2,5,7,8,10

Cost 24 

Woodbine 

20 cent superfecta

1st.  2,3,5

2and.  2,3,4,5

3red.    2,3,4,5

4th.  2,3,4,5,6,7

Cost 10.80