NJPorky's 2H NFL System Plays

I think you guys should change the number to 13 point differential and not even do the 10 points anymore. Then backtrack in college 13 point differentials and leave out the 10 points and see what type of record you come up with in college.

Seems like a good system using the 13 points

Is anybody checking the college game tonight for a possible play at half??? Im still catching on and want to check what it would be.

CHEERS

I know NJPorky wanted to keep the pick threads lite, so I think discussions of the strategy should be posted here. New readers should note that a thorough description of the strategy is on this thread's earlier pages.

Thoughts from this week (week 2)

I stayed away from the Washington-St Louis game, which opened at 21.5, got bought up to 22.5, and the 2nd half ended squarely on 22. My reasoning was that, if in fact this system was because books didn't want people to middle them, who would want to middle a game where they win their over on just 1 TD? I felt the line had 0 "system" influence and was just set at half the full game line.

On this same topic, I don't know if the guys who are backtesting and doing the spreadsheets can find this data, but if again this is about avoiding getting middled, maybe the play works best for those games where there was a heavy pregame "consensus" one way that would lead to a big middle opportunity at the half.

FUCK THIS SYSTEM  1 FUCKING WIN TODAY????  THAT IS GOOD??  I read about how good this shit is and 75% winning.  Bullshit!!!!!!

Ok guys here I go with my 1 time explantion of th system. First off I have been betting sports for the last 20 years and I stubbled onto this system in the NFL about 8 years ago and have been using it ever since. I don't have the exact nuimbers but every year it hits around 70-75%. Also as far as posting the picks I get onto covers and do it when ever I can but usually it is only for the 1pm games on Sundays as I work evenings and thus are rarely around for the Monday night or 4pm or Sunday night games to post. But usually I start the thread every sunday and usually everyone starts to follow and after a week or so, someone will start posting the plays and no plays for the games I'm not around for....

The above text was from NJPorky.  70-75% every year and he used 10 pt system.  Now people are showing figures were 10 pts system is 53%  WTF!!!!!

2010 NFL backtested with different differentials. I need 2011's numbers if anyone can msg me.
Greater than
9 pt diff: 99-96 51%
10 pt diff: 91-80 53%
11 pt diff: 82-68 55%
12 pt diff: 77-58 57%
13 pt diff: 70-39 64%
14 pt diff: 62-36 63%

I'll be playing 13pt+ from now on, just seems like a much less exposure to loss. To each his own, not everything is perfect, and this is only one season.

I need someone who can get me a way to database 2011 or other year's games.

did the totals do better than the sides?.............thanks for all your hard work.

New York Giants @ Carolina
Carolina was -2.5 and 48.5

Giants are up 20-0 at the half
2nd Half Lines should be  Carolina -22.5 and 28.5
2nd Half Lines are Carolina -4 and 23
Thus we have a 18.5 pt difference.

New York + 4 is the play.   Good Luck