11/03/2022 THURSDAY Puck Talk

So sat around thinking last night after both Flyers and Pens lost, and on Tuesday the Kings and Caps lost. All 4 were playing b2b. So I looked back and the if my numbers are right, there has been 39 b2b situations the first month of the season. Back to back teams that won was 16 and lost were 23. Also there has been several teams that has not played a single b2b but the Bolts and Flyers have already played 3 in the first month. 

I'll post it later but I am already on the Jets tt over 3.5 -115. Hellebuyck vs Montembeault. Jets didn't have a great road trip in regards to scoring. They have played 3 home games to date and scored 4 in 2 of the 3. Different team at home. In the 2 meetings last year, the Jets scored 12 goals vs Habs. As mentioned in the lead in, Bowness was not happy with the offensive production and shot attempts. I think that will be a point of emphasis tonight. Habs have allowed 4 in the last 2 road games. 

Second play: Pesky Sens tt over 2.5 -134. Sens back on home ice. They avg. 4.8 GF on home ice. They have scored 3 or more in 6 of their last 7 games. But you can also look at the Knights have only allowed 3 goals in just 3 games all year, but 2 of them were on the road. Give me the Pesky Sens to come out firing. 

Per Goaliepost, confirmed: Igor, Montembeault, Hellebuyck, MAF and Ingram. I'll try to check the refs later in the day. 

Almost forgot I was playing this one as well. Kings tt over 3.5 -115. I like the way the Kings are skating. Prior to the Dallas game, they had scored 4 or more in 4 straight games. Chicago is down to Soderblossom or something like that. They have allowed 4 in 3 of their last 4 games. Kings have scored 4 or more in 3 of the last 4 meetings. 

Not good when I have 3 bets already at 8:00 a.m. 

After yesterdays no play, you are officially 'Jonesing' LOL

Someone talk me in or out of the Isles tonight please. Best thing I can come up with not to take the Isles besides the Blues are due is the home team has won 5 of the last 6 meetings in this matchup. What else....

Forsberg for Sens

Husso for Wings 

Jones is probable for the Sea Monster. 

Last 4 games (3 have been at home), 5, 1, 4, 1 GA. Does the trend continue? Thinking the Wild is finally finding their offensive legs. Seattle is only allowing 27. 4 shots/gm.

@Kmoore307

On the fence on that game as well.  Initial lean was strongly on Isles.  They are on a heater right now having beaten 3 legit Cup contenders and then Hawks.  And they are completely healthy.  Sorokin playing very well last few games, and is likely to start.

STL has looked putrid last few games.  Their GM gave them a "stern talking to" on Tuesday according to media.  Pretty sure Berube gave them a stern talking to before the last couple games, and we saw what that did for them.  Saad and Krug both Questionable as well.

I might consider some Reg Line at higher odds, but right now I don't see a reason not to play on them.

@dyamarik

 That's exactly what scares me. Not much reason not to take them other than the line stinks....I hate that lol 

@Kmoore307

 Sorokin is enough reason for me. I've "played the line" 3 times of late and flat out lost. 

My fave dog of the night so far may be Ottawa. 

Vasilevskiy for Bolts

@LuckyGuy

 Always a good day when we see LG chime in.

I wanted to play Carolina at plus odds as Hedman is out (right?) for TB and Carolina is actually 3rd on moneypuck.com 5 on 5 expected goals rankings (Devils #1). Moneypuck has Carolina power ranked #2! But now i see the odds as -110 for both teams. Not a huge deal but I liked the plus odds better.

@Omega_pix

 Thinking seriously about taking the Isles if we get Sorokin. Might lay off otherwise.

Sens are great at home this season but two things kept me from taking them on the ML: they are 1-7 against the Knights and the Knights are playing really well and currently have 2 solid netminders. I'll be pulling for them anyway as I parlayed the TT with the Isles TT. GL 

I don’t have anything of value to add on him besides he is the brother of the six foot eight inch behemoth playing for the Red Wings. 

@Omega_pix

 Like the Canes as well  GL Today

Bumping Villardi to the top line has paid dividends. 

MTL +199 is a play at 4% if we can get there.
TB is -110 on BETMGM right now, and a 4% edge play.

Wild has played the Sea Monsters 3 times, hitting 4 or more goals in 2 of the 3. 

Dogs I am looking at #1. Wings. #2 Sens and #3 Devils. need more time to ponder. 

Heiskanen returns to the Stars line-up tonight. 

Damn, Wings have not scored 3 goals at home vs Caps since Oct. 2017. Five years. 

@peelpub94

 do you ever take in consideration of regulation plays ONLY  for any teams  ....esp (MTL)+270 

@Kmoore307

 According to cbs sports, Sorokin is starting. 

@gibbs78

 Was happy to see it. The lined moved again I'm assuming because of Sorokin but I still got in on the Isles at -105. Wish it was still even money but I'll take it. 

GL to everyone tonight