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Atlanta Falcons @ Detroit Lions
Was big on the Falcons last week but this is a perfect spot to fade them here. Falcons shutting out the superbowl champs then having to travel to face a team that just got embarrassed by one of the worst teams in the league.
This has been a disappointing season for the Lions to say the least but last week definitely hurt there ego's. Lions rebound here and give the Falcons there third loss of the year.
- Teams beating the Super Bowl champs are 18-30 ATS (37%) the following week
- Teams with 11 wins or more as road favorites are 9-29 ATS (23%) past 9 years.
- Teams who lose by 30 points or more ATS and home dogs of 3 or more are 12-1 ATS (92%) past 10 years.
Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins
Love the Bills here as well for my 2nd and final play of the week. Dolphins defense shutting down the Jaguars last week while the Bills got creamed at home.
- Teams who lose by 30+ points and are dogs between 3 and 6 are 17-3 ATS (85%) past 6 years
- Teams who allow 7 or less points last week at home with a home Sunday game this week are 4-18 ATS (18%) past 4 years
- Divisional favorites who are divisional dogs next week are 13-41 ATS (24%) past 5 years
Lions +4 (-118) 20 units
Bills +4 (-110) 7 units
Was big on the Falcons last week but this is a perfect spot to fade them here. Falcons shutting out the superbowl champs then having to travel to face a team that just got embarrassed by one of the worst teams in the league.
This has been a disappointing season for the Lions to say the least but last week definitely hurt there ego's. Lions rebound here and give the Falcons there third loss of the year.
- Teams beating the Super Bowl champs are 18-30 ATS (37%) the following week
- Teams with 11 wins or more as road favorites are 9-29 ATS (23%) past 9 years.
- Teams who lose by 30 points or more ATS and home dogs of 3 or more are 12-1 ATS (92%) past 10 years.
Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins
Love the Bills here as well for my 2nd and final play of the week. Dolphins defense shutting down the Jaguars last week while the Bills got creamed at home.
- Teams who lose by 30+ points and are dogs between 3 and 6 are 17-3 ATS (85%) past 6 years
- Teams who allow 7 or less points last week at home with a home Sunday game this week are 4-18 ATS (18%) past 4 years
- Divisional favorites who are divisional dogs next week are 13-41 ATS (24%) past 5 years
Lions +4 (-118) 20 units
Bills +4 (-110) 7 units
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