WEEK 13

My only play i am tailing is COLTS ML. Good lucc fellas

I think the five full quarters played here is different than the Seahawks cardinals cuz that was a tie whereas the chiefs rallied twice to tie and wins at the buzzer, plus the fact they already had one look ahead clunker game against Tampa bay prior to the Denver game.  Kc moneyline here but agree with Jacksonville and Indianapolis.  Great work you do mate 

I read a stat line how bad kc is when opponent scores 22+. Atlanta is going to put up 30+. This Feels like it will get UGLY fast for KC. I haven't played a bet in awhile but may put 5K on Atlanta 

It's an interesting theory, but I would love to see the research to back it up. Sometimes a popular notion, when studied carefully, simply fails to convince in the actual data. And if some effect is there, I'd almost be willing to say that it's a much smaller effect than popularly assumed. If anyone has some serious data on these so called "sandwich games" please share it. I am willing to evaluate the data statistically, but it has to be at least several hundreds of games analyzed, or we are back to the world of opinion and belief rather than verifiable evidence. The first hurdle would be how we clearly define what a sandwich game is, in a totally clear way, and once that is done we can compare the success rates of teams playing sandwich games versus a random sample of other games that are not sandwich games. I would almost bet that nobody has studied this properly, but if I am wrong, even better, because this would be terrific information. I don't care what some coach said. Peoples opinions are often dead wrong even when they are esteemed Super Bowl champions. Look at the horrible handicapping record long term of the mainstream media, and that is all you need to know to realize that knowledge of the game is not the same as a carefully conducted scientific analysis of a theory. And that is precisely how I built my system for NFL prediction, through many many carefully done statistical analyses with hypothesis testing and rigorous procedures that guaranteed that what I was finding was not due to chance or random effects. I would venture to say that we are in 2016 still in the early infancy of really knowing how to predict sporting events. The science simply hasn't been done yet, but I will predict that by the year 2030, the average super contest record will be much higher than it is today in 2016 after more serious research findings accumulate. OK enough preaching for now, and I am all ears to any serious articles on scientific studies on the effects of sandwich games or other serious theories, but please don't evoke Terry Bradshaw or Jimmy Johnson. They predict about as good as your next door neighbor's mistress. Might as well flip a coin. You will probably get a,better pick. Not to take anything away from great coaches, but they cannot handicap, and to be honest, over time, even the best supposed handicappers in the world are little,better than 50% over time!! Infancy folks. But it will change with careful studies!

You are not going to get 1000s of results.

If you want hundreds, not thousands of results, become a baseball, basketball or ice hockey handicapper.

Awesome Indego! As I figured, there,is,no evidence for this effect. It is,likely fluff!!!

Indigo, true there are many more games,in other sports, but my analyses go back to the early 1980s, and I have over 8000 games,in my database, so football is indeed doable, but you have to analyze it properly.

I may be biased since I am a Patriots fan and I know for a fact Belichick preaches 1 game at a time.  Are there certain games that require more planning? Sure.  But that is not to say the Patriots are going to prepare ANY LESS for a game due to their opponent 2 weeks from now, that is pure hyperbole.

6pt; GB -1 / SEA -2.5

Guys a coach can preach "one game at a time" as much as he wants. Players don't prepare the same way for every game. Its not hogwash, it's simple human psychology. It's the same thing in every sport. In this game, 90% preparation instead of 100% can make a huge difference. 

Suuma - will be in Vegas shortly (from LA). Thinking of putting 5K on Atlanta. Do you think -5.5 is ok?  Would feel better with 4 obviously. 

Keep rolling bro

A team off an away underdog overtime win, now an away  non-divisional dog with a division game up next have been 6-1 ATS

Correction:    

Suuma,