*** Packers/Steelers SUPER BOWL Play + Detailed Analysis ***

No problemo Golf! 

good luck buddy

Quote Originally Posted by Gold_Rush:

Thanks man you as well!!

I like the over for a few reasons, none really statistical or anything.

I find that most super bowls go over unless they set the line way to high like last year.. But here we have the Defense taking center stage which would say UNDER to the general public,, so I think it will go over this time.. I dont care too much if the line went down a half point, last year the line went up if I recall.

I feel like the NFL wants a ton of scoring and you are less likely to see a 56 yard TD bomb come back for holding.. they want points in this World Wide TV event.. They will let things go for the sake of ratings and action..You know what I mean?

2nd, these 2 QB's are really really good at avoiding pressure and making plays... Both have speedy WR's and can go down the field in a heartbeat and its on turf without wind and snow mud so if the QB's get loose, and from what i have seen - they will. Lots of passes in this game. Also they do not know each other like the bears and pack did.. 2 of the 3 Pack playoff games went over the #.

 I think Rodgers will have a much better game than he had vs Chicago.. Steelers are unlikely to get blanked in 2nd H and amazingly (Thanks to the DEFENSE )  that game went over last week even though one team had 0 points in the 2nd H.

GL buddy  

Thanks, good luck to you too...

A few quick points:

#1:  Turf and good weather doesn't just benefit the offense.  It actually helps the defense a lot more.  It's easier to play offense because you know where you're going.  The defender has to 'shadow' the offensive player not knowing which way he's going.  In bad weather with poor surface, it's a lot more difficult.  In good conditions, defenders are able to use their athleticism much more effectively. 

My point here is, be careful assuming that good conditions only help the offense.  They help the defense just as much, if not more.

#2:  the O/U in the last 6 Superbowls is 1-5...I know you mentioned that you feel it's because the line is too high, but what makes you think that 45 isn't too high for this game?  In any case, Colts and Saints did not have defenses the caliber of these two.  Different teams, different game, hopefully the same outcome (UNDER)

good luck bud

Quote Originally Posted by Crusher13:




These are just some of my VERY SAME sentiments. THIS game IS going over the total!

We shall see

If it does, oh well.  It will be just 1 loss.  Remember, don't go crazy betting more than you do normally.  It's just ANOTHER game. 

It's not more important than the college bball game you're betting on today, or the NBA game you're placing a wager on tomorrow, or that all-important 'best movie of the year' bet you're going to make during Oscars.  JUST ANOTHER GAME guys.  Don't lose your ass off.  Keep your bankroll intact and enjoy it!

Jumping Sweet Jesus, BODIO...just another insanely ridiculous, killer write-up. Whether they agree with you or not, major appreciation has to be given to ya! 

I do agree with you and will be waiting on the number to move up north of 45 and hit the UNDER. Also, taking a small SB teaser with GB +3.5 and under 51/52?

Thanks again for your time and efforts and Good luck to all.

My analysis of the UNDER had nothing to do with the line moves.  The RLM is a 'bonus' but that's not why I feel that the UNDER is the play. 

No problemo Evil. Glad you enjoyed it. 

My hopes of this # reaching 47 by game-time won't happen, but I still see it going up over 45.  Definitely agree with your strategy of waiting till next week.

Good luck buddy!

Good Luck buddy, keep up the good work

Thanks brutha

Good luck brutha. 

thanks buddy.  Yeah, I agree.. Under is the right play in this one from my perspective.  Should be a good one.  Go UNDER!  :)

Thanks bro!  good luck

Quote Originally Posted by Uneek:

Although,,,,,,if Harrison gets a hold of Rodgers early.....steelers 24-7

haha...then it might be over quicker than we all expected

Not sure about hotter.  Pittsburgh is pretty 'hot' right now as well.  Should be a great game!

Thanks buddy.  Which way is the crew leaning on this one?

Quote Originally Posted by dyamarik:

Good write-up.  Was leaning over, but you have given me some info to ponder.  BOL. 

Still got a week to decide.  Plenty of time to make an informed decision.

Good luck buddy