Texans or Bears - Survivor pool....

Following my system Houston Texas will win by 15 points. 

@Battalion74

 Agree 100% - Take Houston all day!!! 

I've tried to fade the obvious "have to lose to secure top pick" before, and haven't really had much luck with it.

I actually think the Bears game is more likely to be close than the Texans game.

In a game of "what have you done for me lately" the Jags looked god awful until garbage time vs. the Ravens. But, Minshew is very hit and miss. He can have great games and bad ones. So in a cold game last week, I could definitely see him in a bounce back. 

The Texans are coming off a loss, and the Bengals are coming off a big win against the team with the league's best record at the time.

The Bengals are on a short week, against a Pittsburgh team that came into that game playing pretty poorly. The Bengals aren't intentionally trying to lose, but they're really just trying to get through the rest of the season at this point. No reps for Burrow to develop. No Mixon, and they're running a 30 year old Gio Bernard, AJ Green's last season there probably. If they could end the season right now, they would in a heartbeat. Tee Higgins already proved that he's the real deal. 

The Texans have nothing to play for either, but the front office probably wants them to win badly because  their first and second round picks go to Miami and they don't want them to be a high ones.

So while I do think Jacksonville is likelier to lose the game, I think the Jacksonville game will be the closer of the two. The Texans defense is awful, so you never know. 

If I was betting the games, I probably would take Houston -7.5, and probably lay off the Jacksonville game (if I had to pick I would take Jacksonville +7.5), but if I was risking my survivor pool on it, I'd take the Bears with the ML. 

TLDR - Take the Bears. 

Think most likely both will win but I think Texans are more likely to cover so clearly that would be the side I trust most. I've been trying to figure out which one to tease with Steelers this week. Im gonna tease Bears down and take Texans laying the points separately. 

Pertaining to what I read Post #22 & Post #23 both have good comments, tough call .... flip a coin 

I don’t have either as a play but with respect to vanzack, I’m sure he appreciates everyone’s opinion and will come to a final decision either way.

@slamspurs 

Like your comment as well 

Bengals ML+275

$40 to win $110

Ive been a Jags fan since 1995. yes i know they suk so thats exactly y u take the bears.... all of our best players on defense have gotten hurt thruout this whole season and weve lost more on the offensive side. nonetheless this should be a chalk week for most accounts for nfl week 16. but week 17 is going to be very difficult 2 survive picking thru 16 divisonal games......

i think the bengals were really pumped up for the steelers game being a 14 point dog. I doubt they will be like that this week at houston. The Texans for whatever reason seemed to come to life at Indy. I think the Bengals shot their emotional load for the steelers game. With that being said i think Texans win this game easily. The real Finley will appear for this game. Watson won't be anything like big ben either. To me also the Bears been playing and scoring better butm I think this will be a close game. The jags players or any NFL players are not in on the tanking thing. They play for their lively hood. GL on your play...

@Macwestie1

 Cmon man you've been around here too long.You know this season home field is basically irrelevant.

who are the Bears to be laying 7.5 on the road?! Haha. Get out of here clown.

@Contrarian21

 That same Bears team who beat the Texans 36-7?

A Texans team who's only wins are vs Jax twice, NE and Det should be laying over a td to anyone right?

The Bears are 7-7, playing well NOW, and vs the worst team in the NFL.

The Texans are 4-10, not playing well now or at any point of the year, playing a bad team in Cinci, but is not even close to as bad as Jax.

I don't see how we are even having a discussion about this. VanZack is a smart man, I think I know why he started this thread in the first place.

How many units you have on the Bears, Under? 

@begginerboy

 Zero. Took Bears +5.5 at GB next week.

This is a real bet fwiw.

I am also on Cinci 1H +4.5, got it a couple days ago 

Glennon starts over Minshew tomorrow. So much for Jax scoring more than a token field goal. Full tank for Trevor mode.

Interesting angle, here:

Prior to this season, Glennon's last start was Sept. 28, 2017, when he was with Chicago. He started the first four games that season before being benched for rookie Mitchell Trubisky, whom the Bears drafted with the second overall pick.

Well it's a fact but not a betting angle. You're good people but you'll have to do better than that on this one. I can counter with the Allen Robinson revenge angle, seeing that not signing him to a 2nd contract was one of the top 5 mistakes made by the Jags over the past 5 years. There is a reason Glennon starts and James Robinson won't play either. Do the Bears cover more than a TD? Maybe, maybe not but they win.

its the bears for me. Just submitted.

Thanks for all of the opinions.

Trubisky. Oh boy.

Da Bears no doubt

Good decision Van. I think it’s a fairly comfortable win for Chicago tomorrow.

Bears losses so far this year... Colts, Rams, Saints, Titans, Vikes, GB, Lions.

Only bad loss there was Lions, game where they were up by 10 with about 2 minutes to go. The combine records of the others are 57-29.

Bears' Montgomery is on a tear last 4 games since Trubinsky came back (71/ 434/ 5 TD, 6.1AVG) so hopefully Gase be smart and minimize Trubinsky passing.  Jags allow 3rd most rushing YPG.

Jags' best offensive weapon, Robinson, is out.  Their next 2 RB career stats, 24/ 68/ 2 TD.

Bears have all motivation after Card's loss today and Jags should have none, tanking for Trevor.

Smart play is Bears.  GL!

@gmitran

 Join the rest of the betting public!

if it was any one other then brandon allen or ryan finley at qb this fits a system of mine and i would hammer the over

not close the bears