The Sleeping Giant that is the Tennessee Titans

The Titans have been a completely different team since benching Mariota, averaging nearly 30 points per game. It's also worth mentioning that since 2012, when teams beat the Pats in Foxboro, they are 8-1 straight-up the following week...with the one loss being 2012 49ers when Justin Smith got hurt in the Pats game which ruined their defense.

Another interesting trend: teams that win on the road in the wildcard round are often 6-9.5 point underdogs when they subsequently play a 1 or 2 seed in the divisional round. I'm not sure how this keeps happening year after year but these are always close, low scoring games. 

Since 2005 when this happens they are 4-8 SU, 10-2 ATS, and 2-10 OU with an average score of 18-22. Both the Vikings and Titans fall under these situational plays.

I can easily see one of the 6-Seeds winning outright this weekend, with both covering their big spreads. 

Thoughts?

You forgot to mention the dropped pick six that ryan had early on.  They lost, Titans won, it has no bearing on the ravens game other then giving titans more confidence and momentum going into the ravens game.

Go ahead and keep fading the titans, bet the team laying almost ten that hasn't played in 3 weeks, I'm sure they won't be rusty.

Woulda coulda shoulda... A loss is a loss. You're not giving the Titans enough credit

Ask yourself this if belichek put all his energy stacked the box to take away henry and got ran over what chance do the ravens have to stop him?  Jackson can't score if he is on the bench.  Titans have the type of team that can hang with balty.  Should a team that has been on a  8-3 run be nearly double digit dogs to anyone?  Nfl players are used to the routine of playing every week, one week off max.  Can't see the 3 weeks off helping a team that was peaking.  All the pressure is on the ravens, titans have nothing to lose.

Like Tennessee here a lot. Doesn't hurt that they have ex-Raven Dean Pees calling shots on defense.

Good catch there though he wasn't around for Action Jackson's first year...it does give him some insider knowledge of what makes the Ravens and Harbaugh tick. 

Upon digging a little, I noticed that the two backs that gave the Ravens fits this year were Chubb +160 and Mostert +140. Can the Titans' run offense match the physicality that the Ravens' D will bring? The Ravens like to bully their opposition...but Vrabel should have them ready and they are riding high with momentum...Tannehill will be tested this week. Man, I look forward to this game...

Thst narrative  never works. Ex players don't help crap for the new team.

Titans will lose big

I agree with this statement 100 percent. There is nothing scarier then a man with nothing to lose as the saying goes.

I think a money line parlay of Vikings and Titans is worth a little splash this weekend. Just the tip. Just to see how it feels.

Dean Pees is NOT an ex player...

Titans/Vikings ml parlay is 15.5-1 stuck in a little already, went all the way in on titans/seahawks ml parlay at 11-1  

Hes ex of the other team. 

Quote Originally Posted by bpickin:

Great Info thanks a lot. I was liking balty (even tho they have been off for 2-3 weeks) but now I will consider passing on it all together.

Since 2000

Playoff teams on 10+ game SU win streak ... 2-12 ATS

1st game of playoffs ... 4-3 SU ... 1-6 ATS

Home team ... 3-3 SU ... 0-6 ATS


Ravens riding 12 straight (last loss: Week 4 vs CLE

The Ravens were the best team this season and the Home Teams in the Divisional Round are 25 and 7 since 2011 .. The Ravens had a Great Rushing Season at Home by rushing for  at least 170 yards in all 8 Home Games this Season... 

Interesting, I dug a little deeper and since 2003 a team on a winstreak of 9 or more in the playoffs is 3-16 ATS and 9-10 SU (including conf/SB)

I don't buy into "situational" situations and trends..

Throw em out... 

The 2003 team, really? Who cares? Its ridiculous handicapping- The players in this game were in kindergarten in 2003

This game stands alone...The Titians are not sleeping giants, they aren't much better or worse than any other teams in the playoffs- The only question is..Will Derrick Henry be able to run on that D-line- If so, we probably cover the number  

You aren't comprehending my sentence properly. Reread what I wrote:

"Since 2003 a team on a winstreak of 9 or more in the playoffs is 3-16 ATS and 9-10 SU (including conf/SB)". This goes for ALL teams since 2003 that were on a 9+ game win streak going into the playoffs.

Situational capping can be ridiculous when random parameters are thrown in, but there are many logical situational plays that work well and have consistently won for years. This one for example makes perfect sense as there are many reasons why a streaking team will struggle to cover usually-large spreads in the NFL playoffs. 

Marcus Mariota was the QB in that game