Situational spots aren't automatic plays on a certain team. They have to be put into perspective of the whole game. A Football game isn't just won by talent discrepancy or certain matchups. It's also won in the heads of the players. Preparation and focus plays a big role in sports.
Road teams in a divisional sandwich spot playing vs. an interconference opponent:
94-146 SU (39.2%), scoring margin 19.1 - 23.5 (-4.3)
Road teams in a divisional sandwich spot playing an interconference team lose by 1.5 PPG more than standard road teams.
0
Situational spots aren't automatic plays on a certain team. They have to be put into perspective of the whole game. A Football game isn't just won by talent discrepancy or certain matchups. It's also won in the heads of the players. Preparation and focus plays a big role in sports.
A team off an away underdog overtime win, now an away non-divisional dog with a division game up next have been 6-1 ATS
1996 Oilers +1 Falcons 23-13 *
2002 Broncos +3 Patriots 24-16 *
2003 Patriots +4 Colts 38-34
2006 Giants +4 Seahawks 30-42 *
2007 Packers +1 Chiefs 33-22
2010 Lions +3- Dolphins 34-27
2011 Lions +2 Cowboys 34-30 *
* Previous away overtime win was versus a divisional rival.....a sandwich game.
Were both division rivals in contention to win the division ?
We do not know that with this info, completely different situations to what KC is FACING.
If the team is facing easy division opp then the incentive to bring your biggest, best game is not there.
Look at last weeks Pats/Jets game, who do you suppose brought their biggest game ?
Certainly was not the Pats who got out=played by lowly Jets, the team needs to be facing a tough division opp with division title hopes and that would not be the Jets, how many of those teams in this sample would be similar to Jets ?
We do not know that.
Your trying hard to disprove something with very bad info.
0
Quote Originally Posted by Indigo999:
A team off an away underdog overtime win, now an away non-divisional dog with a division game up next have been 6-1 ATS
1996 Oilers +1 Falcons 23-13 *
2002 Broncos +3 Patriots 24-16 *
2003 Patriots +4 Colts 38-34
2006 Giants +4 Seahawks 30-42 *
2007 Packers +1 Chiefs 33-22
2010 Lions +3- Dolphins 34-27
2011 Lions +2 Cowboys 34-30 *
* Previous away overtime win was versus a divisional rival.....a sandwich game.
Were both division rivals in contention to win the division ?
We do not know that with this info, completely different situations to what KC is FACING.
If the team is facing easy division opp then the incentive to bring your biggest, best game is not there.
Look at last weeks Pats/Jets game, who do you suppose brought their biggest game ?
Certainly was not the Pats who got out=played by lowly Jets, the team needs to be facing a tough division opp with division title hopes and that would not be the Jets, how many of those teams in this sample would be similar to Jets ?
We do not know that.
Your trying hard to disprove something with very bad info.
Does it matter which of the 24 players fall victim? What if only the backup players are looking ahead?
What is the exact definition of a sandwich game?
What is the ATS history tell us of sandwich games?
If you can't accurately define it nor can you back it up with historical stats, I'm sorry, it's hogwash.
6 questions from one very inexpérienced NFL mind frame, if you trully don't comprehend the terminology attached to ´sandwich gamé then go back to handicapping 101 and do some research, farthest concept to Your commentry on regards to ´´hogwash'´ imaginable.........
0
Quote Originally Posted by Nycgags:
So these sandwich games, please preach on.
Does it just have to be the coach?
Do all 46 players fall victim to this curse?
Or only a simple majority of 24 players?
Does it matter which of the 24 players fall victim? What if only the backup players are looking ahead?
What is the exact definition of a sandwich game?
What is the ATS history tell us of sandwich games?
If you can't accurately define it nor can you back it up with historical stats, I'm sorry, it's hogwash.
6 questions from one very inexpérienced NFL mind frame, if you trully don't comprehend the terminology attached to ´sandwich gamé then go back to handicapping 101 and do some research, farthest concept to Your commentry on regards to ´´hogwash'´ imaginable.........
I read a stat line how bad kc is when opponent scores 22+. Atlanta is going to put up 30+. This Feels like it will get UGLY fast for KC. I haven't played a bet in awhile but may put 5K on Atlanta
Since 2013: SU:
4-16-0 ATS:
6-13-1
0
Quote Originally Posted by richwins81:
I read a stat line how bad kc is when opponent scores 22+. Atlanta is going to put up 30+. This Feels like it will get UGLY fast for KC. I haven't played a bet in awhile but may put 5K on Atlanta
Situational spots aren't automatic plays on a certain team. They have to be put into perspective of the whole game. A Football game isn't just won by talent discrepancy or certain matchups. It's also won in the heads of the players. Preparation and focus plays a big role in sports.
Road teams in a divisional sandwich spot playing vs. an interconference opponent:
94-146 SU (39.2%), scoring margin 19.1 - 23.5 (-4.3)
Road teams in a divisional sandwich spot playing an interconference team lose by 1.5 PPG more than standard road teams.
solid info.apprrciate your effort
0
Quote Originally Posted by suuma:
Situational spots aren't automatic plays on a certain team. They have to be put into perspective of the whole game. A Football game isn't just won by talent discrepancy or certain matchups. It's also won in the heads of the players. Preparation and focus plays a big role in sports.
Situational spots aren't automatic plays on a certain team. They have to be put into perspective of the whole game. A Football game isn't just won by talent discrepancy or certain matchups. It's also won in the heads of the players. Preparation and focus plays a big role in sports.
Road teams in a divisional sandwich spot playing vs. an interconference opponent:
94-146 SU (39.2%), scoring margin 19.1 - 23.5 (-4.4)
Road teams in a divisional sandwich spot playing an interconference team lose by 1.6 PPG more than standard road teams.
0
Quote Originally Posted by suuma:
Situational spots aren't automatic plays on a certain team. They have to be put into perspective of the whole game. A Football game isn't just won by talent discrepancy or certain matchups. It's also won in the heads of the players. Preparation and focus plays a big role in sports.
I have Denver in my survivor pool.... A team like Denver and that "D"
should get the job done. The UNDER in this one should be a good
play!!!
You don't have to, Deac!
Traveling to the east coast for an early game off a five-quarter SNF performance with a rookie backup QB - give me the home team with a decent D getting 4.5 points. It might be a rare game in which Blake Bortles doesn't turn out as the worse QB. If they play it simple & safe and try to win this game via defense, they are going to win SU.
BOL Deac!
0
Quote Originally Posted by Dogjimbo:
I just don't buy that JAX pick.
I have Denver in my survivor pool.... A team like Denver and that "D"
should get the job done. The UNDER in this one should be a good
play!!!
You don't have to, Deac!
Traveling to the east coast for an early game off a five-quarter SNF performance with a rookie backup QB - give me the home team with a decent D getting 4.5 points. It might be a rare game in which Blake Bortles doesn't turn out as the worse QB. If they play it simple & safe and try to win this game via defense, they are going to win SU.
Hey Suuma, good to see you. Would you please share your thoughts on Baltimore/Miami? The line is Baltimore -3.5. Thank you..
On the move, just real quick: Would lean Balty at -3, because their front seven is a great matchup against Miami who are without DeVante Parker who can create athletic mismatches. Miami D is still no wall, the Ravens can put up enough points to win and cover. Seeing a 24-20 / 24-17 type of game. No play for me.
0
Quote Originally Posted by kodiak:
Hey Suuma, good to see you. Would you please share your thoughts on Baltimore/Miami? The line is Baltimore -3.5. Thank you..
On the move, just real quick: Would lean Balty at -3, because their front seven is a great matchup against Miami who are without DeVante Parker who can create athletic mismatches. Miami D is still no wall, the Ravens can put up enough points to win and cover. Seeing a 24-20 / 24-17 type of game. No play for me.
Situational spots aren't automatic plays on a certain team. They have to be put into perspective of the whole game. A Football game isn't just won by talent discrepancy or certain matchups. It's also won in the heads of the players. Preparation and focus plays a big role in sports.
Road teams in a divisional sandwich spot playing vs. an interconference opponent:
94-146 SU (39.2%), scoring margin 19.1 - 23.5 (-4.3)
Road teams in a divisional sandwich spot playing an interconference team lose by 1.5 PPG more than standard road teams.
Suuma, the problem u have is that there is,way way too small a,sample of sandwich games,to say that difference is,anything but chance!! Even the overall difference is insignificant statistically.
0
Quote Originally Posted by suuma:
Situational spots aren't automatic plays on a certain team. They have to be put into perspective of the whole game. A Football game isn't just won by talent discrepancy or certain matchups. It's also won in the heads of the players. Preparation and focus plays a big role in sports.
Road teams in a divisional sandwich spot playing vs. an interconference opponent:
94-146 SU (39.2%), scoring margin 19.1 - 23.5 (-4.3)
Road teams in a divisional sandwich spot playing an interconference team lose by 1.5 PPG more than standard road teams.
Suuma, the problem u have is that there is,way way too small a,sample of sandwich games,to say that difference is,anything but chance!! Even the overall difference is insignificant statistically.
Suuma,, you have some nerve coming on this site and making picks you think are intelligent and have a chance of winning. What gives you the right. These people know better than you. They are professional gamblers with years of experience and you are forcing them to follow you. Stop it now.
0
Suuma,, you have some nerve coming on this site and making picks you think are intelligent and have a chance of winning. What gives you the right. These people know better than you. They are professional gamblers with years of experience and you are forcing them to follow you. Stop it now.
Suuma, You do a great job man and appreciate your picks.
Was wondering why you thought the Steelers line is so high ? Seems like a total trap to me, and am leaning towards taking Pitt...any thoughts would be appreciated. GL this week
0
Suuma, You do a great job man and appreciate your picks.
Was wondering why you thought the Steelers line is so high ? Seems like a total trap to me, and am leaning towards taking Pitt...any thoughts would be appreciated. GL this week
Suuma,, you have some nerve coming on this site and making picks you think are intelligent and have a chance of winning. What gives you the right. These people know better than you. They are professional gamblers with years of experience and you are forcing them to follow you. Stop it now.
In another word, Bernie wants you to distribute your winnings.
0
Quote Originally Posted by RCDirect:
Suuma,, you have some nerve coming on this site and making picks you think are intelligent and have a chance of winning. What gives you the right. These people know better than you. They are professional gamblers with years of experience and you are forcing them to follow you. Stop it now.
In another word, Bernie wants you to distribute your winnings.
Suuma, the problem u have is that there is,way way too small a,sample of sandwich games,to say that difference is,anything but chance!! Even the overall difference is insignificant statistically.
I am done talking about that. If people think teams bring the exact same effort each week - they live in a dreamland and I have no problem keeping them there.
0
Quote Originally Posted by footballsmart:
Suuma, the problem u have is that there is,way way too small a,sample of sandwich games,to say that difference is,anything but chance!! Even the overall difference is insignificant statistically.
I am done talking about that. If people think teams bring the exact same effort each week - they live in a dreamland and I have no problem keeping them there.
Suuma, You do a great job man and appreciate your picks.
Was wondering why you thought the Steelers line is so high ? Seems like a total trap to me, and am leaning towards taking Pitt...any thoughts would be appreciated. GL this week
Steelers haven't shown me enough to make them -3 favs over the Giants. Personally I am looking at Giants & Over.
0
Quote Originally Posted by WinstonTheWolf:
Suuma, You do a great job man and appreciate your picks.
Was wondering why you thought the Steelers line is so high ? Seems like a total trap to me, and am leaning towards taking Pitt...any thoughts would be appreciated. GL this week
Steelers haven't shown me enough to make them -3 favs over the Giants. Personally I am looking at Giants & Over.
Suuma,, you have some nerve coming on this site and making picks you think are intelligent and have a chance of winning. What gives you the right. These people know better than you. They are professional gamblers with years of experience and you are forcing them to follow you. Stop it now.
0
Quote Originally Posted by RCDirect:
Suuma,, you have some nerve coming on this site and making picks you think are intelligent and have a chance of winning. What gives you the right. These people know better than you. They are professional gamblers with years of experience and you are forcing them to follow you. Stop it now.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.