***THANKSGIVING DAY FOOTBALL PLAYS***

I still have the Chargers remaining for Monday night & I am about the way the line is falling, but then again, the Saints line fell 1.5 points & so did the Steelers line & we saw what happened in those games. Hope the same happens on Monday night with a Chargers blow out.


I will have two plays for turkey day but I wanna put this game out right now & it is the last game to be played on Thursday.


(Jets -8.5 vs Bengals)  The Jets have been getting lucky winning their past 3 games & previous to those 3 games they laid a goose egg at home to the Packers. This Thursday they wont be playing a team that has much to play for, the Bengals are pretty much without a pulse after bowing a huge lead to the Bills. Jets are sitting at 8-2 & tied for a 3 way for the best record in the league. The Patriots are tied with the Jets for the division but the Jets have the tie breaker as of now.

The Bengals have gave up on the season sitting at 2-8 & in last place in their division. Wait, Bengals 2-8, Bills 2-8 & Lions 2-8, Panthers 1-9, hmm....I just dont see how this team gets up for the Thanksgiving match-up vs one of the best teams in the league & to have watched the Jets past couple of games after the bye you would think they are struggling to be .500 but they are sitting at 8-2 & show everyone what they are really about when they blow the doors off of the Bengals Thursday night.


Jets -8.5 




I will post a play on the Pats/Lions game on Monday night after I study it a bit more. I probably wont be playing the Saints/Cowboys game but do lean Saints -3.

Shit teams tend to do well on Thanksgiving.  I guess they need something to be thankful for. 

I decided to add the Saints/Cowboys game.



(Saints -3 at Cowboys)  The Saints have gotten back on track winning 3 in a row after losing to the Browns in New Orleans as a heavy favorite. The Saints are looking to get back to the super bowl & what a better way to do it while getting revenge on the team that stopped their undefeated season last year, the Cowboys in New Orleans & this my friends in pay back in a big way.

The Boys finally got a win two weeks ago after firing the zombie looking coach, Wade Philips, that guy hardly showed emotion on the sidelines. Jason, the new coach got his team playing with some heart as they went into NY & beat the Giants as a double digit dog . This week the Lions came into Dallas hoping for a win but it didnt happen as Joe Montana, I mean Jon Kitna led the Cowboys to another win. Its great & all in what Jason Garrett has done to this team instilling heart & determination but that only takes you so far. They got 2 nice wins but this team still needs alot of work & I dont see them sticking with the Saints.



Saints -3

Since when?  Go back & check the scores past several years on Thanksgiving.

Just speaking out my ass dont really have any facts to back it up.

Jets should never be more than a 3 pt fav to anyone right now they havent blown anyone away yet after the bye.  Cowboys playing inspired football right now.  And mostly likely the lions line will be inflated.  No one wants to back them right now.

Add on that fact it a short week.  You got 3 playoffs potentials against 3 teams that most likely are almost if not already out of the playoff picture.  Look for the favorites to overlook their opponent and not play as hard.

BOL on your bets ill probably take the over in all of them.  Its thanksgiving people want to see scoring.  Not to mention NFL referees are giving out penalites like candy now for any contact.

prime prime

what about tmr? MNF???

...bengals are good dogs tho!

terrible favs

goodluck

well, first off, Denver is a public dog, so the fact that the number is falling shouldn't be too concerning... however, if the line was rising... you could basically take SD to the bank... RLM on a public dog is pure death for the dog...

i have tracked pretty much every reverse-line movement game this entire season in CFB, and pay pretty close attention to the NFL... and i can tell you, people who have been blindly following RLM the past month or so have drained their accounts...

this game, of course, does not constitute RLM because Denver is a public dog... but even if it was, i would put little to no stock in it... RLM has been no better than 50/50 this year in CFB, and probably not much better in the NFL... i really think RLM is a completely useless handicapping angle as a general rule, until you start to break it down a bit further...

The Bengals defense is a joke.  Palmer is a turnover machine. I'm still laughing that Cincy had a 28-7 lead against Buffalo and folded like a cheap tent.

 

goodluck

like the saints, stayin far away from the jets game

Prime , Thank you for the post from your "source" and the 3 totals on Sunday .......heard anything for tonight ?   IceMan 

RLM worked great in weeks 4, 5, 6 & 7 in the NFL because the public hadnt caught on to what teams are capable of doing. But you're right, if you blindly bet RLM threw out the season, its 50/50

Nothing as of now but will call & see if he has anything for tonight. He did tell me that he bet $3,500 on the Eagles last week to win the super bowl so take that for what its worth. I myself dont think they will win but what do I know.

Thanks for the thanksgiving picks. They both look very promising. BOL

My advice is to sit back and watch this game with no wagers on it. You never know what Broncos or Chargers is going to show up. This game could range anywhere from 60 or more to 40 or less points, with scores having a difference of 14 or 3. Both of these teams are fade material IMO.

wow, what a brilliant strategy..