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#1
There are two games in mind when we look at tonites game. This game and next weeks showdown in Pittsburgh with New England. Coincidence that the Steelers have been on primetime the last 3 weeks and not covered any and now all of the sudden the Pats are on tonite? Nope. This was done on purpose in that the league knew that next week would most likely settle home field for the AFC. The league wants us to be comparing and contrasting these two all week after tonite and what we've SEEN. BOTH teams can NOT be hitting on ALL cylinders. I will explain why below. Quickly, we need to talk about the Steelers here for one second though. 3 wins but no covers in those 3 on primetime. The media has painted the picture that they are struggling to beat bad teams. Inconsistent, if you will. Very important to keep in mind. Very!
As for the Patriots, they are steam rolling teams. Coincidence that Gronk is out tonite after that stupid move he pulled last week? Well....you know me....I have my thoughts on that but we'll leave that alone. Tonite, Brady and Belly go against Miami and did you know they are 7-8 IN MIAMI? A losing record? You think they know that? Probably. You think the Pats are going to hold back tonite? Ask yourself this question: WITHOUT Gronk.....the Patriots ON THE ROAD are 12 point favorites? Think about that. 12! As bad as Miami may be they are still technically alive for the wild card, barely. So with Gronk....what would the spread be? I'm seeing a lot of people jumping on the Dolphins thinking the spread is an absolute gift. That's a lot of points right? Well.....think about this then and think about it from a perception standpoint. What if the Patriots cover tonite WITHOUT GRONK? Where do you think public puts their money next Sunday? Steelers or Patriots? It's important to ask yourself that for the narrative that lies ahead. And if you don't believe in narratives at least be respectful here....I will say though.....if you haven't been watching primetime games lately, it's all there!
I'm not going to write sentence fragments and give you bs like others in this forum. I'm not gonna yell f@x for every game but I can tell you going forward, if you kept your eyes open you may just be able to make a ton of money come January. I think I've proven that I know what the h@ll I'm talking about here......but to each is own. Tonite, are you putting your money on Jay Cutler and the Dolphins or are you putting your money on the Patriots and their improved defense and unstoppable offense? My guess tonite is that you won't even know the difference whether Gronk is out there or not. Didn't they go through the playoffs last year WITHOUT Gronk last year? Just saying. Imo tonites game is a setup game for next weeks game against the Steelers. If the Pats "struggle" tonite what's the spread next week? If they dominate what's it going to be? Both teams cannot be hitting on all cylinders and with how the Patriots have been playing especially their defense, I believe we may see the machine back at work tonite. Next man up, do your job mentality, get to .500 against Miami on the road.
Last thing and take it for what it's worth: I said to myself before last last nites game that one team, either the Patriots or Steelers would "struggle" this week, NOT BOTH. I laid the house on Baltimore last nite second half because down the spread, 6 at half, I already knew what Steelers team we'd get. They "struggled" last nite. The Patriots tonite though....,I firmly believe to fit the narrative I'm expecting, the Patriots may dominate tonite for the public. I mean if they lay an egg....people will say but they didn't have Gronk so no big deal. If they dominate, that sets up next week. Do the Steelers 4 weeks in a row not cover? Do they lay down against the Pats? Or because of the 3 straight non covers by Pittsburgh, does Pitt get a gift back by beating the Pats next week? I can tell you that Pittsburgh has made the books a ton this year. Non believers of the script don't know what I'm talking about here. I mean if the Pats dominate tonite and then get Gronk back next week, the public won't think they lose to Pittsburgh, right? Again, I DO NOT LOOK at this league the way many do so if you disagree that is fine. Just be respectful. The 83-63 record and 6-0 in the last 4 primetime games should at least warrant some sort of explanation that I may not be nuts with how I view these games. We will see. I guess the Pats could struggle tonite and I get narrative wrong but so far, so good. will break down the teams later as I hope others will too; I just wanted to set the table. THOUGHTS?
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Regarding your first paragraph. I get it that the pats have the Steelers on the road next week but they know Miami will play them tough or at least try to. The Pats occasionally go through the motions in BIG games. Imo, this doesn't qualify. If Dolphins cover, they backdoor it but so many are talking about the offense of New England. I think new England's defense is smoke and mirrors and will be exposed in January but as of late they've "shown" to be dominating. With Jay at qb, I wouldn't be surprised if this is a defensive gem put up by the Patriots.....
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