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Super bowl line - going up or down?

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Posted: #76
ML and 4.5 ravens for me GL all 
 
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Posted: #77
Quote Originally Posted by budwiser:

This has public 49ers move written all over it with the move to -4.5. The moneyline is now too expensive around -200 but with -4.5 it makes it worth going that route instead of the 9 ers spread. As of now I am off this game, was 9 ers but this move made me back off

But, all this niners money has been expected all week.
 
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Posted: #78
Yeah the 9ers fans are getting the worst of it -4.5 and -200 Vegas just taking their $ at inflated prices wow those prices stink
 
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Posted: #79

Van, any chance you will tell us the bets you are holding prior kickoff?  I'm not smart enough to figure all this out.  It looks like 49ers and under to me.  What do you see?

Make today great!
 
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Posted: #80
only 1% of total wagers are placed in Vegas. so this notion of west coast money moving the line is incorrect. there's something bigger at play here.
 
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Posted: #81
Well tons of red in Vegas. I'm on the ravens +4.5 medium. I was on the 9 ers hope I don't regret this
 
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Posted: #82
Wound up being dead wrong with my line thoughts. Would have bet the bank it would have went up to 4.5 and then plummet to 3.

Still an hour, but doubt it moves back down. GL to all.
 
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Posted: #83
Ravens 4.5   under 49 local...GL all
 
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Posted: #84
Ravens +4.5 (bought the half point as book was still at 4) and Ravens ML.

BOL everyone.
 
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Posted: #85
Public went on the 49ers to move it to -4.5
 
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Posted: #86
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

4.5 is good enough for me to bite.

Got +190 on the ML too.

Funny game.  The little mistakes by Kap were the difference in this razor thin result.

First the 2 timeouts.  They cost them a chance at the game.  The first one was inexcusable, and totally on Kap.  The second was necessary, but also Kap not managing the clock.

Second was the int.

Look - Im not saying he isnt a great player who is going to probably only be better - but when you bet the NFL - games come down to 2 or 3 plays and sometimes decisions.

He is a great player, but its a big ask of a rookie who has played 10 games or so to play on the biggest stage.

 

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Posted: #87
wow how u even gonna put it on kap.  how about all the sf penalties and #22 who was roasted by boldin.  kap's int and to's were bad, but not crippling b/c the ball is back in his hands for him to make a score.  he cant help 3rd down penalties that extend drives 
 
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Posted: #88

Quote Originally Posted by llyod23:

wow how u even gonna put it on kap.  how about all the sf penalties and #22 who was roasted by boldin.  kap's int and to's were bad, but not crippling b/c the ball is back in his hands for him to make a score.  he cant help 3rd down penalties that extend drives 

Im not "putting it on kap".

I stated earlier in the thread that I would take my chances with Kap if the Balt defense made him throw.  I stated that because he was a rookie, on this stage, there was bound to be mistakes.

It was a follow up to that statement.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
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Posted: #89
oh, didn't read the entire thread, only saw the "little mistakes by kap were diff in the thin result" post and the quote from your plays so to me that sounded like u were putting the L on him.  but yea def has some room to grow.  nice hit on the +4.5 and ml
 
 
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Posted: #90

Quote Originally Posted by llyod23:

oh, didn't read the entire thread, only saw the "little mistakes by kap were diff in the thin result" post and the quote from your plays so to me that sounded like u were putting the L on him.  but yea def has some room to grow.  nice hit on the +4.5 and ml

But you are right, I am certainly cherry picking the plays that stood out to me.  Certainly others were big as well.

Timeouts are always a sticking point with me.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
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